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Predicting cancer-associated clinical events is challenging in oncology. In Multiple Myeloma (MM), a cancer of plasma cells, disease progression is determined by changes in biomarkers, such as serum concentration of the paraprotein secreted…

This paper extends Bayesian mortality projection models for multiple populations considering the stochastic structure and the effect of spatial autocorrelation among the observations. We explain high levels of overdispersion according to…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-08 Zhen Liu , Xiaoqian Sun , Yu-Bo Wang

This paper develops a large-scale Bayesian spatio-temporal binomial regression model for the purpose of investigating regional trends in antibody prevalence to Borrelia burgdorferi, the causative agent of Lyme disease. The proposed model…

Comparing mathematical models offers a means to evaluate competing scientific theories. However, exact methods of model calibration are not applicable to many probabilistic models which simulate high-dimensional spatio-temporal data.…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2026-01-13 Robert A McDonald , Helen M Byrne , Heather A Harrington , Thomas Thorne , Bernadette J Stolz

Time-to-event prediction, e.g. cancer survival analysis or hospital length of stay, is a highly prominent machine learning task in medical and healthcare applications. However, only a few interpretable machine learning methods comply with…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-11-25 Hubert Baniecki , Bartlomiej Sobieski , Patryk Szatkowski , Przemyslaw Bombinski , Przemyslaw Biecek

This study introduces an integrated framework for predictive causal inference designed to overcome limitations inherent in conventional single model approaches. Specifically, we combine a Hidden Markov Model (HMM) for spatial health state…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-31 Byunghee Lee , Hye Yeon Sin , Joonsung Kang

The analysis of multivariate functional curves has the potential to yield important scientific discoveries in domains such as healthcare, medicine, economics and social sciences. However, it is common for real-world settings to present…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-23 Tui Nolan , Sylvia Richardson , Hélène Ruffieux

In biomedical studies, we are often interested in the association between different types of covariates and the times to disease events. Because the relationship between the covariates and event times is often complex, standard survival…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-19 Hoi Min Ng , Kin Yau Wong

We give a very short introduction to discrete and continuum models for the evolutionary and spatial dynamics of cancer through two case studies: a model for the evolutionary dynamics of cancer cells under cytotoxic therapy and a model for…

Tissues and Organs · Quantitative Biology 2019-11-07 Tommaso Lorenzi , Fiona R. Macfarlane , Chiara Villa

We assessed the validity of one of the most frequently used methods to estimate cancer incidence, on the basis of cancer mortality data and the incidence-to-mortality ratio IMR, the IMR method. Using the previous 15 year cancer mortality…

Joint models (JM) for longitudinal and survival data have gained increasing interest and found applications in a wide range of clinical and biomedical settings. These models facilitate the understanding of the relationship between outcomes…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-25 Sida Chen , Danilo Alvares , Christopher Jackson , Jessica Barrett

This paper considers small-area estimation with lung cancer mortality data, and discusses the choice of upper-level model for the variation over areas. Inference about the random effects for the areas may depend strongly on the choice of…

Applications · Statistics 2009-05-25 Murray Aitkin , Charles C. Liu , Tom Chadwick

Advances in spatial transcriptomics (ST) technologies enable systematic molecular characterization of tumor microenvironment, tumor gradients and gene regulatory networks. Cancer progression is known to vary along pathological gradients,…

In the context of multistability driven diseases, like cancer, spatiotemporal plasticity plays a significant role to achieve a spectrum of phenotypic variations. The interplay between gene regulatory networks and environmental factors, such…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-02-17 Ranu Kundu , Priya Chakraborty , Sohini Guin , Shyam Sundar Poriah , Sayantari Ghosh

In several countries, including Italy, a prominent approach to population health surveillance involves conducting repeated cross-sectional surveys at short intervals of time. These surveys gather information on the health status of…

Applications · Statistics 2025-04-10 Mattia Stival , Lorenzo Schiavon , Stefano Campostrini

We develop flexible multivariate spatio-temporal Hawkes process models to analyze patterns of terrorism. Previous applications of point process methods to political violence data mainly utilize temporal Hawkes process models, neglecting…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-14 Mikyoung Jun , Scott Cook

This study presents a spatiotemporal dual Bayesian model that examines both the occurrence and number of conflict fatalities using event-level data from Ethiopia (1997-2024), sourced from the Armed Conflict Location and Event Data (ACLED)…

Applications · Statistics 2025-11-04 Yassin Tesfaw Abebe , Abdu Mohammed Seid , Lassi Roininen , Mohammed Seid Ali

This paper proposes a physical-statistical modeling approach for spatio-temporal data arising from a class of stochastic convection-diffusion processes. Such processes are widely found in scientific and engineering applications where…

Applications · Statistics 2020-08-07 Xiao Liu , Kyongmin Yeo , Siyuan Lu

In this article, we present a Bayesian hierarchical model for predicting a latent health state from longitudinal clinical measurements. Model development is motivated by the need to integrate multiple sources of data to improve clinical…

Spatial transcriptomics has revolutionized tissue analysis by simultaneously mapping gene expression, spatial topography, and histological context across consecutive tissue sections, enabling systematic investigation of spatial…

Applications · Statistics 2025-10-24 Meng Zhou , Shuangge Ma , Mengyun Wu