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Random Fourier features is one of the most popular techniques for scaling up kernel methods, such as kernel ridge regression. However, despite impressive empirical results, the statistical properties of random Fourier features are still not…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-05-22 Haim Avron , Michael Kapralov , Cameron Musco , Christopher Musco , Ameya Velingker , Amir Zandieh

Many inverse problems require reconstructing physical fields from limited and noisy data while incorporating known governing equations. A growing body of work within probabilistic numerics formalizes such tasks via Bayesian inference in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-19 Alex Alberts , Ilias Bilionis

A new synthesis scheme is proposed to effectively generate a random vector with prescribed joint density that induces a (latent) Gaussian tree structure. The quality of synthesis is measured by total variation distance between the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2017-05-09 Ali Moharrer , Shuangqing Wei , George T. Amariucai , Jing Deng

We study a local thinning $T_r$ that retains a point with probability $p(n_r)$, where $n_r$ counts neighbors within radius $r$. For Poisson input with spatially varying intensity, we obtain an exact intensity via a Poisson--mixture formula…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-14 Kateryna Hlyniana

We introduce a variant of the $k$-nearest neighbor classifier in which $k$ is chosen adaptively for each query, rather than supplied as a parameter. The choice of $k$ depends on properties of each neighborhood, and therefore may…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-05-31 Akshay Balsubramani , Sanjoy Dasgupta , Yoav Freund , Shay Moran

We provide guarantees for approximate Gaussian Process (GP) regression resulting from two common low-rank kernel approximations: based on random Fourier features, and based on truncating the kernel's Mercer expansion. In particular, we…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-02-22 Constantinos Daskalakis , Petros Dellaportas , Aristeidis Panos

We provide guarantees for approximate Gaussian Process (GP) regression resulting from two common low-rank kernel approximations: based on random Fourier features, and based on truncating the kernel's Mercer expansion. In particular, we…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-12-16 Constantinos Daskalakis , Petros Dellaportas , Aristeidis Panos

Sums of independent, bounded random variables concentrate around their expectation approximately as well a Gaussian of the same variance. Well known results of this form include the Bernstein, Hoeffding, and Chernoff inequalities and many…

Discrete Mathematics · Computer Science 2017-04-25 Thomas Steinke , Jonathan Ullman

Let $\mathcal{T}$ be a rooted tree endowed with the natural partial order $\preceq$. Let $(Z(v))_{v\in \mathcal{T}}$ be a sequence of independent standard Gaussian random variables and let $\alpha = (\alpha_k)_{k=1}^\infty$ be a sequence of…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-07-12 Yong Han , Yanqi Qiu , Zipeng Wang

Deep Gaussian Processes learn probabilistic data representations for supervised learning by cascading multiple Gaussian Processes. While this model family promises flexible predictive distributions, exact inference is not tractable.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-10-23 Jakob Lindinger , David Reeb , Christoph Lippert , Barbara Rakitsch

Random Forests have been extensively used in regression and classification, inspiring the development of various forest-based methods. Among these, Mondrian Forests, derived from the Mondrian process, mark a significant advancement.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-02-28 Haoran Zhan , Jingli Wang , Yingcun Xia

Neural Processes (NPs; Garnelo et al., 2018a,b) are a rich class of models for meta-learning that map data sets directly to predictive stochastic processes. We provide a rigorous analysis of the standard maximum-likelihood objective used to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-01-12 Wessel P. Bruinsma , James Requeima , Andrew Y. K. Foong , Jonathan Gordon , Richard E. Turner

$k$ Nearest Neighbors ($k$NN) is one of the most widely used supervised learning algorithms to classify Gaussian distributed data, but it does not achieve good results when it is applied to nonlinear manifold distributed data, especially…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-06-06 Enmei Tu , Yaqian Zhang , Lin Zhu , Jie Yang , Nikola Kasabov

We obtain upper bounds for the total variation distance between the distributions of two Gibbs point processes in a very general setting. Applications are provided to various well-known processes and settings from spatial statistics and…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-09-15 Dominic Schuhmacher , Kaspar Stucki

Since their introduction by Breiman, Random Forests (RFs) have proven to be useful for both classification and regression tasks. The RF prediction of a previously unseen observation can be represented as a weighted sum of all training…

Applications · Statistics 2025-08-21 Nils Koster , Fabian Krüger

In this article, we provide an extension of the Chen-Stein inequality for Poisson approximation in the total variation distance for sums of independent Bernoulli random variables in two ways. We prove that we can improve the rate of…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-10-26 Pierre-Loïc Méliot , Ashkan Nikeghbali , Gabriele Visentin

This paper investigates the stability of the least squares approximation $P_m^n$ within the univariate polynomial space of degree $m$, denoted by ${\mathbb P}_m$. The approximation $P_m^n$ entails identifying a polynomial in ${\mathbb P}_m$…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-02-17 Zhiqiang Xu , Xinyue Zhang

Accurately representing surface weather at the sub-kilometer scale is crucial for optimal decision-making in a wide range of applications. This motivates the use of statistical techniques to provide accurate and calibrated probabilistic…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-11-15 Francesco Zanetta , Daniele Nerini , Matteo Buzzi , Henry Moss

The Poisson distribution arises naturally when dealing with data involving counts, and it has found many applications in inverse problems and imaging. In this work, we develop an approximate Bayesian inference technique based on expectation…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-09-04 Chen Zhang , Simon Arridge , Bangti Jin

We combine Malliavin calculus with Stein's method to derive bounds for the Variance-Gamma approximation of functionals of isonormal Gaussian processes, in particular of random variables living inside a fixed Wiener chaos induced by such a…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-09-22 Peter Eichelsbacher , Christoph Thäle