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The framework of Stein's method for Poisson process approximation is presented from the point of view of Palm theory, which is used to construct Stein identities and define local dependence. A general result (Theorem…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-07 Louis H. Y. Chen , Aihua Xia

This paper introduces a periodic multivariate Poisson autoregression with potentially infinite memory, with a special focus on the network setting. Using contraction techniques, we study the stability of such a process and provide upper…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-04 Mahmoud Khabou , Edward A. K. Cohen , Almut E. D. Veraart

Let $X_1,\ldots,X_n$ be a sequence of independent random points in $\mathbb{R}^d$ with common Lebesgue density $f$. Under some conditions on $f$, we obtain a Poisson limit theorem, as $n \to \infty$, for the number of large probability…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-05-04 Nicolas Chenavier , Norbert Henze , Moritz Otto

We explore two aspects of geometric approximation via a coupling approach to Stein's method. Firstly, we refine precision and increase scope for applications by convoluting the approximating geometric distribution with a simple translation…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-12-11 Fraser Daly , Claude Lefèvre

Gaussian processes (GPs) are a popular model for spatially referenced data and allow descriptive statements, predictions at new locations, and simulation of new fields. Often a few parameters are sufficient to parameterize the covariance…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-01-01 Florian Gerber , Douglas W. Nychka

We prove a Poisson process approximation result for stabilizing functionals of a determinantal point process. Our results use concrete couplings of determinantal processes with different Palm measures and exploit their association…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-02-14 Moritz Otto

Regression trees and random forests are popular and effective non-parametric estimators in practical applications. A recent paper by Athey and Wager shows that the random forest estimate at any point is asymptotically Gaussian; in this…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-02-02 Kevin Li

Many application domains such as ecology or genomics have to deal with multivariate non Gaussian observations. A typical example is the joint observation of the respective abundances of a set of species in a series of sites, aiming to…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-01 Julien Chiquet , Mahendra Mariadassou , Stéphane Robin

Gaussian processes have been successful in both supervised and unsupervised machine learning tasks, but their computational complexity has constrained practical applications. We introduce a new approximation for large-scale Gaussian…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-11-03 David A. Moore , Stuart J. Russell

The paper is concerned with the equilibrium distributions of continuous-time density dependent Markov processes on the integers. These distributions are known typically to be approximately normal, and the approximation error, as measured in…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-02-06 Sanda N. Socoll , A. D. Barbour

Gaussian processes are frequently deployed as part of larger machine learning and decision-making systems, for instance in geospatial modeling, Bayesian optimization, or in latent Gaussian models. Within a system, the Gaussian process model…

We derive upper bounds on the Wasserstein distance ($W_1$), with respect to $\sup$-norm, between any continuous $\mathbb{R}^d$ valued random field indexed by the $n$-sphere and the Gaussian, based on Stein's method. We develop a novel…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-05-02 Krishnakumar Balasubramanian , Larry Goldstein , Nathan Ross , Adil Salim

Random fields are useful mathematical tools for representing natural phenomena with complex dependence structures in space and/or time. In particular, the Gaussian random field is commonly used due to its attractive properties and…

The randomized $k$-number partitioning problem is the task to distribute $N$ i.i.d. random variables into $k$ groups in such a way that the sums of the variables in each group are as similar as possible. The restricted $k$-partitioning…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2007-05-23 Anton Bovier , Irina Kurkova

New bounds on the total variation distance between the law of integer valued functionals of possibly non-symmetric and non-homogeneous infinite Rademacher sequences and the Poisson distribution are established. They are based on a…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-07-26 Kai Krokowski

We consider the normal approximation of Kabanov-Skorohod integrals on a general Poisson space. Our bounds are for the Wasserstein and the Kolmogorov distance and involve only difference operators of the integrand of the Kabanov-Skorohod…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-09-06 Günter Last , Ilya Molchanov , Matthias Schulte

In this paper we study probabilistic and neural network approximations for solutions to Poisson equation subject to Holder data in general bounded domains of $\mathbb{R}^d$. We aim at two fundamental goals. The first, and the most…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-08-13 Lucian Beznea , Iulian Cimpean , Oana Lupascu-Stamate , Ionel Popescu , Arghir Zarnescu

For integer valued random variables, the translated Poisson distributions form a flexible family for approximation in total variation, in much the same way that the normal family is used for approximation in Kolmogorov distance. Using the…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-12-26 A. D. Barbour , Malwina J. Luczak , Aihua Xia

Gaussian processes are ubiquitous as the primary tool for modeling spatial data. However, the Gaussian process is limited by its $\mathcal{O}(n^3)$ cost, making direct parameter fitting algorithms infeasible for the scale of modern data…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-25 Ashlynn Crisp , Daniel Taylor-Rodriguez , Andrew O. Finley

Probabilistic k-nearest neighbour (PKNN) classification has been introduced to improve the performance of original k-nearest neighbour (KNN) classification algorithm by explicitly modelling uncertainty in the classification of each feature…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-05-07 Ji Won Yoon , Nial Friel