English
Related papers

Related papers: Forecasting Geoffective Events from Solar Wind Dat…

200 papers

Solar wind classification is conducive to understand the physical processes ongoing at the Sun and solar wind evolution in the interplanetary space, and furthermore, it is helpful for early warning of space weather events. With rapid…

Space Physics · Physics 2019-08-26 Hui Li , Chi Wang , Cui Tu , Fei Xu

Solar radio flux along with geomagnetic indices are important indicators of solar activity and its effects. Extreme solar events such as flares and geomagnetic storms can negatively affect the space environment including satellites in…

Accurate prediction of non-dispatchable renewable energy sources is essential for grid stability and price prediction. Regional power supply forecasts are usually indirect through a bottom-up approach of plant-level forecasts, incorporate…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-02-24 Eloi Lindas , Yannig Goude , Philippe Ciais

Solar flares create adverse space weather impacting space and Earth-based technologies. However, the difficulty of forecasting flares, and by extension severe space weather, is accentuated by the lack of any unique flare trigger or a single…

Solar energetic particle (SEP) events are one of the most crucial aspects of space weather that require continuous monitoring and forecasting. Their prediction depends on various factors including source eruptions. In the present work, we…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2024-03-27 Sumanth A. Rotti , Berkay Aydin , Petrus C. Martens

This paper addresses the pressing need for an accurate solar energy prediction model, which is crucial for efficient grid integration. We explore the influence of the Air Quality Index and weather features on solar energy generation,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-07 Arjun Shah , Varun Viswanath , Kashish Gandhi , Nilesh Madhukar Patil

We introduce a novel deep learning framework based on Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks to predict galactic cosmic-ray spectra on a one-day-ahead basis by leveraging historical solar activity data, overcoming limitations inherent in…

High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena · Physics 2025-01-13 Yi-Lun Du , Xiaojian Song , Xi Luo

We investigate the use of Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) and Decomposition-LSTM (DLSTM) networks, combined with an ensemble algorithm, to predict solar flare occurrences using time-series data from the GOES catalog. The dataset spans from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-18 Zeinab Hassani , Davud Mohammadpur , Hossein Safari

Smooth power generation from solar stations demand accurate, reliable and efficient forecast of solar energy for optimal integration to cater market demand; however, the implicit instability of solar energy production may cause serious…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-12-02 Farah Shahid , Aneela Zameer , Mudasser Afzal , Muhammad Hassan

Space weather predictions of the solar wind impacting Earth are usually first based on remote-sensing observations of the solar disc and corona, and eventually validated and/or refined with in-situ measurements taken at the Sun$-$Earth…

Space Physics · Physics 2025-11-12 Erika Palmerio

Solar active regions (ARs) are the primary drivers of space weather events, making their early prediction crucial for operational forecasting systems. We develop machine learning models capable of predicting the evolution of magnetic flux…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2026-04-07 Eren Dogan , Spiridon Kasapis , Sarang Patil , Jonas Tirona , John Stefan , Irina Kitiashvili , Mengjia Xu , Alexander Kosovichev

Solar flares are among the most severe space weather phenomena, and they have the capacity to generate radiation storms and radio disruptions on Earth. The accurate prediction of solar flare events remains a significant challenge, requiring…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2023-10-31 Vysakh P. A. , Prateek Mayank

We propose a forecasting approach for solar flares based on data from Solar Cycle 24, taken by the Helioseismic and Magnetic Imager (HMI) on board the Solar Dynamics Observatory (SDO) mission. In particular, we use the Space-weather HMI…

Among several heliophysical and geophysical quantities, the accurate evolution of the solar irradiance is fundamental to forecast the evolution of the neutral and ionized components of the Earth's atmosphere.We developed an artificial…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2011-11-23 Luis Eduardo A. Vieira , Thierry Dudok de Wit , Matthieu Kretzschmar

The prediction of solar power generation is a challenging task due to its dependence on climatic characteristics that exhibit spatial and temporal variability. The performance of a prediction model may vary across different places due to…

Operational flare forecasting aims at providing predictions that can be used to make decisions, typically at a daily scale, about the space weather impacts of flare occurrence. This study shows that video-based deep learning can be used for…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2022-09-13 Sabrina Guastavino , Francesco Marchetti , Federico Benvenuto , Cristina Campi , Michele Piana

The continuous observation of the magnetic field by Solar Dynamics Observatory (SDO)/Helioseismic and Magnetic Imager (HMI) produces numerous image sequences in time and space. These sequences provide data support for predicting the…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2021-06-23 Liang Bai , Yi Bi , Bo Yang , Jun-Chao Hong , Zhe Xu , Zhen-Hong Shang , Hui Liu , Hai-Sheng Ji , Kai-Fan Ji

Solar based electricity generations have experienced strong and impactful growth in recent years. The regulation, scheduling, dispatching, and unit commitment of intermittent solar power is dependent on the accuracy of the forecasting…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-03-30 Shaktinarayana Mishra , Lokanath Tripathy , Prachitara Satapathy , P. K. Dash , Nitasha Sahani

The rising integration of variable renewable energy sources (RES), like solar and wind power, introduces considerable uncertainty in grid operations and energy management. Effective forecasting models are essential for grid operators to…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-08-02 Jesus Silva-Rodriguez , Elias Raffoul , Xingpeng Li

Ahead-of-time forecasting of incident solar-irradiance on a panel is indicative of expected energy yield and is essential for efficient grid distribution and planning. Traditionally, these forecasts are based on meteorological physics…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-01-16 Talha A. Siddiqui , Samarth Bharadwaj , Shivkumar Kalyanaraman