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This paper studies pairs trading using a nonlinear and non-Gaussian state-space model framework. We model the spread between the prices of two assets as an unobservable state variable and assume that it follows a mean-reverting process.…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-05-21 Guang Zhang

Statistical arbitrage methods identify mispricings in securities with the goal of building portfolios which are weakly correlated with the market. In pairs trading, an arbitrage opportunity is identified by observing relative price…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-10-13 Fredi Šarić , Stjepan Begušić , Andro Merćep , Zvonko Kostanjčar

Cryptocurrency is a cryptography-based digital asset with extremely volatile prices. Around USD 70 billion worth of cryptocurrency is traded daily on exchanges. Trading cryptocurrency is difficult due to the inherent volatility of the…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-12-12 Hongshen Yang , Avinash Malik

A large number of applications such as querying sensor networks, and analyzing protein-protein interaction (PPI) networks, rely on mining uncertain graph and hypergraph databases. In this work we study the following problem: given an…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2018-01-11 Charalampos E. Tsourakakis , Shreyas Sekar , Johnson Lam , Liu Yang

In this paper, the problem of matching pairs of correlated random graphs with multi-valued edge attributes is considered. Graph matching problems of this nature arise in several settings of practical interest including social network…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2018-02-06 F. Shirani , S. Garg , E. Erkip

Investment returns naturally reside on irregular domains, however, standard multivariate portfolio optimization methods are agnostic to data structure. To this end, we investigate ways for domain knowledge to be conveniently incorporated…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-10-17 Bruno Scalzo Dees , Ljubisa Stankovic , Anthony G. Constantinides , Danilo P. Mandic

This paper examines the implementation of a statistical arbitrage trading strategy based on co-integration relationships where we discover candidate portfolios using multiple factors rather than just price data. The portfolio selection…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2014-05-13 Wenbin Zhang , Zhen Dai , Bindu Pan , Milan Djabirov

This paper is concerned with a pairs trading rule. The idea is to monitor two historically correlated securities. When divergence is underway, i.e., one stock moves up while the other moves down, a pairs trade is entered which consists of a…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2013-02-26 Qingshuo Song , Qing Zhang

Individual investors are now massively using online brokers to trade stocks with convenient interfaces and low fees, albeit losing the advice and personalization traditionally provided by full-service brokers. We frame the problem faced by…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-03-16 Robin Swezey , Bruno Charron

This paper derives a robust on-line equity trading algorithm that achieves the greatest possible percentage of the final wealth of the best pairs rebalancing rule in hindsight. A pairs rebalancing rule chooses some pair of stocks in the…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-10-24 Alex Garivaltis

Asynchronous trading in high-frequency financial markets introduces significant biases into econometric analysis, distorting risk estimates and leading to suboptimal portfolio decisions. Existing synchronization methods, such as the…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-07-17 Xinbing Kong , Cheng Liu , Bin Wu

The focus of this paper is on identifying the most effective selling strategy for pairs trading of stocks. In pairs trading, a long position is held in one stock while a short position is held in another. The goal is to determine the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-07-31 Ruyi Liu , Jingzhi Tie , Zhen Wu , Qing Zhang

Financial markets are nonlinear with complexity, where different types of assets are traded between buyers and sellers, each having a view to maximize their Return on Investment (ROI). Forecasting market trends is a challenging task since…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2024-11-22 Sahand Hassanizorgabad

In this article we introduce a portfolio optimisation framework, in which the use of rough path signatures (Lyons, 1998) provides a novel method of incorporating path-dependencies in the joint signal-asset dynamics, naturally extending…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-08-31 Owen Futter , Blanka Horvath , Magnus Wiese

Although pair trading is the simplest hedging strategy for an investor to eliminate market risk, it is still a great challenge for reinforcement learning (RL) methods to perform pair trading as human expertise. It requires RL methods to…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-04-04 Weiguang Han , Jimin Huang , Qianqian Xie , Boyi Zhang , Yanzhao Lai , Min Peng

Given a user-specified minimum correlation threshold and a transaction database, the problem of mining all-strong correlated pairs is to find all item pairs with Pearson's correlation coefficients above the threshold . Despite the use of…

Databases · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Zengyou He , Xiaofei Xu , Shengchun Deng

Stock trend forecasting, which forecasts stock prices' future trends, plays an essential role in investment. The stocks in a market can share information so that their stock prices are highly correlated. Several methods were recently…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-01-21 Wentao Xu , Weiqing Liu , Lewen Wang , Yingce Xia , Jiang Bian , Jian Yin , Tie-Yan Liu

\begin{abstract} In this paper, we integrated the statistical arbitrage strategy, pairs trading, into the Black-Litterman model and constructed efficient mean-variance portfolios. Typically, pairs trading underperforms under volatile or…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-06-12 Qiqin Zhou

We employ a Bayesian modelling technique for high dimensional cointegration estimation to construct low volatility portfolios from a large number of stocks. The proposed Bayesian framework effectively identifies sparse and important…

Applications · Statistics 2024-07-16 Parley R Yang , Alexander Y Shestopaloff

This paper introduces a novel methodology for index return forecasting, blending highly correlated stock prices, advanced deep learning techniques, and intricate factor integration. Departing from conventional cap-weighted approaches, our…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-05-06 Tian Tian , Ricky Cooper , Jiahao Deng , Qingquan Zhang