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The increasing penetration of renewable energy has introduced substantial volatility into wholesale electricity markets, complicating the optimal bidding strategies for power producers. Traditional Reinforcement Learning (RL) approaches…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2026-05-06 Jiayi Chen , Xuan Zhang , Guiling Wang

The electricity market has a vital role to play in the decarbonisation of the energy system. However, the electricity market is made up of many different variables and data inputs. These variables and data inputs behave in sometimes…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2022-06-07 Alexander J. M. Kell , Stephen McGough , Matthew Forshaw

We develop a unified framework for modeling multiple term structures arising in financial, insurance, and energy markets, adopting an extended Heath-Jarrow-Morton (HJM) approach under the real-world probability. We study market viability…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-18 Claudio Fontana , Eckhard Platen , Stefan Tappe

In a day-ahead market, energy buyers and sellers submit their bids for a particular future time, including the amount of energy they wish to buy or sell and the price they are prepared to pay or receive. However, the dynamic for forming the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-11-26 Luca Di Persio , Matteo Garbelli , Luca M. Giordano

Models of auctions or tendering processes are introduced. In every round of bidding the players select their bid from a probability distribution and whenever a bid is unsuccessful, it is discarded and replaced. For simple models, the…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2009-11-07 R. D'Hulst , G. J. Rodgers

The integration of multiple viewpoints became an increasingly popular approach to deal with agent-based simulations. Despite their disparities, recent approaches successfully manage to run such multi-level simulations. Yet, are they doing…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2017-03-08 Gildas Morvan , Yoann Kubera

Over the past decade, bidding in power markets has attracted widespread attention. Reinforcement Learning (RL) has been widely used for power market bidding as a powerful AI tool to make decisions under real-world uncertainties. However,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-16 Jinyu Liu , Hongye Guo , Yun Li , Qinghu Tang , Fuquan Huang , Tunan Chen , Haiwang Zhong , Qixin Chen

Prediction markets are often used as mechanisms to aggregate information about a future event, for example, whether a candidate will win an election. The event is typically assumed to be exogenous. In reality, participants may influence the…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2014-07-28 Mithun Chakraborty , Sanmay Das

The burgeoning integration of distributed energy resources (DER) poses new challenges for the economic and safe operation of the electricity system. The current distribution-side policy is largely based on mandatory regulations and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-07-07 Chunyi Huang , Chengmin Wang , Mingzhi Zhang , Ning Xie , Yong Wang

Dynamic contracts with multiple agents is a classical decentralized decision-making problem with asymmetric information. In this paper, we extend the single-agent dynamic incentive contract model in continuous-time to a multi-agent scheme…

Econometrics · Economics 2017-10-10 Qi Luo , Romesh Saigal

With the increasing integration of power plants into the frequency-regulation markets, the importance of optimal trading has grown substantially. This paper conducts an in-depth analysis of their optimal trading behavior in sequential…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-10-30 Saeed Nordin , Abolfazl Khodadadi , Priyanka Shinde , Evelin Blom , Mohammad Reza Hesamzadeh , Lennart Söder

We study price formation in intraday electricity markets in the presence of intermittent renewable generation. We consider the setting where a major producer may interact strategically with a large number of small producers. Using…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2020-11-17 Olivier Féron , Peter Tankov , Laura Tinsi

Continuous integration of renewable energy sources into power networks is causing a paradigm shift in energy generation and distribution with regards to trading and control; the intermittent nature of renewable sources affects pricing of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-01-19 Pablo R. Baldivieso Monasterios , Nandor Verba , Euan A Morris , Thomas Morstyn , George. C , . Konstantopoulos , Elena Gaura , Stephen McArthur

As the number of prosumers with distributed energy resources (DERs) grows, the conventional centralized operation scheme may suffer from conflicting interests, privacy concerns, and incentive inadequacy. In this paper, we propose an energy…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2022-06-29 Yue Chen , Changhong Zhao , Steven H. Low , Adam Wierman

This paper proposes a diffusion-based auto-bidding framework that leverages graph representations to model large-scale auction environments. In such settings, agents must dynamically optimize bidding strategies under constraints defined by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-22 Dom Huh , Prasant Mohapatra

The large integration of variable energy resources is expected to shift a large part of the energy exchanges closer to real-time, where more accurate forecasts are available. In this context, the short-term electricity markets and in…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2020-04-14 Ioannis Boukas , Damien Ernst , Thibaut Théate , Adrien Bolland , Alexandre Huynen , Martin Buchwald , Christelle Wynants , Bertrand Cornélusse

Agent-based modeling (ABM) has long been used in economics to study human behavior, and large language model (LLM) agents now enable new forms of social and economic simulation. While prior work has discovered strategic deception by LLM…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-05-19 Shijun Lei , Quang Nguyen , Swapneel S Mehta , Zeping Li , Huichuan Fu , Xiaolong Zheng , Siki Chen , Yunji Liang , Philip Torr , Zhenfei Yin

We consider a general small-scale market for agent-to-agent resource sharing, in which each agent could either be a server (seller) or a client (buyer) in each time period. In every time period, a server has a certain amount of resources…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2018-01-01 Bainan Xia , Srinivas Shakkottai , Vijay Subramanian

We propose a multi-stage stochastic programming model for the optimal participation of energy communities in electricity markets. The multi-stage aspect captures the different times at which variable renewable generation and electricity…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-10-07 Albert Solà Vilalta , Ignasi Mañé , F. - Javier Heredia

We present a simple model of a non-equilibrium self-organizing market where asset prices are partially driven by investment decisions of a bounded-rational agent. The agent acts in a stochastic market environment driven by various exogenous…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-05-18 Igor Halperin , Ilya Feldshteyn