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We present a general framework for using existing data to estimate the efficiency gain from using a covariate-adjusted estimator of a marginal treatment effect in a future randomized trial. We describe conditions under which it is possible…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-03 Xiudi Li , Sijia Li , Alex Luedtke

There has been much interest in the nonparametric testing of conditional independence in the econometric and statistical literature, but the simplest and potentially most useful method, based on the sample partial correlation, seems to have…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-05-27 Wicher Bergsma

We address the problem of integrating data from multiple, possibly biased, observational and interventional studies, to eventually compute counterfactuals in structural causal models. We start from the case of a single observational dataset…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-03-17 Marco Zaffalon , Alessandro Antonucci , David Huber , Rafael Cabañas

We revisit the problem of constructing predictive confidence sets for which we wish to obtain some type of conditional validity. We provide new arguments showing how ``split conformal'' methods achieve near desired coverage levels with high…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-03-04 John C. Duchi

Fixed effect estimators of nonlinear panel data models suffer from the incidental parameter problem. This leads to two undesirable consequences in applied research: (1) point estimates are subject to large biases, and (2) confidence…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-04-18 Shuowen Chen

We address the problem of integrating data from multiple, possibly biased, observational and interventional studies, to eventually compute counterfactuals in structural causal models. We start from the case of a single observational dataset…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-01 Marco Zaffalon , Alessandro Antonucci , Rafael Cabañas , David Huber

Due to the privacy protection or the difficulty of data collection, we cannot observe individual outputs for each instance, but we can observe aggregated outputs that are summed over multiple instances in a set in some real-world…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-05 Tomoharu Iwata

Assuming some regression model, it is common to study the conditional distribution of survival given covariates. Here, we consider the impact of further conditioning, specifically conditioning on a marginal survival function, known or…

Applications · Statistics 2016-10-11 Roxane Duroux , Cécile Chauvel , John O'Quigley

This paper focuses on variable selection for a partially linear single-index varying-coefficient model. A regularized variable selection procedure by combining basis function approximations with SCAD penalty is proposed. It can…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-12-19 Lijuan Han , Liugen Xue , Junshan Xie

Although information extraction and coreference resolution appear together in many applications, most current systems perform them as ndependent steps. This paper describes an approach to integrated inference for extraction and coreference…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-07-19 Ben Wellner , Andrew McCallum , Fuchun Peng , Michael Hay

Using cumulative residual processes, we propose joint goodness-of-fit tests for conditional means and variances functions in the context of nonlinear time series with martingale difference innovations. The main challenge comes from the fact…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-02 Kilani Ghoudi , Naâmane Laïb , Mohamed Chaouch

Conditional independence of treatment assignment from potential outcomes is a commonly used but nonrefutable assumption. We derive identified sets for various treatment effect parameters under nonparametric deviations from this conditional…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-10-25 Matthew A. Masten , Alexandre Poirier

In this paper, we identify partial correlation information structures that allow for simpler reformulations in evaluating the maximum expected value of mixed integer linear programs with random objective coefficients. To this end, assuming…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-10-25 Divya Padmanabhan , Karthik Natarajan , Karthyek R. A. Murthy

Conformal prediction, and split conformal prediction as a specific implementation, offer a distribution-free approach to estimating prediction intervals with statistical guarantees. Recent work has shown that split conformal prediction can…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-05-01 Nicolas Dewolf , Bernard De Baets , Willem Waegeman

The research is about a systematic investigation on the following issues. First, we construct different outcome regression-based estimators for conditional average treatment effect under, respectively, true (oracle), parametric,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-09-23 Lu Li , Niwen Zhou , Lixing Zhu

There are partially separable data types that make classification tasks very hard. In other words, only parts of the data are informative meaning that looking at the rest of the data would not give any distinguishable hint for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-12 Aida Khozaei , Hadi Moradi , Reshad Hosseini

Marginal imputation, which consists of imputing each item requiring imputation separately, is often used in surveys. This type of imputation procedures leads to asymptotically unbiased estimators of simple parameters such as population…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-11-04 Hélène Chaput , Guillaume Chauvet , David Haziza , Laurianne Salembier , Julie Solard

Clustered multistate process data are commonly encountered in multicenter observational studies and clinical trials. A clinically important estimand with such data is the marginal probability of being in a particular transient state as a…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-05 Wenxian Zhou , Giorgos Bakoyannis , Ying Zhang , Constantin T Yiannoutsos

We propose and analyze a generalized splitting method to sample approximately from a distribution conditional on the occurrence of a rare event. This has important applications in a variety of contexts in operations research, engineering,…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-09-10 Zdravko I. Botev , Pierre L'Ecuyer

Experimental data is often comprised of variables measured independently, at different sampling rates (non-uniform ${\Delta}$t between successive measurements); and at a specific time point only a subset of all variables may be sampled.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-01 Saurabh Malani , Tom S. Bertalan , Tianqi Cui , Jose L. Avalos , Michael Betenbaugh , Ioannis G. Kevrekidis