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Epidemiologic studies often evaluate the association between an exposure and an event risk. When time-varying, exposure updates usually occur at discrete visits although changes are in continuous time and survival models require values to…

There has been increasing interest in modelling survival data using deep learning methods in medical research. Current approaches have focused on designing special cost functions to handle censored survival data. We propose a very different…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-03-12 Lili Zhao , Dai Feng

Purpose: The application of Cox Proportional Hazards (CoxPH) models to survival data and the derivation of Hazard Ratio (HR) is well established. While nonlinear, tree-based Machine Learning (ML) models have been developed and applied to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-06 Sameer Sundrani , James Lu

Background: Sepsis-Associated Acute Kidney Injury (SA-AKI) leads to high mortality in intensive care. This study develops machine learning models using the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care IV (MIMIC-IV) database to predict…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-20 Shuheng Chen , Junyi Fan , Elham Pishgar , Kamiar Alaei , Greg Placencia , Maryam Pishgar

Background Predicting mortality and resource utilization from electronic health records (EHRs) is challenging yet crucial for optimizing patient outcomes and managing costs in intensive care unit (ICU). Existing approaches predominantly…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-08-29 Yucheng Ruan , Xiang Lan , Daniel J. Tan , Hairil Rizal Abdullah , Mengling Feng

Survival analysis studies time-modeling techniques for an event of interest occurring for a population. Survival analysis found widespread applications in healthcare, engineering, and social sciences. However, the data needed to train…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-22 Alberto Archetti , Eugenio Lomurno , Francesco Lattari , André Martin , Matteo Matteucci

We introduce NeuralSurv, the first deep survival model to incorporate Bayesian uncertainty quantification. Our non-parametric, architecture-agnostic framework captures time-varying covariate-risk relationships in continuous time via a novel…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-17 Mélodie Monod , Alessandro Micheli , Samir Bhatt

The recent release of large-scale healthcare datasets has greatly propelled the research of data-driven deep learning models for healthcare applications. However, due to the nature of such deep black-boxed models, concerns about…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-16 Chuizheng Meng , Loc Trinh , Nan Xu , Yan Liu

In this paper we utilize a survival analysis methodology incorporating Bayesian additive regression trees to account for nonlinear and additive covariate effects. We compare the performance of Bayesian additive regression trees, Cox…

Applications · Statistics 2019-11-05 Satabdi Saha , Duchwan Ryu , Nader Ebrahimi

Algorithmic fairness is an increasingly important field concerned with detecting and mitigating biases in machine learning models. There has been a wealth of literature for algorithmic fairness in regression and classification however there…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2022-07-25 Raphael Sonabend , Florian Pfisterer , Alan Mishler , Moritz Schauer , Lukas Burk , Sumantrak Mukherjee , Sebastian Vollmer

Background: Survival prediction models are often less reliable in clinical groups with limited sample sizes or few outcome events. Target-only models may be unstable, whereas models from larger cohorts may transfer poorly when risk-factor…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-18 Junhan Yu , Yurui Chen , Juan Delgado-SanMartin , Dennis Wang , Hong Pan , Doudou Zhou

In epidemiological studies of time-to-event data, a quantity of interest to the clinician and the patient is the risk of an event given a covariate profile. However, methods relying on time matching or risk-set sampling (including Cox…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-23 Sahir Rai Bhatnagar , Maxime Turgeon , Jesse Islam , James A. Hanley , Olli Saarela

Objective: To compare different deep learning architectures for predicting the risk of readmission within 30 days of discharge from the intensive care unit (ICU). The interpretability of attention-based models is leveraged to describe…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-08 Sebastiano Barbieri , James Kemp , Oscar Perez-Concha , Sradha Kotwal , Martin Gallagher , Angus Ritchie , Louisa Jorm

Predicting the risk of clinical progression from cognitively normal (CN) status to mild cognitive impairment (MCI) or Alzheimer's disease (AD) is critical for early intervention in Alzheimer's disease (AD). Traditional survival models often…

Applications · Statistics 2025-03-24 Dhrubajyoti Ghosh , Samhita Pal , Michael Lutz , Sheng Luo

Coronary artery disease remains one of the leading causes of mortality globally. Despite advances in revascularization treatments like PCI and CABG, postoperative stroke is inevitable. This study aims to develop and evaluate a sophisticated…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-18 Haonan Pan , Shuheng Chen , Elham Pishgar , Kamiar Alaei , Greg Placencia , Maryam Pishgar

The use of artificial intelligence in clinical care to improve decision support systems is increasing. This is not surprising since, by its very nature, the practice of medicine consists of making decisions based on observations from…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2019-05-03 Isaac Mativo , Yelena Yesha , Michael Grasso , Tim Oates , Qian Zhu

Flexible continuous-time survival modeling is critical for capturing complex time-varying hazard dynamics in high-dimensional data; however, training such models remains challenging due to the intractable integral required for likelihood…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-18 Chaeyeon Lee , Sehwan Kim , Hyungrok Do

Objective: This study sought to compare the drop in predictive performance over time according to the modeling approach (regression versus machine learning) used to build a kidney transplant failure prediction model with a time-to-event…

The Concordance Index (C-index) is a commonly used metric in Survival Analysis for evaluating the performance of a prediction model. In this paper, we propose a decomposition of the C-index into a weighted harmonic mean of two quantities:…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-23 Abdallah Alabdallah , Mattias Ohlsson , Sepideh Pashami , Thorsteinn Rögnvaldsson

The Cox proportional hazards model is widely used in survival analysis to model time-to-event data. However, it faces significant computational challenges in the era of large-scale data, particularly when dealing with time-dependent…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-14 Miaomiao Su , Ruoyu Wang
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