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Related papers: Partially identified heteroskedastic SVARs

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In this paper we propose a class of structural vector autoregressions (SVARs) characterized by structural breaks (SVAR-WB). Together with standard restrictions on the parameters and on functions of them, we also consider constraints across…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-03-10 Emanuele Bacchiocchi , Toru Kitagawa

We consider statistical inference for impulse responses in sparse, structural high-dimensional vector autoregressive (SVAR) systems. We introduce consistent estimators of impulse responses in the high-dimensional setting and suggest valid…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-03 Jonas Krampe , Efstathios Paparoditis , Carsten Trenkler

We propose a novel Bayesian heteroskedastic Markov-switching structural vector autoregression with data-driven time-varying identification. The model selects among alternative patterns of exclusion restrictions to identify structural shocks…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-02-28 Annika Camehl , Tomasz Woźniak

Structural vector autoregressive (SVAR) models are widely used to analyze the simultaneous relationships between multiple time-dependent data. Various statistical inference methods have been studied to overcome the identification problems…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-03-18 Masato Shimokawa , Kou Fujimori

We propose a structural vector autoregressive model with a new and flexible specification of the volatility process which we call Sparse Heterogeneous Markov-Switching Heteroskedasticity. In this model, the conditional variance of each…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-03-18 Fei Shang , Tomasz Woźniak

We consider structural vector autoregressions that are identified through stochastic volatility under Bayesian estimation. Three contributions emerge from our exercise. First, we show that a non-centred parameterization of stochastic…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-10-15 Helmut Lütkepohl , Fei Shang , Luis Uzeda , Tomasz Woźniak

Vector autoregressions (VARs) with multivariate stochastic volatility are widely used for structural analysis. Often the structural model identified through economically meaningful restrictions--e.g., sign restrictions--is supposed to be…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-07-11 Joshua Chan , Eric Eisenstat , Xuewen Yu

In this study, Bayesian inference is developed for structural vector autoregressive models in which the structural parameters are identified via Markov-switching heteroskedasticity. In such a model, restrictions that are just-identifying in…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-11-13 Helmut Lütkepohl , Tomasz Woźniak

We propose a high-dimensional structural vector autoregression framework with a factor structure in the error terms that accommodates a large number of linear inequality restrictions on both impact impulse responses and structural shocks.…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-05-20 Lukas Berend , Jan Prüser

This paper analyzes Structural Vector Autoregressions (SVARs) where identification of structural parameters holds locally but not globally. In this case there exists a set of isolated structural parameter points that are observationally…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-03-10 Emanuele Bacchiocchi , Toru Kitagawa

We study identification in structural vector autoregressions (SVARs) in which the endogenous variables enter nonlinearly on the left-hand side of the model, a feature we term endogenous nonlinearity, to distinguish it from the more familiar…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-04-10 James A. Duffy , Sophocles Mavroeidis

We show that structural smooth transition vector autoregressive models are statistically identified if the shocks are mutually independent and at most one of them is Gaussian. This extends a known identification result for linear structural…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-09-16 Savi Virolainen

This paper analyzes identifiability properties of structural vector autoregressive moving average (SVARMA) models driven by independent and non-Gaussian shocks. It is well known, that SVARMA models driven by Gaussian errors are not…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-10-10 Bernd Funovits

There is a fast growing literature that set-identifies structural vector autoregressions (SVARs) by imposing sign restrictions on the responses of a subset of the endogenous variables to a particular structural shock (sign-restricted…

Econometrics · Economics 2018-02-08 Eleonora Granziera , Hyungsik Roger Moon , Frank Schorfheide

While seasonality inherent to raw macroeconomic data is commonly removed by seasonal adjustment techniques before it is used for structural inference, this may distort valuable information in the data. As an alternative method to commonly…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-08-12 Daniel Dzikowski , Carsten Jentsch

Large VARs are increasingly used in structural analysis as a unified framework to study the impacts of multiple structural shocks simultaneously. However, the concurrent identification of multiple shocks using sign and ranking restrictions…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-03-27 Joshua Chan , Christian Matthes , Xuewen Yu

We use information from higher order moments to achieve identification of non-Gaussian structural vector autoregressive moving average (SVARMA) models, possibly non-fundamental or non-causal, through a frequency domain criterion based on a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-09-10 Carlos Velasco

We generalize well-known results on structural identifiability of vector autoregressive models (VAR) to the case where the innovation covariance matrix has reduced rank. Structural singular VAR models appear, for example, as solutions of…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-12-08 Bernd Funovits , Alexander Braumann

Causal inference in multivariate time series is challenging due to the fact that the sampling rate may not be as fast as the timescale of the causal interactions. In this context, we can view our observed series as a subsampled version of…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-04-11 Alex Tank , Emily B. Fox , Ali Shojaie

We develop a Bayesian framework for cointegrated structural VAR models identified by two-state Markovian breaks in conditional covariances. The resulting structural VEC specification with Markov-switching heteroskedasticity (SVEC-MSH) is…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-06-10 Justyna Wróblewska , Łukasz Kwiatkowski
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