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Concerning systematic effects, the recommendation given in the GUM is to correct for them, but unfortunately no detailed information is available, how to do this. This publication will show, how systematic measurement deviations can be…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2011-02-16 Michael Krystek

A natural way to quantify uncertainties in Gaussian mixture models (GMMs) is through Bayesian methods. That said, sampling from the joint posterior distribution of GMMs via standard Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) imposes several…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-20 Santiago Marin , Bronwyn Loong , Anton H. Westveld

Understanding the uncertainty of a neural network's (NN) predictions is essential for many purposes. The Bayesian framework provides a principled approach to this, however applying it to NNs is challenging due to large numbers of parameters…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-02-27 Tim Pearce , Felix Leibfried , Alexandra Brintrup , Mohamed Zaki , Andy Neely

Several emerging post-Bayesian methods target a probability distribution for which an entropy-regularised variational objective is minimised. This increased flexibility introduces a computational challenge, as one loses access to an…

Computation · Statistics 2025-12-17 Clémentine Chazal , Heishiro Kanagawa , Zheyang Shen , Anna Korba , Chris. J. Oates

Estimating boundary curves has many applications such as economics, climate science, and medicine. Bayesian trend filtering has been developed as one of locally adaptive smoothing methods to estimate the non-stationary trend of data. This…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-13 Takahiro Onizuka , Fumiya Iwashige , Shintaro Hashimoto

Model Predictive Control (MPC) of an unknown system that is modelled by Gaussian Process (GP) techniques is studied in this paper. Using GP, the variances computed during the modelling and inference processes allow us to take model…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-12-06 Gang Cao , Edmund M-K Lai , Fakhrul Alam

Existing training criteria in automatic speech recognition(ASR) permit the model to freely explore more than one time alignments between the feature and label sequences. In this paper, we use entropy to measure a model's uncertainty, i.e.…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-12-26 Ehsan Variani , Ke Wu , David Rybach , Cyril Allauzen , Michael Riley

This article considers a class of disordered mean-field combinatorial optimization problems. We focus on the Gibbs measure, where the inverse temperature does not vary with the size of the graph and the edge weights are sampled from a…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-02-13 Partha S. Dey , Grigory Terlov

Many stochastic processes in the physical and biological sciences can be modelled as Brownian dynamics with multiplicative noise. However, numerical integrators for these processes can lose accuracy or even fail to converge when the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-04-22 Dominic Phillips , Charles Matthews , Benedict Leimkuhler

Configurational entropy has been revealed as a reliable method for constraining some parameters of a given model [Phys. Rev. D \textbf{92} (2015) 126005, Eur. Phys. J. C \textbf{76} (2016) 100]. In this letter we calculate the…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2016-10-12 R. A. C. Correa , P. H. R. S. Moraes , A. de Souza Dutra , W. de Paula , T. Frederico

Predictive inference requires balancing statistical accuracy against informational complexity, yet the choice of complexity measure is usually imposed rather than derived. We treat econometric objects as predictive rules, mappings from…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-16 Nicholas G. Polson , Daniel Zantedeschi

Regularization by the Shannon entropy enables us to efficiently and approximately solve optimal transport problems on a finite set. This paper is concerned with regularized optimal transport problems via Bregman divergence. We introduce the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-04-10 Keiichi Morikuni , Koya Sakakibara , Asuka Takatsu

A non-vanishing entropy production rate is one of the defining characteristics of any non-equilibrium system, and several techniques exist to determine this quantity directly from experimental data. The short-time inference scheme, derived…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-11-29 Biswajit Das , Sreekanth K Manikandan , Ayan Banerjee

Applying a machine learning model for decision-making in the real world requires to distinguish what the model knows from what it does not. A critical factor in assessing the knowledge of a model is to quantify its predictive uncertainty.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-15 Kajetan Schweighofer , Lukas Aichberger , Mykyta Ielanskyi , Sepp Hochreiter

Logic-Geometric Programming (LGP) is a powerful motion and manipulation planning framework, which represents hierarchical structure using logic rules that describe discrete aspects of problems, e.g., touch, grasp, hit, or push, and solves…

Robotics · Computer Science 2020-03-10 Jung-Su Ha , Danny Driess , Marc Toussaint

The grain boundary (GB) energy has a profound influence on the grain growth and properties of polycrystalline metals. Here, we show that the energy of a GB, normalized by the bulk cohesive energy, can be described purely by four geometric…

Materials Science · Physics 2022-01-31 Weike Ye , Hui Zheng , Chi Chen , Shyue Ping Ong

We investigate the statistical entropy of black holes within the framework of the generalized uncertainty principle (GUP) by employing effective metrics that incorporate leading-order and all-orders quantum gravitational corrections. We…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2025-08-05 Soon-Tae Hong , Yong-Wan Kim , Young-Jai Park

In this work we propose a novel method to ensure important entropy inequalities are satisfied semi-discretely when constructing reduced order models (ROMs) on nonlinear reduced manifolds. We are in particular interested in ROMs of systems…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-07-18 Robin Klein , Benjamin Sanderse , Pedro Costa , Rene Pecnik , Ruud Henkes

This paper shows how to evolve numerically the maximum entropy probability distributions for a given set of constraints, which is a variational calculus problem. An evolutionary algorithm can obtain approximations to some well-known…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-02-07 Raul Rojas

The generalized density matrix (GDM) method is used to calculate microscopically the parameters of the collective Hamiltonian. Higher order anharmonicities are obtained consistently with the lowest order results, the mean field…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2011-09-23 L. Y. Jia
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