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The paper investigates the problem of estimating the state of a time-varying system with a linear measurement model; in particular, the paper considers the case where the number of measurements available can be smaller than the number of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-04-07 Guido Cavraro , Emiliano Dall'Anese , Joshua Comden , Andrey Bernstein

We look at a stochastic time-varying optimization problem and we formulate online algorithms to find and track its optimizers in expectation. The algorithms are derived from the intuition that standard prediction and correction steps can be…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-04-11 Andrea Simonetto , Paolo Massioni

In this paper we introduce a family of stochastic gradient estimation techniques based of the perturbative expansion around the mean of the sampling distribution. We characterize the bias and variance of the resulting Taylor-corrected…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-11-18 Luca Ambrogioni , Marcel A. J. van Gerven

In this paper we propose a new parameter estimator that ensures global exponential convergence of linear regression models requiring only the necessary assumption of identifiability of the regression equation,which we show is equivalent to…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-08-20 Lei Wang , Romeo Ortega , Alexey Bobtsov , Jose Guadalupe Romero , Bowen Yi

Constrained stochastic nonlinear optimization problems have attracted significant attention for their ability to model complex real-world scenarios in physics, economics, and biology. As datasets continue to grow, online inference methods…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-27 Xinchen Du , Wanrong Zhu , Wei Biao Wu , Sen Na

Time-varying systems are a challenge in many scientific and engineering areas. Usually, estimation of time-varying parameters or signals must be performed online, which calls for the development of responsive online algorithms. In this…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-09-10 Sophie M. Fosson

We propose an online parametric estimation method of stochastic differential equations with discrete observations and misspecified modelling based on online gradient descent. Our study provides uniform upper bounds for the risks of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-10-18 Shogo Nakakita

Stochastic simulation has been widely used to analyze the performance of complex stochastic systems and facilitate decision making in those systems. Stochastic simulation is driven by the input model, which is a collection of probability…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-02-14 Tianyi Liu , Enlu Zhou

The stochastic gradient descent (SGD) algorithm is widely used for parameter estimation, especially for huge data sets and online learning. While this recursive algorithm is popular for computation and memory efficiency, quantifying…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-06-23 Wanrong Zhu , Xi Chen , Wei Biao Wu

A novel and efficient algorithm based on the Wiener chaos expansion is proposed for the stochastic Maxwell equations driven by Wiener process. The proposed algorithm can reduce the original stochastic system to the deterministic case and…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-08-05 Lihai Ji , Kuan Xue , Liying Zhang

Bayesian inference provides an attractive online-learning framework to analyze sequential data, and offers generalization guarantees which hold even with model mismatch and adversaries. Unfortunately, exact Bayesian inference is rarely…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-08-03 Badr-Eddine Chérief-Abdellatif , Pierre Alquier , Mohammad Emtiyaz Khan

This paper proposes a stochastic model predictive control method for linear systems affected by additive Gaussian disturbances that optimizes over disturbance feedback matrices online. Closed-loop satisfaction of probabilistic constraints…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-02-03 Marcell Bartos , Alexandre Didier , Jerome Sieber , Johannes Köhler , Melanie N. Zeilinger

Identification of nonlinear block-oriented models has been extensively studied. The presence of the process noise, more precisely its location in the block-oriented model influences essentially the development of a consistent identification…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-04-27 Erliang Zhang , Maarten Schoukens , Johan Schoukens

Accurate uncertainty estimates are important in sequential model-based decision-making tasks such as Bayesian optimization. However, these estimates can be imperfect if the data violates assumptions made by the model (e.g., Gaussianity).…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-27 Shachi Deshpande , Charles Marx , Volodymyr Kuleshov

In this paper, we propose control-theoretic methods as tools for the design of online optimization algorithms that are able to address dynamic, noisy, and partially uncertain time-varying quadratic objective functions. Our approach…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-02-03 Umberto Casti , Sandro Zampieri

In this paper, we study optimization problems where the cost function contains time-varying parameters that are unmeasurable and evolve according to linear, yet unknown, dynamics. We propose a solution that leverages control theoretic tools…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-03-20 Shivanshu Tripathi , Abed AlRahman Al Makdah , Fabio Pasqualetti

Dynamical systems with binary-valued observations are widely used in information industry, technology of biological pharmacy and other fields. Though there have been much efforts devoted to the identification of such systems, most of the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-07-09 Lantian Zhang , Yanlong Zhao , Lei Guo

Stochastic processes have found numerous applications in science, as they are broadly used to model a variety of natural phenomena. Due to their intrinsic randomness and uncertainty, they are, however, difficult to characterize. Here, we…

This paper describes a method for the online state estimation of systems described by a general class of linear noncausal time-varying difference descriptor equations subject to uncertainties. The method is based on the notions of a linear…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2007-11-09 Serhiy M. Zhuk

We study the problem of estimating a temporally varying coefficient and varying structure (VCVS) graphical model underlying nonstationary time series data, such as social states of interacting individuals or microarray expression profiles…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2010-12-21 Mladen Kolar , Eric P. Xing
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