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We extend the recently introduced regularization/Bayesian System Identification procedures to the estimation of time-varying systems. Specifically, we consider an online setting, in which new data become available at given time steps. The…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-09-26 Giulia Prando , Diego Romeres , Alessandro Chiuso

This paper focuses on analyzing the error of the randomized Euler algorithm when only noisy information about the coefficients of the underlying stochastic differential equation (SDE) and the driving Wiener process is available. Two classes…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-07-11 Marcin Baranek , Andrzej Kałuża , Paweł M. Morkisz , Paweł Przybyłowicz , Michał Sobieraj

Online (also called "recursive" or "adaptive") estimation of fixed model parameters in hidden Markov models is a topic of much interest in times series modelling. In this work, we propose an online parameter estimation algorithm that…

Computation · Statistics 2011-02-16 Olivier Cappé

This paper studies the problem of recursively estimating the weighted adjacency matrix of a network out of a temporal sequence of binary-valued observations. The observation sequence is generated from nonlinear networked dynamics in which…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-12-06 Yu Xing , Xingkang He , Haitao Fang , Karl Henrik Johansson

We develop and analyze algorithms for instrumental variable regression by viewing the problem as a conditional stochastic optimization problem. In the context of least-squares instrumental variable regression, our algorithms neither require…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-05-31 Xuxing Chen , Abhishek Roy , Yifan Hu , Krishnakumar Balasubramanian

In the last decades, due to the huge technological growth observed, it has become increasingly common that a collection of temporal data rapidly accumulates in vast amounts. This provides an opportunity for extracting valuable information…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-22 Felipe Elorrieta , Lucas Osses , Matias Cáceres , Susana Eyheramendy , Wilfredo Palma

Existing online continuous-time parameter estimation laws provide exact (asymptotic/exponential or finite/fixed time) identification of dynamical linear/nonlinear systems parameters only if the external perturbations are equaled to zero or…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-04-08 Anton Glushchenko , Konstantin Lastochkin

The classical approach to system identification is based on stochastic assumptions about the measurement error, and provides estimates that have random nature. Worst-case identification, on the other hand, only assumes the knowledge of…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2013-06-07 Fabrizio Dabbene , Mario Sznaier , Roberto Tempo

In many modern settings, data are acquired iteratively over time, rather than all at once. Such settings are known as online, as opposed to offline or batch. We introduce a simple technique for online parameter estimation, which can operate…

Computation · Statistics 2017-03-22 Hien D Nguyen

In this work, an adaptive predictive control scheme for linear systems with unknown parameters and bounded additive disturbances is proposed. In contrast to related adaptive control approaches that robustly consider the parametric…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-03-03 Johannes Teutsch , Christopher Narr , Sebastian Kerz , Dirk Wollherr , Marion Leibold

Block-oriented nonlinear models are popular in nonlinear modeling because of their advantages to be quite simple to understand and easy to use. To increase the flexibility of single branch block-oriented models, such as Hammerstein, Wiener,…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-08-23 Maarten Schoukens , Anna Marconato , Rik Pintelon , Gerd Vandersteen , Yves Rolain

We introduce a general framework of stochastic online convex optimization to obtain fast-rate stochastic regret bounds. We prove that algorithms such as online newton steps and a scale-free 10 version of Bernstein online aggregation achieve…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-24 Olivier Wintenberger

A new method is described for constructing a generalized solution for stochastic differential equations. The method is based on the Cameron-Martin version of the Wiener Chaos expansion and provides a unified framework for the study of…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 S. V. Lototsky , B. L. Rozovskii

We study the problem of estimating the parameters of a regression model from a set of observations, each consisting of a response and a predictor. The response is assumed to be related to the predictor via a regression model of unknown…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-05-19 Carlos Alberto Gomez-Uribe

This work extends causal inference with stochastic confounders. We propose a new approach to variational estimation for causal inference based on a representer theorem with a random input space. We estimate causal effects involving latent…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-01-26 Thanh Vinh Vo , Pengfei Wei , Wicher Bergsma , Tze-Yun Leong

Linear regression is arguably the most prominent among statistical inference methods, popular both for its simplicity as well as its broad applicability. On par with data-intensive applications, the sheer size of linear regression problems…

Applications · Statistics 2016-06-29 Dimitris Berberidis , Vassilis Kekatos , Georgios B. Giannakis

We consider the inference problem for parameters in stochastic differential equation models from discrete time observations (e.g. experimental or simulation data). Specifically, we study the case where one does not have access to…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-04-10 Sebastian Krumscheid

A popular technique for selecting and tuning machine learning estimators is cross-validation. Cross-validation evaluates overall model fit, usually in terms of predictive accuracy. In causal inference, the optimal choice of estimator…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-07 Dominik Rothenhäusler

This contribution proposes a recursive, computationally efficient, ready-to-use, online method for the ellipsoidal state characterization for linear discrete-time models with additive unknown disturbances vectors (bounded by known possibly…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-04-28 Yasmina Becis-Aubry

In the context of large samples, a small number of individuals might spoil basic statistical indicators like the mean. It is difficult to detect automatically these atypical individuals, and an alternative strategy is using robust…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-04-04 Antoine Godichon-Baggioni , Wei Lu