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Currently, there are no convincing proxies for the fundamentals of cryptocurrency assets. We propose a new market-to-fundamental ratio, the price-to-utility (PU) ratio, utilizing unique blockchain accounting methods. We then proxy various…

General Economics · Economics 2023-07-11 Yulin Liu , Luyao Zhang

In this paper, we study the ability to make the short-term prediction of the exchange price fluctuations towards the United States dollar for the Bitcoin market. We use the data of realized volatility collected from one of the largest…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-02-08 Tian Guo , Albert Bifet , Nino Antulov-Fantulin

There has been a recent surge in interest in the application of artificial intelligence to automated trading. Reinforcement learning has been applied to single- and multi-instrument use cases, such as market making or portfolio management.…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2020-04-16 Jonathan Sadighian

Cryptocurrencies are highly volatile financial instruments with more and more new retail investors joining the scene with each passing day. Bitcoin has always proved to determine in which way the rest of the cryptocurrency market is headed…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-11-22 Rahul Arulkumaran , Suyash Kumar , Shikha Tomar , Manideep Gongalla , Harshitha

Bitcoin as well as other cryptocurrencies are all plagued by the impact from bifurcation. Since the marginal cost of bifurcation is theoretically zero, it causes the coin holders to doubt on the existence of the coin's intrinsic value. This…

General Economics · Economics 2019-04-11 Zhiyong Tu , Lan Ju

We propose a modelling framework for the optimal selection of crypto assets. Crypto assets differ by two essential features: security (technological) and stability (governance). Investors make choices over crypto assets similarly to how…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2019-07-23 Silvia Bartolucci , Andrei Kirilenko

Cryptocurrency is a well-developed blockchain technology application that is currently a heated topic throughout the world. The public availability of transaction histories offers an opportunity to analyze and compare different…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-08-28 Jiaqi Liang , Linjing Li , Daniel Zeng

Traditional data valuation methods based on ``row-count $\times$ quality coefficient'' paradigms fail to capture the nuanced, nonlinear contributions that data makes to Large Language Model (LLM) capabilities. This paper presents a dynamic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-28 Minghui Xu , Qi Luo , Kun Li

We argue that the machine learning value chain is structurally unsustainable due to an economic data processing inequality: each state in the data cycle from inputs to model weights to synthetic outputs refines technical signal but strips…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-16 Ruoxi Jia , Luis Oala , Wenjie Xiong , Suqin Ge , Jiachen T. Wang , Feiyang Kang , Dawn Song

Cryptocurrencies have gained tremendous popularity over the past few years. The purpose of this study is to try to understand the factors that are driving cryptocurrency-related trading activities. Focusing on the well-established…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2019-01-04 Natalia Jerdack , Akmaral Dauletbek , Meredith Divine , Michael Hult , Arthur Carvalho

The availability of data on digital traces is growing to unprecedented sizes, but inferring actionable knowledge from large-scale data is far from being trivial. This is especially important for computational finance, where digital traces…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-05-13 David Garcia , Frank Schweitzer

We focus on the problem of market making in high-frequency trading. Market making is a critical function in financial markets that involves providing liquidity by buying and selling assets. However, the increasing complexity of financial…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2023-07-03 Jiafa He , Cong Zheng , Can Yang

Correlation networks were used to detect characteristics which, although fixed over time, have an important influence on the evolution of prices over time. Potentially important features were identified using the websites and whitepapers of…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-06-19 Andrew Burnie

Price benchmarks are used to incorporate market price trends into contracts, but their use can create opportunities for manipulation by parties involved in the contract. This paper examines this issue using a realistic and tractable model…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2025-06-30 Ángel Hernando-Veciana

This paper discusses the dynamics of intraday prices of twelve cryptocurrencies during last months' boom and bust. The importance of this study lies on the extended coverage of the cryptoworld, accounting for more than 90\% of the total…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-08-07 Aurelio F. Bariviera , Luciano Zunino , Osvaldo A. Rosso

Most finance studies are discussed on the basis of several hypotheses, for example, investors rationally optimize their investment strategies. However, the hypotheses themselves are sometimes criticized. Market impacts, where trades of…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-02-03 Takanobu Mizuta , Isao Yagi , Kosei Takashima

Portfolio management is the decision-making process of allocating an amount of fund into different financial investment products. Cryptocurrencies are electronic and decentralized alternatives to government-issued money, with Bitcoin as the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-05-12 Zhengyao Jiang , Jinjun Liang

Cryptocurrencies, such as Bitcoin, are becoming increasingly popular, having been widely used as an exchange medium in areas such as financial transaction and asset transfer verification. However, there has been a lack of solutions that can…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2020-03-12 Shubhankar Mohapatra , Nauman Ahmed , Paulo Alencar

We motivate the study of the crypto asset class with eleven empirical facts, and study the drivers of crypto asset returns through the lens of univariate factors. We argue crypto assets are a new, attractive, and independent asset class. In…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-05-27 Adam Baybutt

Trading large volumes of a financial asset in order driven markets requires the use of algorithmic execution dividing the volume in many transactions in order to minimize costs due to market impact. A proper design of an optimal execution…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-05 Enzo Busseti , Fabrizio Lillo