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Several studies have focused on the Realized Range Volatility, an estimator of the quadratic variation of financial prices, taking into account the impact of microstructure noise and jumps. However, none has considered direct modeling and…

Applications · Statistics 2014-10-28 Giovanni Bonaccolto , Massimiliano Caporin

In this paper we propose a new stochastic model based on a generalization of semi-Markov chains to study the high frequency price dynamics of traded stocks. We assume that the financial returns are described by a weighted indexed…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-05 Guglielmo D'Amico , Filippo Petroni

Markowitz (1952, 1959) laid down the ground-breaking work on the mean-variance analysis. Under his framework, the theoretical optimal allocation vector can be very different from the estimated one for large portfolios due to the intrinsic…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-16 Jianqing Fan , Jingjin Zhang , Ke Yu

Portfolio optimization in real-world financial markets is notoriously difficult due to non-stationarity, noisy data, and high transaction costs. Standard predict-then-optimize methods first forecast returns and then solve for weights,…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-29 Rahul Fernandes , Travis Desell

This paper investigates the dependence of functional portfolio generation, introduced by Fernholz (1999), on an extra finite variation process. The framework of Karatzas and Ruf (2017) is used to formulate conditions on trading strategies…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-01-25 Johannes Ruf , Kangjianan Xie

We study the consistency of sample mean-variance portfolios of arbitrarily high dimension that are based on Bayesian or shrinkage estimation of the input parameters as well as weighted sampling. In an asymptotic setting where the number of…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-05-30 Francisco Rubio , Xavier Mestre , Daniel P. Palomar

We consider the problem of portfolio selection within the classical Markowitz mean-variance framework, reformulated as a constrained least-squares regression problem. We propose to add to the objective function a penalty proportional to the…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2013-01-01 Joshua Brodie , Ingrid Daubechies , Christine De Mol , Domenico Giannone , Ignace Loris

We introduce a new system of stochastic differential equations which models dependence of market beta and unsystematic risk upon size, measured by market capitalization. We fit our model using size deciles data from Kenneth French's data…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-04-28 Andrey Sarantsev , Blessing Ofori-Atta , Brandon Flores

Non-equilibrium phenomena occur not only in physical world, but also in finance. In this work, stochastic relaxational dynamics (together with path integrals) is applied to option pricing theory. A recently proposed model (by Ilinski et…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Matthias Otto

We amend and extend the Chiarella model of financial markets to deal with arbitrary long-term value drifts in a consistent way. This allows us to improve upon existing calibration schemes, opening the possibility of calibrating individual…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2026-02-11 Jutta G. Kurth , Adam A. Majewski , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

We determine rates of convergence of rank-based interacting diffusions and semimartingale reflecting Brownian motions to equilibrium. Convergence rate for the total variation metric is derived using Lyapunov functions. Sharp fluctuations of…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-08-02 Tomoyuki Ichiba , Soumik Pal , Mykhaylo Shkolnikov

We consider a mean-reverting stochastic volatility model which satisfies some relevant stylized facts of financial markets. We introduce an algorithm for the detection of peaks in the volatility profile, that we apply to the time series of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-12-05 Mario Bonino , Matteo Camelia , Paolo Pigato

We derive the joint density of market weights, at fixed times and suitable stopping times, of the volatility-stabilized market models introduced by Fernholz and Karatzas in [Ann. Finan. 1 (2005) 149-177]. The argument rests on computing the…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-03-13 Soumik Pal

The Stochastic Volatility (SV) model and its variants are widely used in the financial sector while recurrent neural network (RNN) models are successfully used in many large-scale industrial applications of Deep Learning. Our article…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-01-25 Trong-Nghia Nguyen , Minh-Ngoc Tran , David Gunawan , R. Kohn

Cover's celebrated theorem states that the long run yield of a properly chosen "universal" portfolio is as good as the long run yield of the best retrospectively chosen constant rebalanced portfolio. The "universality" pertains to the fact…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-11-30 Christa Cuchiero , Walter Schachermayer , Ting-Kam Leonard Wong

Volatility, as a primary indicator of financial risk, forms the foundation of classical frameworks such as Markowitz's Portfolio Theory and the Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMH). However, its conventional use rests on assumptions-most…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-08-19 Sergio Bianchi , Daniele Angelini , Massimiliano Frezza , Augusto Pianese

This paper describes the dependence of market-based statistical moments of returns on statistical moments and correlations of the current and past trade values. We use Markowitz's definition of value weighted return of a portfolio as the…

General Economics · Economics 2026-02-17 Victor Olkhov

The dynamic hedging theory only makes sense in the setup of one given model, whereas the practice of dynamic hedging is just the opposite, with models fleeing after the data through daily recalibration. This is quite of a quantitative…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-06 Cyril Bénézet , Stéphane Crépey , Dounia Essaket

Various financial market scenarios may cause heterogeneous risk assessments among analysts, which motivates the usage of the Generalized Risk Measure in Fadina et al. (2024, Finance and Stochastics). Effectively synthesizing these diverse…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-13 Yang Liu , Yunran Wei , Xintao Ye

This paper develops a two-step estimation methodology, which allows us to apply catastrophe theory to stock market returns with time-varying volatility and model stock market crashes. Utilizing high frequency data, we estimate the daily…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-05-23 Jozef Barunik , Jiri Kukacka