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Time series analysis is a field of data science which is interested in analyzing sequences of numerical values ordered in time. Time series are particularly interesting because they allow us to visualize and understand the evolution of a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-02 Hassan Ismail Fawaz

Time Series Forecasting (TSF) has long been a challenge in time series analysis. Inspired by the success of Large Language Models (LLMs), researchers are now developing Large Time Series Models (LTSMs)-universal transformer-based models…

Across engineering and scientific domains, traditional deep learning (TDL) models perform well when training and test data share the same distribution. However, the dynamic nature of real-world data, broadly termed \textit{data shift},…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-15 Samuel Myren , Nidhi Parikh , Natalie Klein

Time series forecasting is widely used in business intelligence, e.g., forecast stock market price, sales, and help the analysis of data trend. Most time series of interest are macroscopic time series that are aggregated from microscopic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-28 Zhibo Zhu , Ziqi Liu , Ge Jin , Zhiqiang Zhang , Lei Chen , Jun Zhou , Jianyong Zhou

Time series modelling is essential for solving tasks such as predictive maintenance, quality control and optimisation. Deep learning is widely used for solving such problems. When managing complex manufacturing process with neural networks,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-17 Alexey Kurochkin

Due to its probabilistic nature, fault prognostics is a prime example of a use case for deep learning utilizing big data. However, the low availability of such data sets combined with the high effort of fitting, parameterizing and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-05 Benjamin Maschler

Several applications in time series forecasting require predicting multiple steps ahead. Despite the vast amount of literature in the topic, both classical and recent deep learning based approaches have mostly focused on minimising…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-15 Ignacio Hounie , Javier Porras-Valenzuela , Alejandro Ribeiro

The project aims to research on combining deep learning specifically Long-Short Memory (LSTM) and basic statistics in multiple multistep time series prediction. LSTM can dive into all the pages and learn the general trends of variation in a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-10-13 Chuanyun Zang

Machine Learning (ML) and Deep Learning (DL) methods are increasingly replacing traditional methods in many domains involved with important decision making activities. DL techniques tailor-made for specific tasks such as image recognition,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-05 Hansika Hewamalage , Klaus Ackermann , Christoph Bergmeir

This paper introduces a novel meta-learning algorithm for time series forecast model performance prediction. We model the forecast error as a function of time series features calculated from the historical time series with an efficient…

Applications · Statistics 2022-07-11 Thiyanga S. Talagala , Feng Li , Yanfei Kang

Large Language Models (LLMs) have shown significant promise in plan generation. Yet, existing datasets often lack the complexity needed for advanced tool use scenarios - such as handling paraphrased query statements, supporting multiple…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-20 Andrei Cosmin Redis , Mohammadreza Fani Sani , Bahram Zarrin , Andrea Burattin

While previous research in multivariate time series forecasting has focused on developing complex holistic models, this work advocates for a shift toward a granular, component-level understanding of their impacts. We propose TSCOMP, the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-27 Shuang Liang , Chaochuan Hou , Xu Yao , Shiping Wang , Hailiang Huang , Songqiao Han , Minqi Jiang

Large language models (LLMs) are being applied to time series forecasting. But are language models actually useful for time series? In a series of ablation studies on three recent and popular LLM-based time series forecasting methods, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-29 Mingtian Tan , Mike A. Merrill , Vinayak Gupta , Tim Althoff , Thomas Hartvigsen

Transformers have demonstrated impressive strength in long-term series forecasting. Existing prediction research mostly focused on mapping past short sub-series (lookback window) to future series (forecast window). The longer training…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-22 Julong Young , Junhui Chen , Feihu Huang , Jian Peng

The Transformer is a highly successful deep learning model that has revolutionised the world of artificial neural networks, first in natural language processing and later in computer vision. This model is based on the attention mechanism…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-09 Riccardo Ughi , Eugenio Lomurno , Matteo Matteucci

Anticipating supply chain disruptions before they materialize is a core challenge for firms and policymakers alike. A key difficulty is learning to reason reliably about infrequent, high-impact events from noisy and unstructured inputs - a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-03 Benjamin Turtel , Paul Wilczewski , Kris Skotheim

This paper investigates the critical role of hyperparameters in predictive multiplicity, where different machine learning models trained on the same dataset yield divergent predictions for identical inputs. These inconsistencies can…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-19 Mustafa Cavus , Katarzyna Woźnica , Przemysław Biecek

For deep learning practitioners, hyperparameter tuning for optimizing model performance can be a computationally expensive task. Though visualization can help practitioners relate hyperparameter settings to overall model performance,…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2021-05-26 Hyekang Joo , Calvin Bao , Ishan Sen , Furong Huang , Leilani Battle

Deep Learning has demonstrated a significant improvement against traditional machine learning approaches in different domains such as image and speech recognition. Their success on benchmark datasets is transferred to the real-world through…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-10-12 Ahmad Mustapha , Wael Khreich , Wasim Masr

Time Series Forecasting (TSF) is used to predict the target variables at a future time point based on the learning from previous time points. To keep the problem tractable, learning methods use data from a fixed length window in the past as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-26 Jimeng Shi , Mahek Jain , Giri Narasimhan