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We propose a Weighted Autoregressive Varying gatE (WAVE) attention mechanism equipped with both Autoregressive (AR) and Moving-average (MA) components. It can adapt to various attention mechanisms, enhancing and decoupling their ability to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-06 Jiecheng Lu , Xu Han , Yan Sun , Shihao Yang

Inspired by the success of large language models (LLMs) in natural language processing, recent research has explored the building of time series foundation models and applied them to tasks such as forecasting, classification, and anomaly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-04 Chihiro Maru , Shoetsu Sato

Retrieval-Augmented Generation (RAG) improves large language models by retrieving external knowledge, often truncated into smaller chunks due to the input context window, which leads to information loss, resulting in response hallucinations…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-11-18 Jie Zhang , Bo Tang , Wanzi Shao , Wenqiang Wei , Jihao Zhao , Jianqing Zhu , Zhiyu li , Wen Xi , Zehao Lin , Feiyu Xiong , Yanchao Tan

Time series forecasting (TSF) plays a crucial role in many applications. Transformer-based methods are one of the mainstream techniques for TSF. Existing methods treat all token dependencies equally. However, we find that the effectiveness…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-03-11 Jianqi Zhang , Jingyao Wang , Xingchen Shen , Wenwen Qiang

Accurate multi-step port-of-call sequence prediction is vital for tactical resource orchestration and logistical efficiency. However, existing methods struggle with unreliable voyage schedules and the inability of AIS data to provide…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-18 Yanzhao Su , Fang He , Yineng Wang

Multi-task and few-shot time series forecasting tasks are commonly encountered in scenarios such as the launch of new products in different cities. However, traditional time series forecasting methods suffer from insufficient historical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-25 Pengpeng Ouyang , Dong Chen , Tong Yang , Shuo Feng , Zhao Jin , Mingliang Xu

Long-term time series forecasting (LTSF) provides longer insights into future trends and patterns. Over the past few years, deep learning models especially Transformers have achieved advanced performance in LTSF tasks. However, LTSF faces…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-28 Aobo Liang , Xingguo Jiang , Yan Sun , Xiaohou Shi , Ke Li

Time series aggregation (TSA) aims to construct temporally aggregated optimization models that accurately represent the output space of their full-scale counterparts while using a significantly reduced temporal dimensionality. This paper…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-03-16 Thomas Klatzer , David Cardona-Vasquez , Luca Santosuosso , Sonja Wogrin

The surge in real-time data collection across various industries has underscored the need for advanced anomaly detection in both univariate and multivariate time series data. This paper introduces TransNAS-TSAD, a framework that synergizes…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-06 Ijaz Ul Haq , Byung Suk Lee , Donna M. Rizzo

Retrieval-Augmented Generation (RAG) utilizes external knowledge to augment Large Language Models' (LLMs) reliability. For flexibility, agentic RAG employs autonomous, multi-round retrieval and reasoning to resolve queries. Although recent…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2025-11-10 Chao Zhang , Yuhao Wang , Derong Xu , Haoxin Zhang , Yuanjie Lyu , Yuhao Chen , Shuochen Liu , Tong Xu , Xiangyu Zhao , Yan Gao , Yao Hu , Enhong Chen

Following the success of Transformer architectures in language modeling, particularly their ability to capture long-range dependencies, researchers have explored how these architectures can be adapted for time-series forecasting.…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-10-07 Abukar Ali

Time series forecasting is essential for many practical applications, with the adoption of transformer-based models on the rise due to their impressive performance in NLP and CV. Transformers' key feature, the attention mechanism,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-09 PeiSong Niu , Tian Zhou , Xue Wang , Liang Sun , Rong Jin

Long-term time series forecasting (LTSF) is important for various domains but is confronted by challenges in handling the complex temporal-contextual relationships. As multivariate input models underperforming some recent univariate…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-06 Jiecheng Lu , Xu Han , Shihao Yang

Organizations increasingly rely on proprietary enterprise data, including HR records, structured reports, and tabular documents, for critical decision-making. While Large Language Models (LLMs) have strong generative capabilities, they are…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-07-17 Chandana Cheerla

Urban forecasting models often face a severe data imbalance problem: only a few cities have dense, long-span records, while many others expose short or incomplete histories. Direct transfer from data-rich to data-scarce cities is unreliable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-23 Yue Jiang , Chenxi Liu , Yile Chen , Qin Chao , Shuai Liu , Cheng Long , Gao Cong

Time series forecasting is an important task in many fields ranging from supply chain management to weather forecasting. Recently, Transformer neural network architectures have shown promising results in forecasting on common time series…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-08 Rares Cristian , Pavithra Harsha , Clemente Ocejo , Georgia Perakis , Brian Quanz , Ioannis Spantidakis , Hamza Zerhouni

Transformers have demonstrated remarkable efficacy in forecasting time series data. However, their extensive dependence on self-attention mechanisms demands significant computational resources, thereby limiting their practical applicability…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-26 Cat P. Le , Chris Cannella , Ali Hasan , Yuting Ng , Vahid Tarokh

Predicting click-through rates (CTR) is a fundamental task for Web applications, where a key issue is to devise effective models for feature interactions. Current methodologies predominantly concentrate on modeling feature interactions…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2024-04-08 Yushen Li , Jinpeng Wang , Tao Dai , Jieming Zhu , Jun Yuan , Rui Zhang , Shu-Tao Xia

Retrieval-Augmented Generation (RAG) has emerged as a powerful approach to mitigate large language model (LLM) hallucinations by incorporating external knowledge retrieval. However, existing RAG frameworks often apply retrieval…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2025-07-29 Jinyan Su , Jennifer Healey , Preslav Nakov , Claire Cardie

Time series forecasting (TSF) is essential in various domains, and recent advancements in diffusion-based TSF models have shown considerable promise. However, these models typically adopt traditional diffusion patterns, treating TSF as a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-13 Jiaxin Gao , Qinglong Cao , Yuntian Chen