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Uncertainty in optimization is often represented as stochastic parameters in the optimization model. In Predict-Then-Optimize approaches, predictions of a machine learning model are used as values for such parameters, effectively…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-03 Pieter Smet

Sales pipeline analysis is fundamental to proactive management of an enterprize's sales pipeline and critical for business success. In particular, win propensity prediction, which involves quantitatively estimating the likelihood that…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2015-02-24 Junchi Yan , Min Gong , Changhua Sun , Jin Huang , Stephen M. Chu

The recent emergence of diffusion models has significantly advanced the precision of learnable priors, presenting innovative avenues for addressing inverse problems. Since inverse problems inherently entail maximum a posteriori estimation,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-22 Jiawei Zhang , Jiaxin Zhuang , Cheng Jin , Gen Li , Yuantao Gu

The determination of acceptability prices of contingent claims requires the choice of a stochastic model for the underlying asset price dynamics. Given this model, optimal bid and ask prices can be found by stochastic optimization. However,…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2019-01-31 Martin Glanzer , Georg Ch. Pflug , Alois Pichler

Electricity price forecasting has become a critical tool for decision-making in energy markets, particularly as the increasing penetration of renewable energy introduces greater volatility and uncertainty. Historically, research in this…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-11-11 Ciaran O'Connor , Mohamed Bahloul , Steven Prestwich , Andrea Visentin

Car-following models, as the essential part of traffic microscopic simulations, have been utilized to analyze and estimate longitudinal drivers' behavior since sixty years ago. The conventional car following models use mathematical formulas…

Applications · Statistics 2018-06-13 Sina Dabiri , Montasir Abbas

Auto-bidding is essential in facilitating online advertising by automatically placing bids on behalf of advertisers. Generative auto-bidding, which generates bids based on an adjustable condition using models like transformers and…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-06-04 Yewen Li , Shuai Mao , Jingtong Gao , Nan Jiang , Yunjian Xu , Qingpeng Cai , Fei Pan , Peng Jiang , Bo An

Boosting is a general method of generating many simple classification rules and combining them into a single, highly accurate rule. In this talk, I will review the AdaBoost boosting algorithm and some of its underlying theory, and then look…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-01-07 Robert E. Schapire

Data collection in economically constrained countries often necessitates using approximate and biased measurements due to the low-cost of the sensors used. This leads to potentially invalid predictions and poor policies or decision making.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-02 Michael T. Smith , Joel Ssematimba , Mauricio A. Alvarez , Engineer Bainomugisha

Home sale prices are formed given the transaction actors economic interests, which include government, real estate dealers, and the general public who buy or sell properties. Generating an accurate property price prediction model is a major…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-25 Shashi Bhushan Jha , Vijay Pandey , Rajesh Kumar Jha , Radu F. Babiceanu

Auto-bidding is widely used in advertising systems, serving a diverse range of advertisers. Generative bidding is increasingly gaining traction due to its strong planning capabilities and generalizability. Unlike traditional reinforcement…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-26 Yunshan Peng , Wenzheng Shu , Jiahao Sun , Yanxiang Zeng , Jinan Pang , Wentao Bai , Yunke Bai , Xialong Liu , Peng Jiang

In applications of predictive modeling, such as insurance pricing, indirect or proxy discrimination is an issue of major concern. Namely, there exists the possibility that protected policyholder characteristics are implicitly inferred from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-07 Mathias Lindholm , Ronald Richman , Andreas Tsanakas , Mario V. Wüthrich

Probabilistic regression models the entire predictive distribution of a response variable, offering richer insights than classical point estimates and directly allowing for uncertainty quantification. While diffusion-based generative models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-07 Carlo Kneissl , Christopher Bülte , Philipp Scholl , Gitta Kutyniok

There is growing importance to detecting faults and implementing the best methods in industrial and real-world systems. We are searching for the most trustworthy and practical data-based fault detection methods proposed by artificial…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-01-11 Mohammad Hossein Modirrousta , Mahdi Aliyari Shoorehdeli , Mostafa Yari , Arash Ghahremani

One of the greatest challenges towards fully autonomous cars is the understanding of complex and dynamic scenes. Such understanding is needed for planning of maneuvers, especially those that are particularly frequent such as lane changes.…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2018-05-18 Oliver Scheel , Loren Schwarz , Nassir Navab , Federico Tombari

Auctions are becoming an increasingly popular method for transacting business, especially over the Internet. This article presents a general approach to building autonomous bidding agents to bid in multiple simultaneous auctions for…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2011-06-28 J. A. Csirik , M. L. Littman , D. McAllester , R. E. Schapire , P. Stone

Probabilistic programming languages (PPLs) are a powerful modeling tool, able to represent any computable probability distribution. Unfortunately, probabilistic program inference is often intractable, and existing PPLs mostly rely on…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2016-10-19 Daniel Ritchie , Paul Horsfall , Noah D. Goodman

Premium automotive manufacturers face increasingly complex forecasting challenges due to high product variety, sparse variant-level data, and volatile market dynamics. This study addresses monthly automobile demand forecasting across a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-24 Tom Nahrendorf , Stefan Minner , Helfried Binder , Richard Zinck

The main goal of this topic is to showcase several studied algorithms for estimating the linear utility function to predict the users preferences. For example, if a user comes to buy a car that has several attributes including speed, color,…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2025-06-17 Thomas Hoang

Trajectory planning for automated vehicles commonly employs optimization over a moving horizon - Model Predictive Control - where the cost function critically influences the resulting driving style. However, finding a suitable cost function…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-20 Lukas Theiner , Sebastian Hirt , Alexander Steinke , Rolf Findeisen
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