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In this paper, we performs a credit risk analysis, on the data of past loan applicants of a company named Lending Club. The calculation required the use of exploratory data analysis and machine learning classification algorithms, namely,…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-10-12 Aadi Gupta , Priya Gulati , Siddhartha P. Chakrabarty

The forecasting of the credit default risk has been an important research field for several decades. Traditionally, logistic regression has been widely recognized as a solution due to its accuracy and interpretability. As a recent trend,…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-09-22 Dangxing Chen , Weicheng Ye , Jiahui Ye

Compared to consumer lending, Micro, Small and Medium Enterprise (mSME) credit risk modelling is particularly challenging, as, often, the same sources of information are not available. Therefore, it is standard policy for a loan officer to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-09 Matthew Stevenson , Christophe Mues , Cristián Bravo

Measuring the corporate default risk is broadly important in economics and finance. Quantitative methods have been developed to predictively assess future corporate default probabilities. However, as a more difficult yet crucial problem,…

Applications · Statistics 2018-04-26 Miao Yuan , Cheng Yong Tang , Yili Hong , Jian Yang

Over the last years, machine learning techniques have been applied to more and more application domains, including software engineering and, especially, software quality assurance. Important application domains have been, e.g., software…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2021-04-30 Safa Omri , Carsten Sinz

Automatic credit scoring, which assesses the probability of default by loan applicants, plays a vital role in peer-to-peer lending platforms to reduce the risk of lenders. Although it has been demonstrated that dynamic selection techniques…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-20 Mahsan Abdoli , Mohammad Akbari , Jamal Shahrabi

Credit card fraud has emerged as major problem in the electronic payment sector. In this survey, we study data-driven credit card fraud detection particularities and several machine learning methods to address each of its intricate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-14 Yvan Lucas , Johannes Jurgovsky

In this paper, we study mid-cap companies, i.e. publicly traded companies with less than US $10 billion in market capitalisation. Using a large dataset of US mid-cap companies observed over 30 years, we look to predict the default…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-05-13 Kamesh Korangi , Christophe Mues , Cristián Bravo

This paper studies the consequences of capturing non-linear dependence among the covariates that drive the default of different obligors and the overall riskiness of their credit portfolio. Joint default modeling is, without loss of…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-09-06 Margherita Doria , Elisa Luciano , Patrizia Semeraro

Credit card frauds are at an ever-increasing rate and have become a major problem in the financial sector. Because of these frauds, card users are hesitant in making purchases and both the merchants and financial institutions bear heavy…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-08 Thanh Thi Nguyen , Hammad Tahir , Mohamed Abdelrazek , Ali Babar

Banks and financial institutions all over the world manage portfolios containing tens of thousands of customers. Not all customers are high credit-worthy, and many possess varying degrees of risk to the Bank or financial institutions that…

Applications · Statistics 2021-09-17 Dominic Joseph

The widespread use of machine learning in credit scoring has brought significant advancements in risk assessment and decision-making. However, it has also raised concerns about potential biases, discrimination, and lack of transparency in…

The digitalization of credit scoring has become essential for financial institutions and commercial banks, especially in the era of digital transformation. Machine learning techniques are commonly used to evaluate customers'…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-06 Huyen Giang Thi Thu , Thang Viet Doan , Ha-Bang Ban , Tai Le Quy

The risk of a credit portfolio depends crucially on correlations between the probability of default (PD) in different economic sectors. Often, PD correlations have to be estimated from relatively short time series of default rates, and the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 Bernd Rosenow , Rafael Weissbach , Frank Altrock

Researchers have been highly active to investigate the classical machine learning workflow and integrate best practices from the software engineering lifecycle. However, deep learning exhibits deviations that are not yet covered in this…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2022-08-30 Janosch Baltensperger , Pasquale Salza , Harald C. Gall

Banks utilize credit scoring as an important indicator of financial strength and eligibility for credit. Scoring models aim to assign statistical odds or probabilities for predicting if there is a risk of nonpayment in relation to many…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-03-10 Oguz Koc , Omur Ugur , A. Sevtap Kestel

With the increase of credit card usage, the volume of credit card misuse also has significantly increased. As a result, financial organizations are working hard on developing and deploying credit card fraud detection methods, in order to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-09 Niloofar Yousefi , Marie Alaghband , Ivan Garibay

Risk management is an important practice in the banking industry. In this paper we develop a new methodology to estimate and predict the probability of default (PD) based on the rating transition matrices, which relates the rating…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-03-28 Jinghai Shao , Siming Li , Yong Li

Academics and practitioners have studied over the years models for predicting firms bankruptcy, using statistical and machine-learning approaches. An earlier sign that a company has financial difficulties and may eventually bankrupt is…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-02-27 Tesi Aliaj , Aris Anagnostopoulos , Stefano Piersanti

This paper proposes a two-stage scoring approach to help lenders decide their fund allocations in the peer-to-peer (P2P) lending market. The existing scoring approaches focus on only either probability of default (PD) prediction, known as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-10-10 Kaveh Bastani , Elham Asgari , Hamed Namavari