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Predicting cryptocurrency returns is notoriously difficult: price movements are driven by a fast-shifting blend of on-chain activity, news flow, and social sentiment, while labeled training data are scarce and expensive. In this paper, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-03 Junqiao Wang , Zhaoyang Guan , Guanyu Liu , Tianze Xia , Xianzhi Li , Shuo Yin , Xinyuan Song , Chuhan Cheng , Tianyu Shi , Alex Lee

In this paper, we analyze Twitter signals as a medium for user sentiment to predict the price fluctuations of a small-cap alternative cryptocurrency called \emph{ZClassic}. We extracted tweets on an hourly basis for a period of 3.5 weeks,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-05-04 Tianyu Ray Li , Anup S. Chamrajnagar , Xander R. Fong , Nicholas R. Rizik , Feng Fu

Forecasting winners in E-sports with real-time analytics has the potential to further engage audiences watching major tournament events. However, making such real-time predictions is challenging due to unpredictable variables within the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-27 Kittimate Chulajata , Sean Wu , Fabien Scalzo , Eun Sang Cha

Transformer-based methods have shown great potential in long-term time series forecasting. However, most of these methods adopt the standard point-wise self-attention mechanism, which not only becomes intractable for long-term forecasting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-24 Dazhao Du , Bing Su , Zhewei Wei

This study analyzes the transmission of market uncertainty on key European financial markets and the cryptocurrency market over an extended period, encompassing the pre, during, and post-pandemic periods. Daily financial market indices and…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-07-26 Apostolos Ampountolas

Financial literacy is increasingly dependent on the ability to interpret complex financial data and utilize advanced forecasting tools. In this context, this study proposes a novel approach that combines transformer-based time series models…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-06-10 Sukru Selim Calik , Andac Akyuz , Zeynep Hilal Kilimci , Kerem Colak

Blockchain platforms such as Ethereum and several others execute complex transactions in blocks through user-defined scripts known as smart contracts. To append a correct block into blockchain, miners execute these transactions of smart…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2019-01-15 Parwat Singh Anjana , Sweta Kumari , Sathya Peri , Sachin Rathor , Archit Somani

As a result of the greater availability of big data, as well as the decreasing costs and increasing power of modern computing, the use of artificial neural networks for financial time series forecasting is once again a major topic of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-04-21 Adam Balusik , Jared de Magalhaes , Rendani Mbuvha

We report on the use of sentiment analysis on news and social media to analyze and predict the price of Bitcoin. Bitcoin is the leading cryptocurrency and has the highest market capitalization among digital currencies. Predicting Bitcoin…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2020-02-04 Pratikkumar Prajapati

In this work, we propose to apply a new model fusion and learning paradigm, known as Combinatorial Fusion Analysis (CFA), to the field of Bitcoin price prediction. Price prediction of financial product has always been a big topic in…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-10 Yuanhong Wu , Wei Ye , Jingyan Xu , D. Frank Hsu

This paper proposes a hybrid framework combining LSTM (Long Short-Term Memory) networks with LightGBM and CatBoost for stock price prediction. The framework processes time-series financial data and evaluates performance using seven models:…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-30 Chang Yu , Fang Liu , Jie Zhu , Shaobo Guo , Yifan Gao , Zhongheng Yang , Meiwei Liu , Qianwen Xing

Host load prediction is the basic decision information for managing the computing resources usage on the cloud platform, its accuracy is critical for achieving the servicelevel agreement. Host load data in cloud environment is more high…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-07-31 Hengheng Shen , Xuehai Hong

Machine and deep learning-based algorithms are the emerging approaches in addressing prediction problems in time series. These techniques have been shown to produce more accurate results than conventional regression-based modeling. It has…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-22 Sima Siami-Namini , Neda Tavakoli , Akbar Siami Namin

Many cryptocurrency brokers nowadays offer a variety of derivative assets that allow traders to perform hedging or speculation. This paper proposes an effective algorithm based on neural networks to take advantage of these investment…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-03 Quoc Minh Nguyen , Dat Thanh Tran , Juho Kanniainen , Alexandros Iosifidis , Moncef Gabbouj

Financial trading is at the forefront of time-series analysis, and has grown hand-in-hand with it. The advent of electronic trading has allowed complex machine learning solutions to enter the field of financial trading. Financial markets…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-23 Prakhar Ganesh , Puneet Rakheja

This paper investigates the temporal patterns of activity in the cryptocurrency market with a focus on Bitcoin, Ethereum, Dogecoin, and WINkLink from January 2020 to December 2022. Market activity measures - logarithmic returns, volume, and…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2023-08-22 Marcin Wątorek , Maria Skupień , Jarosław Kwapień , Stanisław Drożdż

This study investigates the impact of varying sequence lengths on the accuracy of predicting cryptocurrency returns using Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs). Utilizing the Mean Absolute Error (MAE) as a threshold criterion, we aim to enhance…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-26 Silas Baumann , Karl A. Busch , Hamza A. A. Gardi

A main focus in economics research is understanding the time series of prices of goods and assets. While statistical models using only the properties of the time series itself have been successful in many aspects, we expect to gain a better…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-12-15 Dániel Kondor , István Csabai , János Szüle , Márton Pósfai , Gábor Vattay

The increasing adoption of Digital Assets (DAs), such as Bitcoin (BTC), rises the need for accurate option pricing models. Yet, existing methodologies fail to cope with the volatile nature of the emerging DAs. Many models have been proposed…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-09-28 Danial Saef , Yuanrong Wang , Tomaso Aste

This paper evaluates the performance of classical time series models in forecasting Bitcoin prices, focusing on ARIMA, SARIMA, GARCH, and EGARCH. Daily price data from 2010 to 2020 were analyzed, with models trained on the first 90 percent…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-11-11 Anmar Kareem , Alexander Aue
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