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While deep learning has achieved impressive performance in time series forecasting, it becomes increasingly crucial to understand its decision-making process for building trust in high-stakes scenarios. Existing interpretable models often…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-02 Ziheng Peng , Shijie Ren , Xinyue Gu , Linxiao Yang , Xiting Wang , Liang Sun

Periodic time series (PTS) forecasting plays a crucial role in a variety of industries to foster critical tasks, such as early warning, pre-planning, resource scheduling, etc. However, the complicated dependencies of the PTS signal on its…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-16 Wei Fan , Shun Zheng , Xiaohan Yi , Wei Cao , Yanjie Fu , Jiang Bian , Tie-Yan Liu

Time series data occurs widely, and outlier detection is a fundamental problem in data mining, which has numerous applications. Existing autoencoder-based approaches deliver state-of-the-art performance on challenging real-world data but…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-08 Tung Kieu , Bin Yang , Chenjuan Guo , Christian S. Jensen , Yan Zhao , Feiteng Huang , Kai Zheng

In the transformative landscape of smart cities, the integration of the cutting-edge web technologies into time series forecasting presents a pivotal opportunity to enhance urban planning, sustainability, and economic growth. The…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-10 Ziyi Zhang , Shaogang Ren , Xiaoning Qian , Nick Duffield

Energy systems modeling frequently relies on time series data, whether observed or forecast. This is particularly the case, for example, in capacity planning models that use hourly production and load data forecast to occur over the coming…

Computation · Statistics 2025-02-13 Kelly Wang , Steven O. Kimbrough

Time series forecasting is ubiquitous in the modern world. Applications range from health care to astronomy, and include climate modelling, financial trading and monitoring of critical engineering equipment. To offer value over this range…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-10-26 Bernardo Pérez Orozco , Gabriele Abbati , Stephen Roberts

Time series (TS) forecasting has been an unprecedentedly popular problem in recent years, with ubiquitous applications in both scientific and business fields. Various approaches have been introduced to time series analysis, including both…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-20 Ziyou Guo , Yan Sun , Tieru Wu

Delivering precise point and distributional forecasts across a spectrum of prediction horizons represents a significant and enduring challenge in the application of time-series forecasting within various industries. Prior research on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-22 Jiawen Zhang , Xumeng Wen , Zhenwei Zhang , Shun Zheng , Jia Li , Jiang Bian

The challenge of electronic component obsolescence is particularly critical in systems with long life cycles. Various obsolescence management methods are employed to mitigate its impact, with obsolescence forecasting being a highly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-05 Elie Saad , Mariem Besbes , Marc Zolghadri , Victor Czmil , Claude Baron , Vincent Bourgeois

Multivariate time-series forecasting holds immense value across diverse applications, requiring methods to effectively capture complex temporal and inter-variable dynamics. A key challenge lies in uncovering the intrinsic patterns that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-12 Liang Yu , Lai Tu , Xiang Bai

Time series forecasting has received wide interest from existing research due to its broad applications and inherent challenging. The research challenge lies in identifying effective patterns in historical series and applying them to future…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-14 Tianlong Zhao , Xiang Ma , Xuemei Li , Caiming Zhang

While time series diffusion models have received considerable focus from many recent works, the performance of existing models remains highly unstable. Factors limiting time series diffusion models include insufficient time series datasets…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-25 Jingwei Liu , Ling Yang , Hongyan Li , Shenda Hong

Time series forecasting involves collecting and analyzing past observations to develop a model to extrapolate such observations into the future. Forecasting of future events is important in many fields to support decision making as it…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-22 Igor Ilic , Berk Gorgulu , Mucahit Cevik , Mustafa Gokce Baydogan

Detecting out-of-distribution (OOD) data is a fundamental challenge in the deployment of machine learning models. From a security standpoint, this is particularly important because OOD test data can result in misleadingly confident yet…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-25 Onat Gungor , Amanda Sofie Rios , Nilesh Ahuja , Tajana Rosing

Diffusion models have recently emerged as powerful frameworks for generating high-quality images. While recent studies have explored their application to time series forecasting, these approaches face significant challenges in cross-modal…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-02-24 Weilin Ruan , Siru Zhong , Haomin Wen , Yuxuan Liang

The use of machine learning for time series prediction has become increasingly popular across various industries thanks to the availability of time series data and advancements in machine learning algorithms. However, traditional methods…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-06-01 Gonçalo Mateus , Cláudia Soares , João Leitão , António Rodrigues

Time-series forecasting finds broad applications in real-world scenarios. Due to the dynamic nature of time series data, it is important for time-series forecasting models to handle potential distribution shifts over time. In this paper, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-26 Zhiyuan Zhao , Haoxin Liu , B. Aditya Prakash

Time series forecasting plays a crucial role in various applications, particularly in healthcare, where accurate predictions of future health trajectories can significantly impact clinical decision-making. Ensuring transparency and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-22 Jeremy Qin

How to handle time features shall be the core question of any time series forecasting model. Ironically, it is often ignored or misunderstood by deep-learning based models, even those baselines which are state-of-the-art. This behavior…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-25 Li Shen , Yuning Wei , Yangzhu Wang

Rapid progress in machine learning and deep learning has enabled a wide range of applications in the electricity load forecasting of power systems, for instance, univariate and multivariate short-term load forecasting. Though the strong…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-20 Yuqi Jiang , Yan Li , Yize Chen
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