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Related papers: Is a Recent Surge in Global Warming Detectable?

200 papers

The recent increase in global temperature is attributed to anthropological global warming, (A.G.W), with a minor role for natural trends in temperature. The I.P.P.C estimates natural temperature (NAT) from climate models and attributes the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-02-01 Ian Edmonds

Trends in terrestrial temperature variability are perhaps more relevant for species viability than trends in mean temperature. In this paper, we develop methodology for estimating such trends using multi-resolution climate data from polar…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-01-23 Arash Khodadadi , Daniel J McDonald

We present here formal evidence of a strong linkage between temperature and East Antarctic ice accumulation over the past eight hundred kiloyears, after accounting for thinning. The conclusions are based on statistical analysis of a…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-09-27 Radhendushka Srivastava , Debasis Sengupta , Prosenjit Ghosh

Modern weather stations in Germany record daily temperatures every 10 minutes, whereas measurements from historical reference periods are often only available at much coarser temporal resolutions, typically hourly. This discrepancy must be…

Applications · Statistics 2026-05-27 Kevin Wilk , Hajo Holzmann

Understanding surface temperature is important for habitability. Recent work on Mars has found that the dependence of surface temperature on elevation (surface lapse rate) converges to zero in the limit of a thin CO2 atmosphere. However,…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2023-11-20 Bowen Fan , Malte F. Jansen , Michael A. Mischna , Edwin S. Kite

Rising demand for space cooling has been placing enormous strain on various technological, environmental, and societal dimensions, resulting in issues related to energy consumption, environmental sustainability, health and well-being,…

With climate modeling predicting a raise of at least 2 C by year 2100, the fate of ice has become a serious concern, but we still do not understand how ice grows (or melts). In the atmosphere, crystal growth rates of basal and prismatic…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-01-07 Pablo Llombart , Eva G. Noya , Luis G. MacDowell

This paper describes some of the astronomical effects that could be important for understanding the ice ages, historic climate changes and the recent temperature increase. These include changes in the sun's luminosity, periodic changes in…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2014-02-03 Donald C. Morton

Cenozoic temperature, sea level and CO2 co-variations provide insights into climate sensitivity to external forcings and sea level sensitivity to climate change. Climate sensitivity depends on the initial climate state, but potentially can…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2014-03-05 James Hansen , Makiko Sato , Gary Russell , Pushker Kharecha

Past research has shown that multiple climate subsystems might undergo abrupt shifts, such as the Arctic Winter sea ice or the Amazon rainforest, but there are large uncertainties regarding their timing and spatial extent. In this study we…

Two ways of parameterising the temporal dependence of the global average temperature anomalies after 1900 are put forth in this technical note. The models are fitted to the data of the Berkeley Earth Group (up to the end of 2023), after the…

Geophysics · Physics 2024-02-28 Evangelos Matsinos

Urbanization of an area is known to increase the temperature of the surrounding area. This phenomenon -- a so-called urban heat island (UHI) -- occurs at a local level over a period of time and has lasting impacts for historical data…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-30 Candace Berrett , Brianne Gurney , David Arthur , Todd Moon , Gus P. Williams

Important issues about climate change are summarized and discussed: A large body of evidence shows that the world climate is getting warmer. Climate models give a consistent explanation of this observation once human-made emissions of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2007-05-23 Michael Dittmar , Anne-Sylvie Nicollerat

Elementary physical reasoning seems to leave it inevitable that global warming would increase the variability of the weather. The first two terms in an approximation to the global entropy are used to show that global warming has increased…

General Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 John Michael Williams

In a recent paper attempts were made to quantify the respective solar and anthropogenic influences on the terrestrial climate, and to cautiously predict the global mean temperature over the next 130 years. In a double regression analysis,…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-01-19 Frank Stefani

Single changepoint tests have become a staple check for homogeneity of a climate time series, suggesting how climate has changed should non-homogeneity be declared. This paper summarizes the most prominent single changepoint tests used in…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-25 Robert Lund , Xueheng Shi

We use the Global Historical Climatology Network--daily database to calculate trends in sea-level atmospheric pressures, their variance and the variance of their day-to-day differences in nine regions of the world. Changes in pressure…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2019-02-05 T. A. Howells , J. I. Katz

Many natural systems undergo critical transitions, i.e. sudden shifts from one dynamical regime to another. In the climate system, the atmospheric boundary layer can experience sudden transitions between fully turbulent states and…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-08-26 Amandine Kaiser , Davide Faranda , Sebastian Krumscheid , Danijel Belušić , Nikki Vercauteren

Numerical model forecasts of near-surface temperatures are prone to error. This is because terrain can exert a strong influence on temperature that is not captured in numerical weather models due to spatial resolution limitations. To…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-06-19 Kevin Höhlein , Timothy Hewson , Rüdiger Westermann

We study the rotational and vibrational heating of diatomic molecules placed near a surface at finite temperature on the basis of macroscopic quantum electrodynamics. The internal molecular evolution is governed by transition rates that…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2009-12-14 Stefan Yoshi Buhmann , M. R. Tarbutt , Stefan Scheel , E. A. Hinds