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Related papers: Is a Recent Surge in Global Warming Detectable?

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The attribution of part of global warming to changes in the total solar irradiance (TSI) is an important topic which is not, yet, fully understood. Here, we examine the TSI induced temperature (T) changes on a variety of time scales, from…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2015-06-17 Anatoly Erlykin , Arnold Wolfendale

Climate is known for being characterised by strong non-linearity and chaotic behaviour. Nevertheless, few studies in climate science adopt statistical methods specifically designed for non-stationary or non-linear systems. Here we show how…

Applications · Statistics 2021-01-13 Federico Amato , Fabian Guignard , Vincent Humphrey , Mikhail Kanevski

Gil-Alana et al. (Physica A: 396, 42-50, 2014) compared the sunspot number record and the temperature record and found that they differ: the sunspot number record is characterized by a dominant 11-year cycle while the temperature record…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2014-07-30 Nicola Scafetta

We use continuous wavelet tools to characterize the dynamics of climate change across time and frequencies. This approach allows us to capture the changing patterns in the relationship between global mean temperature anomalies and climate…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-09-29 Luis Aguiar-Conraria , Vasco J. Gabriel , Luis F. Martins , Anthoulla Phella

Accurate assessment of anthropogenic climate change relies on historical instrumental data, yet observations from the early 20th century are sparse, fragmented, and uncertain. Conventional reconstructions rely on disparate statistical…

Herein we show that the historical records of mid-latitude auroras from 1700 to 1966 present oscillations with periods of about 9, 10-11, 20-21, 30 and 60 years. The same frequencies are found in proxy and instrumental global surface…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2015-03-20 Nicola Scafetta

The modeling of spatio-temporal trends in temperature extremes can help better understand the structure and frequency of heatwaves in a changing climate. Here, we study annual temperature maxima over Southern Europe using a century-spanning…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-08 Peng Zhong , Raphaël Huser , Thomas Opitz

The Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) is a key component of the climate system and considered to be a tipping element. There is still a large uncertainty on the critical global warming level at which the AMOC will start to…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-07-30 René M. van Westen , Elian Y. P. Vanderborght , Michael Kliphuis , Henk A. Dijkstra

Climate change is a result of a complex system of interactions of greenhouse gases (GHG), the ocean, land, ice, and clouds. Large climate change models use several computers and solve several equations to predict the future climate. The…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-04-21 Shalin Shah

The results of an analysis of temperature variations in the mesopause region based on long-term measurements of hydroxyl airglow at the Zvenigorod Scientific Station of the A.M. Obukhov Institute of Atmospheric Physics RAS (ZSS IAP RAS) in…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-05-09 I. I. Mokhov , I. A. Fomina , V. I. Perminov

The climate system's nonlinear dynamics is influenced by various external forcings and internal feedbacks that can give rise to regional and even global tipping points that may lead to significant and potentially irreversible changes.…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-01-21 Erik Chavez , Jan Rombouts , Michael Ghil

Detecting and attributing temperature increases driven by climate change is crucial for understanding global warming and informing adaptation strategies. However, distinguishing human-induced climate signals from natural variability remains…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-03-12 Sungduk Yu , Brian L. White , Anahita Bhiwandiwalla , Musashi Hinck , Matthew Lyle Olson , Yaniv Gurwicz , Raanan Y. Rohekar , Tung Nguyen , Vasudev Lal

Observations indicate that the Arctic sea ice cover is rapidly retreating while the Antarctic sea ice cover is steadily expanding. State-of-the-art climate models, by contrast, typically simulate a moderate decrease in both the Arctic and…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2017-10-11 Erica Rosenblum , Ian Eisenman

There is continuing interest in the investigation of change in temperature over space and time. We offer a set of tools to illuminate such change temporally, at desired temporal resolution, and spatially, according to region of interest,…

The temporal and spatial trends of 16 climate extreme indices based on daily maximum and minimum temperatures during the period 1987-2016 at 28 stations distributed across Israel and Palestine in the Levant region were annually and…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-01-18 Ala A. M. Salameh , Sonia R. Gámiz-Fortis , Yolanda Castro-Díez , Ahmad Abu Hammad , María Jesús Esteban-Parra

The annual temperature cycle of the earth closely follows the annual cycle of solar flux. At temperate latitudes, both driving and response cycles are well described by a strong annual sinusoidal component and a non-vanishing semiannual…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-11-13 Yunxiang Song , Kyle B. Lawlor , Thomas A. Witten

Freshwater forcing from a retreating Antarctic Ice Sheet could have a wide range of impacts on future global climate. Here, we report on multi-century (present-2250) climate simulations performed using a fully coupled numerical model…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-05-21 Shaina Rogstad , Alan Condron , Robert DeConto , David Pollard

Earth's energy imbalance at the top of the atmosphere is a key climate system metric, but its natural variability is poorly constrained by the short observational record and large uncertainty in coupled climate models. While existing ocean…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-03-24 Dominik Stiller , Gregory J. Hakim

The importance of the sea ice retreat in the polar regions for the global warming and the role of ice-albedo feedback was recognized by various authors [1,2]. Similar to a recent study of the phenomenon in the Arctic [3] we present a…

Geophysics · Physics 2018-07-18 Alfred Laubereau , Hristo Iglev

The present earth warming up is often explained by the atmosphere gas greenhouse effect. This explanation is in contradiction with the thermodynamics second law. The warming up by greenhouse effect is quite improbable. It is cloud…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2008-08-07 Ahmed Boucenna
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