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In this chapter we review stochastic modelling methods in climate science. First we provide a conceptual framework for stochastic modelling of deterministic dynamical systems based on the Mori-Zwanzig formalism. The Mori-Zwanzig equations…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2016-12-23 Georg A. Gottwald , Daan T. Crommelin , Christian L. E. Franzke

Can noise be beneficial to machine-learning prediction of chaotic systems? Utilizing reservoir computers as a paradigm, we find that injecting noise to the training data can induce a stochastic resonance with significant benefits to both…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-21 Zheng-Meng Zhai , Ling-Wei Kong , Ying-Cheng Lai

Identifying disturbances in network-coupled dynamical systems without knowledge of the disturbances or underlying dynamics is a problem with a wide range of applications. For example, one might want to know which nodes in the network are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-25 Per Sebastian Skardal , Juan G. Restrepo

This paper presents a data-integrated framework for learning the dynamics of fractional-order nonlinear systems in both discrete-time and continuous-time settings. The proposed framework consists of two main steps. In the first step,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-06-19 Bahram Yaghooti , Chengyu Li , Bruno Sinopoli

Causal discovery from observational data is an important but challenging task in many scientific fields. Recently, a method with non-combinatorial directed acyclic constraint, called NOTEARS, formulates the causal structure learning problem…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-31 Weilin Chen , Jie Qiao , Ruichu Cai , Zhifeng Hao

This paper presents an approach to trajectory-centric learning control based on contraction metrics and disturbance estimation for nonlinear systems subject to matched uncertainties. The approach uses deep neural networks to learn uncertain…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-07-25 Pan Zhao , Ziyao Guo , Yikun Cheng , Aditya Gahlawat , Hyungsoo Kang , Naira Hovakimyan

We address the problem of safely learning controlled stochastic dynamics from discrete-time trajectory observations, ensuring system trajectories remain within predefined safe regions during both training and deployment. Safety-critical…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-03 Luc Brogat-Motte , Alessandro Rudi , Riccardo Bonalli

We consider the problem of classifying trajectories generated by dynamical systems. We investigate a model-based approach, the common approach in control engineering, and a data-driven approach based on Support Vector Machines, a popular…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-03-29 Giorgio Battistelli , Pietro Tesi

Stochastic differential equations (SDEs) are one of the most important representations of dynamical systems. They are notable for the ability to include a deterministic component of the system and a stochastic one to represent random…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-19 Noura Dridi , Lucas Drumetz , Ronan Fablet

Incorporating a priori physics knowledge into machine learning leads to more robust and interpretable algorithms. In this work, we combine deep learning techniques and classic numerical methods for differential equations to address two…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-04 Caitlin Ho , Andrea Arnold

The problem of determining dynamical models and trajectories that describe observed time-series data allowing for the understanding, prediction and possibly control of complex systems in nature is of a great interest in a wide variety of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 V. N. Smelyanskiy , D. G. Luchinsky , M. Millons

The qualitative study of dynamical systems using bifurcation theory is key to understanding systems from biological clocks and neurons to physical phase transitions. Data generated from such systems can feature complex transients, an…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2025-09-19 Nicolas Romeo , Chris Chi , Aaron R. Dinner , Elizabeth R. Jerison

Latent neural stochastic differential equations (SDEs) have recently emerged as a promising approach for learning generative models from stochastic time series data. However, they systematically underestimate the noise level inherent in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-11 Linus Heck , Maximilian Gelbrecht , Michael T. Schaub , Niklas Boers

One of the most relevant tasks in an intelligent vehicle navigation system is the detection of obstacles. It is important that a visual perception system for navigation purposes identifies obstacles, and it is also important that this…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-09-29 Thiago Rateke , Aldo von Wangenheim

Despite extensive research, time series classification and forecasting on noisy data remain highly challenging. The main difficulties lie in finding suitable mathematical concepts to describe time series and effectively separate noise from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-26 Chandrajit Bajaj , Minh Nguyen

We present a novel approach to system identification (SI) using deep learning techniques. Focusing on parametric system identification (PSI), we use a supervised learning approach for estimating the parameters of discrete and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-06-21 Connor James Stephens , Emmanuel Blazquez

This paper proposes a novel model inference procedure to identify system matrix from a single noisy trajectory over a finite-time interval. The proposed inference procedure comprises an observation data processor, a redundant data processor…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-01-05 Yanbing Mao , Naira Hovakimyan , Petros Voulgaris , Lui Sha

A significant challenge in many fields of science and engineering is making sense of time-dependent measurement data by recovering governing equations in the form of differential equations. We focus on finding parsimonious ordinary…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-04 Doris Voina , Steven Brunton , J. Nathan Kutz

We present a representation learning algorithm that learns a low-dimensional latent dynamical system from high-dimensional \textit{sequential} raw data, e.g., video. The framework builds upon recent advances in amortized inference methods…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-29 Jung-Su Ha , Young-Jin Park , Hyeok-Joo Chae , Soon-Seo Park , Han-Lim Choi

This study presents a physics-informed machine learning-based control method for nonlinear dynamic systems with highly noisy measurements. Existing data-driven control methods that use machine learning for system identification cannot…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-03-25 Mason Ma , Jiajie Wu , Chase Post , Tony Shi , Jingang Yi , Tony Schmitz , Hong Wang