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This paper applies existing and new approaches to study trends in the performance of elite athletes over time. We study both track and field scores of men and women athletes on a yearly basis from 2001 to 2019, revealing several trends and…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-01-20 Nick James , Max Menzies , Howard Bondell

The development of sport performances in the future is a subject of myth and disagreement among experts. As arguments favoring and opposing such methodology were discussed, other publications empirically showed that the past development of…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2014-01-30 Geoffroy Berthelot

Predicting the future performance of young runners is an important research issue in experimental sports science and performance analysis. We analyse a data set with annual seasonal best performances of male middle distance runners for a…

Applications · Statistics 2022-06-28 Mattia Stival , Mauro Bernardi , Manuela Cattelan , Petros Dellaportas

Running world records (WRs) contain information about physiological characteristics that determine running performance. The progression of WRs over time encode the evolution of these characteristics. Here we demonstrate that a previously…

Biological Physics · Physics 2024-01-18 Thorsten Emig , Guillaume Adam

We provide scientific foundations for athletic performance prediction on an individual level, exposing the phenomenology of individual athletic running performance in the form of a low-rank model dominated by an individual power law. We…

Applications · Statistics 2016-09-28 Duncan A. J. Blythe , Franz J. Király

This paper examines the scientific performance of South Africa since 1994 (post-apartheid) until 2014 in comparisons with the rest of the world, utilizing relative indicator. It provides a view over current standing of South Africa in the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-06-20 S. M. Hosseini Jenab

We present a new way of estimation of the role of chance in achieving success, by comparing the empirical data from 100-meter dash competitions (one of the sports disciplines with the most stringent controls of external randomness), with…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-08-26 Pawel Sobkowicz , Robert H Frank , Alessio E Biondo , Alessandro Pluchino , Andrea Rapisarda

Re-identifying participants in ultra-distance running competitions can be daunting due to the extensive distances and constantly changing terrain. To overcome these challenges, computer vision techniques have been developed to analyze…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-08-28 David Freire-Obregón , Javier Lorenzo-Navarro , Oliverio J. Santana , Daniel Hernández-Sosa , Modesto Castrillón-Santana

Models for human running performances of various complexities and underlying principles have been proposed, often combining data from world record performances and bio-energetic facts of human physiology. Here we present a novel, minimal…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2019-03-06 Matthew Mulligan , Guillaume Adam , Thorsten Emig

We employ the novel theory of heterogeneous extreme value statistics to accurately estimate the ultimate world records for the 100-m running race, for men and for women. For this aim we collected data from 1991 through 2023 from thousands…

Applications · Statistics 2025-02-07 John Einmahl , Yi He

World record setting has long attracted public interest and scientific investigation. Extremal records summarize the limits of the space explored by a process, and the historical progression of a record sheds light on the underlying…

Inspired by the Games held in ancient Greece, modern Olympics represent the world's largest pageant of athletic skill and competitive spirit. Performances of athletes at the Olympic Games mirror, since 1896, human potentialities in sports,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-07-16 Filippo Radicchi

Though athletics statistics are abundant, it is a difficult task to quantitatively compare performances from different events of track, field, and road running in a meaningful way. There are several commonly-used methods, but each has its…

Applications · Statistics 2014-08-27 Brian Godsey

Socio-demographic disparities in STEM degree outcomes impact the diversity of the UK's future workforce, particularly in fields essential for innovation and growth. Despite the importance of institution-level, longitudinal analyses in…

Physics Education · Physics 2024-11-05 Andrew M. Low , Z. Yasemin Kalender

World records in athletics provide a measure of physical as well as physiological human performance. Here we analyse running records and show that the mean speed as a function of race time can be described by two scaling laws that have a…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2017-05-10 Sandra Savaglio , Vincenzo Carbone

We address the problem of tracking and detecting interactions between the different groups of runners that form during a race. In athletic races control points are set to monitor the progress of athletes over the course. Intuitively, a {\it…

Computational Geometry · Computer Science 2018-12-31 Y. Diez , M. Fort , M. Korman , J. A. Sellarès

Biomechanical features have become important indicators for evaluating athletes' techniques. Traditionally, experts propose significant features and evaluate them using physics equations. However, the complexity of the human body and its…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-14 Qi Gan , Stephan Clémençon , Mounîm A. El-Yacoubi , Sao Mai Nguyen , Eric Fenaux , Ons Jelassi

Track and field world records have risen and fallen throughout the history of the sport. A recent rash of record-breaking performances has prompted the question: "How good can we get?". This article offers a review of several attempts to…

Popular Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 J. R. Mureika

The mathematical model of J. Keller for predicting World Record race times, based on a simple differential equation of motion, predicted quite well the records of the day. One of its shortcoming is that it neglects to account for a…

Popular Physics · Physics 2009-10-30 J. R. Mureika

We consider the evolutionary trajectories traced out by an infinite population undergoing mutation-selection dynamics in static, uncorrelated random fitness landscapes. Starting from the population that consists of a single genotype, the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2009-11-11 Kavita Jain , Joachim Krug
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