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Spherically embedded time series are time series with values naturally residing on or can be equivalently mapped to the sphere. Despite their ubiquity in diverse scientific fields, these data frequently exhibit complex non-stationarity…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-07 Jiazhen Xu , Han Lin Shang

We developed a novel statistical method to identify structural differences between networks characterized by structural equation models. We propose to reparameterize the model to separate the differential structures from common structures,…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-10-10 Min Ren , Dabao Zhang

This paper studies the unsupervised change point detection problem in time series of networks using the Separable Temporal Exponential-family Random Graph Model (STERGM). Inherently, dynamic network patterns are complex due to dyadic and…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-01 Yik Lun Kei , Hangjian Li , Yanzhen Chen , Oscar Hernan Madrid Padilla

Time-series classification has attracted considerable research attention due to the various domains where time-series data are observed, ranging from medicine to econometrics. Traditionally, the focus of time-series classification has been…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2015-03-12 Josif Grabocka , Martin Wistuba , Lars Schmidt-Thieme

The expected signature maps a collection of data streams to a lower dimensional representation, with a remarkable property: the resulting feature tensor can fully characterize the data generating distribution. This "model-free" embedding…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-29 Lorenzo Lucchese , Mikko S. Pakkanen , Almut E. D. Veraart

New time-series analysis tools are needed in disciplines as diverse as astronomy, economics and meteorology. In particular, the increasing rate of data collection at multiple wavelengths requires new approaches able to handle these data.…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2021-01-05 C. E. Ferreira Lopes , N. J. G. Cross , F. Jablonski

As function approximators, deep neural networks have served as an effective tool to represent various signal types. Recent approaches utilize multi-layer perceptrons (MLPs) to learn a nonlinear mapping from a coordinate to its corresponding…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-12 Woojin Cho , Minju Jo , Kookjin Lee , Noseong Park

A new model for time series with a specific oscillation pattern is proposed. The model consists of a hidden phase process controlling the speed of polling and a nonparametric curve characterizing the pattern, leading together to a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-08-15 Rainer Dahlhaus , Thierry Dumont , Sylvain Le Corff , Jan C. Neddermeyer

Sociotechnological and geospatial processes exhibit time varying structure that make insight discovery challenging. To detect abnormal moments in these processes, a definition of `normal' must be established. This paper proposes a new…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2017-12-15 Jace Robinson , Derek Doran

In this paper we present a novel algorithm and efficient data structure for anomaly detection based on temporal data. Time-series data are represented by a sequence of symbolic time intervals, describing increasing and decreasing trends, in…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2019-11-05 Roni Mateless , Michael Segal , Robert Moskovitch

Experimental measurements of physical systems often have a limited number of independent channels, causing essential dynamical variables to remain unobserved. However, many popular methods for unsupervised inference of latent dynamics from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-23 William Gilpin

We consider the problem of estimating the period of an unknown periodic function observed in additive noise sampled at irregularly spaced time instants in a semiparametric setting. To solve this problem, we propose a novel estimator based…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-01-03 Céline Lévy-Leduc , Eric Moulines , François Roueff

We discuss methods currently in use for determining the significance of peaks in the periodograms of time series. We discuss some general methods for constructing significance tests, false alarm probability functions, and the role played in…

Astrophysics · Physics 2012-07-11 F. A. M. Frescura , C. A. Engelbrecht , B. S. Frank

There is a growing interest in methods for detecting and interpreting changes in experimental time evolution data. Based on measured time series, the quantitative characterization of dynamical phase transitions at bifurcation points of the…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2024-07-19 Bulcsú Sándor , András Rusu , Károly Dénes , Mária Ercsey-Ravasz , Zsolt I. Lázár

This paper proposes a new approach for analyzing seismic accelerograms using the evolutionary Power Spectral Density function (ePSDF). The accelerogram of an earthquake can be accurately modeled and simulated from its spectrogram, based on…

Geophysics · Physics 2024-03-22 Bañales Isaías , Christen J. Andrés , Josué Tago

Temporal networks are commonly used to represent dynamical complex systems like social networks, simultaneous firing of neurons, human mobility or public transportation. Their dynamics may evolve on multiple time scales characterising for…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-02-27 Elsa Andres , Alain Barrat , Márton Karsai

This paper investigates the asymptotic distribution of a wavelet-based NKK periodogram constructed from least absolute deviations (LAD) harmonic regression at a fixed resolution level. Using a wavelet representation of the underlying time…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-05 Manganaw N'Daam , Tchilabalo Abozou Kpanzou , Edoh Katchekpele

We present an end-to-end differentiable neural network architecture to perform anomaly detection in multivariate time series by incorporating a Sequential Probability Ratio Test on the prediction residual. The architecture is a cascade of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-28 L. Zancato , A. Achille , G. Paolini , A. Chiuso , S. Soatto

The attention mechanism has demonstrated remarkable potential in sequence modeling, exemplified by its successful application in natural language processing with models such as Bidirectional Encoder Representations from Transformers (BERT)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-26 Bowen Zhao , Huanlai Xing , Zhiwen Xiao , Jincheng Peng , Li Feng , Xinhan Wang , Rong Qu , Hui Li

Light curves of astrophysical objects frequently contain strictly periodic signals. In those cases we can use that property to aid the detrending algorithm to fully disentangle an unknown periodic signal and an unknown baseline signal with…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2019-05-01 Andrej Prsa , Moses Zhang , Mark Wells