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We investigate a data-driven approach to constructing uncertainty sets for robust optimization problems, where the uncertain problem parameters are modeled as random variables whose joint probability distribution is not known. Relying only…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-09-22 Polina Alexeenko , Eilyan Bitar

In continuation to a recent work on the statistical--mechanical analysis of minimum mean square error (MMSE) estimation in Gaussian noise via its relation to the mutual information (the I-MMSE relation), here we propose a simple and more…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-11-17 Neri Merhav

In this paper, we propose a minimax linear-quadratic control method to address the issue of inaccurate distribution information in practical stochastic systems. To construct a control policy that is robust against errors in an empirical…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-03-31 Kihyun Kim , Insoon Yang

Using a representation of the score function by means of the divergence operator we exhibit a sufficient condition, in terms of the negative moments of the norm of the Malliavin derivative, under which convergence in Fisher information to…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-12-23 Ivan Nourdin , David Nualart

Fisher information is a lower bound on the uncertainty in the statistical estimation of classical and quantum mechanical parameters. While some deterministic dynamical systems are not subject to random fluctuations, they do still have a…

Classical Physics · Physics 2023-10-06 Mohamed Sahbani , Swetamber Das , Jason R. Green

Estimating mutual information (MI) from samples is a fundamental problem in statistics, machine learning, and data analysis. Recently it was shown that a popular class of non-parametric MI estimators perform very poorly for strongly…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-02-18 Shuyang Gao , Greg Ver Steeg , Aram Galstyan

Natural gradient descent, which preconditions a gradient descent update with the Fisher information matrix of the underlying statistical model, is a way to capture partial second-order information. Several highly visible works have…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-09 Frederik Kunstner , Lukas Balles , Philipp Hennig

The statistics and machine learning communities have recently seen a growing interest in classification-based approaches to two-sample testing. The outcome of a classification-based two-sample test remains a rejection decision, which is not…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-11-15 Loris Michel , Jeffrey Näf , Nicolai Meinshausen

Statistical inference for extreme values of random events is difficult in practice due to low sample sizes and inaccurate models for the studied rare events. If prior knowledge for extreme values is available, Bayesian statistics can be…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-18 Tobias Kallehauge

We consider the problem of linear fitting of noisy data in the case of broad (say $\alpha$-stable) distributions of random impacts ("noise"), which can lack even the first moment. This situation, common in statistical physics of small…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-05-27 Eugene B. Postnikov , Igor M. Sokolov

Information theory is a powerful framework to capture aspects of dynamical systems with multiple degrees of freedom. Mathematically, the dynamics can be represented as a continuous curve $\mathcal{C}$ on a suitable hyperplane in flat space…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2026-04-28 Mattia Carrino , Stefan Hohenegger

Historically, to bound the mean for small sample sizes, practitioners have had to choose between using methods with unrealistic assumptions about the unknown distribution (e.g., Gaussianity) and methods like Hoeffding's inequality that use…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-10-27 My Phan , Philip S. Thomas , Erik Learned-Miller

Mutual information is a general statistical dependency measure which has found applications in representation learning, causality, domain generalization and computational biology. However, mutual information estimators are typically…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-10-17 Paweł Czyż , Frederic Grabowski , Julia E. Vogt , Niko Beerenwinkel , Alexander Marx

As the most fundamental problem in statistics, robust location estimation has many prominent solutions, such as the trimmed mean, Winsorized mean, Hodges Lehmann estimator, Huber M estimator, and median of means. Recent studies suggest that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-09-12 Li Tuobang

This paper describes three methods for carrying out non-asymptotic inference on partially identified parameters that are solutions to a class of optimization problems. Applications in which the optimization problems arise include estimation…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-02 Joel L. Horowitz , Sokbae Lee

Using only retrospective data, we study the problem of predicting treatment effects for the same treatment/policy implemented in a different location or time period. We propose a distributionally robust estimator that minimizes the…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-04-29 Ruonan Xu , Xiye Yang

Two new information-theoretic methods are introduced for establishing Poisson approximation inequalities. First, using only elementary information-theoretic techniques it is shown that, when $S_n=\sum_{i=1}^nX_i$ is the sum of the (possibly…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-10-21 Ioannis Kontoyiannis , Peter Harremoes , Oliver Johnson

We present upper and lower bounds for the prediction error of the Lasso. For the case of random Gaussian design, we show that under mild conditions the prediction error of the Lasso is up to smaller order terms dominated by the prediction…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-04-04 Sara van de Geer

We consider the problem of estimating a signal corrupted by independent interference with the assistance of a cost-constrained helper who knows the interference causally or noncausally. When the interference is known causally, we…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2012-03-21 Yeow-Khiang Chia , Rajiv Soundararajan , Tsachy Weissman

Wasserstein distributionally robust optimization estimators are obtained as solutions of min-max problems in which the statistician selects a parameter minimizing the worst-case loss among all probability models within a certain distance…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-03-04 Jose Blanchet , Karthyek Murthy , Nian Si