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Sparse variational Gaussian processes (GPs) construct tractable posterior approximations to GP models. At the core of these methods is the assumption that the true posterior distribution over training function values ${\bf f}$ and inducing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-27 Michalis K. Titsias

Covariate measurement error in nonparametric regression is a common problem in nutritional epidemiology and geostatistics, and other fields. Over the last two decades, this problem has received substantial attention in the frequentist…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-01-27 Shuang Zhou , Debdeep Pati , Tianying Wang , Yun Yang , Raymond J. Carroll

Frequentist robust variable selection has been extensively investigated in high-dimensional regression. Despite success, developing the corresponding statistical inference procedures remains a challenging task. Recently, tackling this…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-24 Kun Fan , Srijana Subedi , Vishmi Ridmika Dissanayake Pathiranage , Cen Wu

This paper proposes novel noise-free Bayesian optimization strategies that rely on a random exploration step to enhance the accuracy of Gaussian process surrogate models. The new algorithms retain the ease of implementation of the classical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-18 Hwanwoo Kim , Daniel Sanz-Alonso

Gaussian process regression in its most simplified form assumes normal homoscedastic noise and utilizes analytically tractable mean and covariance functions of predictive posterior distribution using Gaussian conditioning. Its…

Applications · Statistics 2023-01-20 Pooja Algikar , Lamine Mili

This research proposes a flexible Bayesian extension of the composite Gaussian process (CGP) model of Ba and Joseph (2012) for predicting (stationary or) non-stationary $y(\mathbf{x})$. The CGP generalizes the regression plus stationary…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-06-27 Casey B. Davis , Christopher M. Hans , Thomas J. Santner

Gaussian process is a theoretically appealing model for nonparametric analysis, but its computational cumbersomeness hinders its use in large scale and the existing reduced-rank solutions are usually heuristic. In this work, we propose a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-11-25 Leo L. Duan , Xia Wang , Rhonda D. Szczesniak

We consider Bayesian inference problems with computationally intensive likelihood functions. We propose a Gaussian process (GP) based method to approximate the joint distribution of the unknown parameters and the data. In particular, we…

Computation · Statistics 2018-03-15 Hongqiao Wang , Jinglai Li

Large, multi-dimensional spatio-temporal datasets are omnipresent in modern science and engineering. An effective framework for handling such data are Gaussian process deep generative models (GP-DGMs), which employ GP priors over the latent…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-10-26 Matthew Ashman , Jonathan So , Will Tebbutt , Vincent Fortuin , Michael Pearce , Richard E. Turner

In this article, we investigate posterior convergence in nonparametric regression models where the unknown regression function is modeled by some appropriate stochastic process. In this regard, we consider two setups. The first setup is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-05-04 Debashis Chatterjee , Sourabh Bhattacharya

Gaussian processes (GPs) are Bayesian non-parametric models useful in a myriad of applications. Despite their popularity, the cost of GP predictions (quadratic storage and cubic complexity with respect to the number of training points)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-24 Alec M. Dunton , Benjamin W. Priest , Amanda Muyskens

Gaussian Processes (GPs) are widely recognized as powerful non-parametric models for regression and classification. Traditional GP frameworks predominantly operate under the assumption that the inputs are either accurately known or subject…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-14 Muzaffar Qureshi , Tochukwu Elijah Ogri , Zachary I. Bell , Wanjiku A. Makumi , Rushikesh Kamalapurkar

Gaussian graphical models provide a powerful framework for studying conditional dependencies in multivariate data, with widespread applications spanning biomedical, environmental sciences, and other data-rich scientific domains. While the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-13 The Tien Mai , Sayantan Banerjee

Multifidelity models integrate data from multiple sources to produce a single approximator for the underlying process. Dense low-fidelity samples are used to reduce interpolation error, while sparse high-fidelity samples are used to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-02-27 Viv Bone , Chris van der Heide , Kieran Mackle , Ingo H. J. Jahn , Peter M. Dower , Chris Manzie

Modeling sequential data has become more and more important in practice. Some applications are autonomous driving, virtual sensors and weather forecasting. To model such systems, so called recurrent models are frequently used. In this paper…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-10-01 Roman Föll , Bernard Haasdonk , Markus Hanselmann , Holger Ulmer

In decision-making systems, it is important to have classifiers that have calibrated uncertainties, with an optimisation objective that can be used for automated model selection and training. Gaussian processes (GPs) provide uncertainty…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-03-05 Vincent Dutordoir , Mark van der Wilk , Artem Artemev , James Hensman

We consider the optimal approximate posterior over the top-layer weights in a Bayesian neural network for regression, and show that it exhibits strong dependencies on the lower-layer weights. We adapt this result to develop a correlated…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-06-23 Sebastian W. Ober , Laurence Aitchison

We introduce Deep Jump Gaussian Processes (DJGP), a novel method for surrogate modeling of a piecewise continuous function on a high-dimensional domain. DJGP addresses the limitations of conventional Jump Gaussian Processes (JGP) in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-16 Yang Xu , Chiwoo Park

Bayesian methods in machine learning, such as Gaussian processes, have great advantages com-pared to other techniques. In particular, they provide estimates of the uncertainty associated with a prediction. Extending the Bayesian approach to…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2019-05-20 Zhikuan Zhao , Alejandro Pozas-Kerstjens , Patrick Rebentrost , Peter Wittek

Gaussian Process Regression (GPR) is a powerful tool for nonparametric regression, but its application in a fully Bayesian fashion in high-dimensional settings is hindered by two primary challenges: the difficulty of variable selection and…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-11 Peter Knaus