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An incremental/online state dynamic learning method is proposed for identification of the nonlinear Gaussian state space models. The method embeds the stochastic variational sparse Gaussian process as the probabilistic state dynamic model…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-08-31 Vahid Bastani , Lucio Marcenaro , Carlo Regazzoni

Generative Bayesian Filtering (GBF) provides a powerful and flexible framework for performing posterior inference in complex nonlinear and non-Gaussian state-space models. Our approach extends Generative Bayesian Computation (GBC) to…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-07 Edoardo Marcelli , Sean O'Hagan , Veronika Rockova

Inverse problems and inverse design in multiphase media, i.e., recovering or engineering microstructures to achieve target macroscopic responses, require operating on discrete-valued material fields, rendering the problem non-differentiable…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-17 Matthaios Chatzopoulos , Phaedon-Stelios Koutsourelakis

State space modelling is an efficient and flexible method for statistical inference of a broad class of time series and other data. This paper describes an R package KFAS for state space modelling with the observations from an exponential…

Computation · Statistics 2021-03-22 Jouni Helske

Time-varying linear state-space models are powerful tools for obtaining mathematically interpretable representations of neural signals. For example, switching and decomposed models describe complex systems using latent variables that evolve…

Variational Autoencoders (VAEs) are powerful generative models widely used for learning interpretable latent spaces, quantifying uncertainty, and compressing data for downstream generative tasks. VAEs typically rely on diagonal Gaussian…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-03 Peter Sorrenson , Lukas Lührs , Hans Olischläger , Ullrich Köthe

We solve the problem of 6-DoF localisation and 3D dense reconstruction in spatial environments as approximate Bayesian inference in a deep state-space model. Our approach leverages both learning and domain knowledge from multiple-view…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-03-16 Atanas Mirchev , Baris Kayalibay , Patrick van der Smagt , Justin Bayer

Variational approximation methods have proven to be useful for scaling Bayesian computations to large data sets and highly parametrized models. Applying variational methods involves solving an optimization problem, and recent research in…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-01-13 Victor M. -H. Ong , David J. Nott , Michael S. Smith

Neural recording technologies now enable simultaneous recording of population activity across many brain regions, motivating the development of data-driven models of communication between brain regions. However, existing models can struggle…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2025-10-06 Belle Liu , Jacob Sacks , Matthew D. Golub

Spatial processes with nonstationary and anisotropic covariance structure are often used when modelling, analysing and predicting complex environmental phenomena. Such processes may often be expressed as ones that have stationary and…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-04-06 Andrew Zammit-Mangion , Tin Lok James Ng , Quan Vu , Maurizio Filippone

We develop a scalable deep non-parametric generative model by augmenting deep Gaussian processes with a recognition model. Inference is performed in a novel scalable variational framework where the variational posterior distributions are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-03-02 Zhenwen Dai , Andreas Damianou , Javier González , Neil Lawrence

Causal structure learning has been a challenging task in the past decades and several mainstream approaches such as constraint- and score-based methods have been studied with theoretical guarantees. Recently, a new approach has transformed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-19 Ignavier Ng , Shengyu Zhu , Zhitang Chen , Zhuangyan Fang

High-dimensional recordings of dynamical processes are often characterized by a much smaller set of effective variables, evolving on low-dimensional manifolds. Identifying these latent dynamics requires solving two intertwined problems:…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-21 Manuel Hinz , Maximilian Mauel , Patrick Seifner , David Berghaus , Kostadin Cvejoski , Ramses J. Sanchez

Large-scale recordings of neural activity are providing new opportunities to study neural population dynamics. A powerful method for analyzing such high-dimensional measurements is to deploy an algorithm to learn the low-dimensional latent…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2024-02-08 Xiaohan Liu , ChiJui Chen , YanLun Huang , LingChi Yang , Elham E Khoda , Yihui Chen , Scott Hauck , Shih-Chieh Hsu , Bo-Cheng Lai

Gaussian processes allow for flexible specification of prior assumptions of unknown dynamics in state space models. We present a procedure for efficient Bayesian learning in Gaussian process state space models, where the representation is…

Computation · Statistics 2016-04-18 Andreas Svensson , Arno Solin , Simo Särkkä , Thomas B. Schön

Learned image reconstruction techniques using deep neural networks have recently gained popularity, and have delivered promising empirical results. However, most approaches focus on one single recovery for each observation, and thus neglect…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-10-26 Chen Zhang , Riccardo Barbano , Bangti Jin

Modeling real-world systems requires accounting for noise - whether it arises from unpredictable fluctuations in financial markets, irregular rhythms in biological systems, or environmental variability in ecosystems. While the behavior of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-08 Matteo Bosso , Giovanni Franzese , Kushal Swamy , Maarten Theulings , Alejandro M. Aragón , Farbod Alijani

We present a dynamic subspace approach for efficiently approximating large-scale systems by learning time-continuous trajectories on the Grassmannian manifold. By parameterizing a low-dimensional basis as a geodesic path, the method allows…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-05-26 Jack DeChant , Rudy Geelen , Shane A. McQuarrie , Johann Guilleminot

Gaussian processes are flexible probabilistic regression models which are widely used in statistics and machine learning. However, a drawback is their limited scalability to large data sets. To alleviate this, full-scale approximations…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-13 Tim Gyger , Reinhard Furrer , Fabio Sigrist

Deep learning offers promising new ways to accurately model aleatoric uncertainty in robotic state estimation systems, particularly when the uncertainty distributions do not conform to traditional assumptions of being fixed and Gaussian. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-28 Aastha Acharya , Caleb Lee , Marissa D'Alonzo , Jared Shamwell , Nisar R. Ahmed , Rebecca Russell