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Study of the forecasting models using large scale microblog discussions and the search behavior data can provide a good insight for better understanding the market movements. In this work we collected a dataset of 2 million tweets and…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2012-12-06 Tushar Rao , Saket Srivastava

It's by now folklore that to understand the activity pattern of a user in an online social network (OSN) platform, one needs to look at his friends or the ones he follows. The common perception is that these friends exert influence on the…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-05-26 Michael Sidorov , Dan Vilenchik

We present the first calculation of the Bayesian evidence for different prototypical single field inflationary scenarios, including representative classes of small field and large field models. This approach allows us to compare…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2011-05-10 Jerome Martin , Christophe Ringeval , Roberto Trotta

The explosion of mobile phone communications in the last years occurs at a moment where data processing power increases exponentially. Thanks to those two changes in a global scale, the road has been opened to use mobile phone…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2020-03-17 Martin Fixman , Ariel Berenstein , Jorge Brea , Martin Minnoni , Matias Travizano , Carlos Sarraute

This paper uses new and recently introduced mathematical techniques to undertake a data-driven study on the systemic nature of global inflation. We start by investigating country CPI inflation over the past 70 years. There, we highlight the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-03-02 Nick James , Kevin Chin

The article presents the results of multivariate classification of Russian regions by the indicators characterizing the population income and their concentration. The clusterization was performed upon an author approach to selecting the…

General Economics · Economics 2020-10-16 Natalia A. Sadovnikova , Olga A. Zolotareva

In social networks, neighborhood is crucial for understanding individual behavior in response to environments, and thus it is essential to analyze an individual's local perspective within the global network. This paper studies how to…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-25 Lijia Wang , Xiao Han , Yanhui Wu , Y. X. Rachel Wang

This study empirically tests the $\textit{Narrative Economics}$ hypothesis, which posits that narratives (ideas that are spread virally and affect public beliefs) can influence economic fluctuations. We introduce two curated datasets…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-02-12 Almog Gueta , Amir Feder , Zorik Gekhman , Ariel Goldstein , Roi Reichart

Predicting risk profiles of individuals in networks (e.g.~susceptibility to a particular disease, or likelihood of smoking) is challenging for a variety of reasons. For one, `local' features (such as an individual's demographic information)…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-12-06 Olivia Simpson , Julian McAuley

Recent wide-spread adoption of electronic and pervasive technologies has enabled the study of human behavior at an unprecedented level, uncovering universal patterns underlying human activity, mobility, and inter-personal communication. In…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-11-21 Alejandro Llorente , Manuel Garcia-Herranz , Manuel Cebrian , Esteban Moro

There has been much recent discussion, and some confusion, regarding the use of existing observational data to estimate the likelihood that next-generation cosmic microwave background (CMB) polarization experiments might detect a nonzero…

Astrophysics · Physics 2024-03-13 Wessel Valkenburg , Lawrence M. Krauss , Jan Hamann

The aim of this paper is to investigate the use of the Factor Analysis in order to identify the role of the relevant macroeconomic variables in driving the inflation. The Macroeconomic predictors that usually affect the inflation are…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-05-26 Manuel Lopez Galvan

Since the Russian invasion of Ukraine, a large volume of biased and partisan news has been spread via social media platforms. As this may lead to wider societal issues, we argue that understanding how partisan news sharing impacts users'…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-11-28 Yiming Zhu , Ehsan-Ul Haq , Gareth Tyson , Lik-Hang Lee , Yuyang Wang , Pan Hui

The emergence and wide-spread use of online social networks has led to a dramatic increase on the availability of social activity data. Importantly, this data can be exploited to investigate, at a microscopic level, some of the problems…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2015-06-12 Isabel Valera , Manuel Gomez-Rodriguez

This paper presents a set of algorithms used for music recommendations and personalization in a general purpose social network www.ok.ru, the second largest social network in the CIS visited by more then 40 millions users per day. In…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2013-10-29 Dmitry Bugaychenko , Alexandr Dzuba

Due to its wide reaching implications for everything from identifying hotspots of income inequality to political redistricting, there is a rich body of literature across the sciences quantifying spatial patterns in socioeconomic data. In…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-11-18 Alec Kirkley

If the inflaton potential has multiple minima, as may be expected in, e.g., the string theory "landscape", inflation predicts a probability distribution for the cosmological parameters describing spatial curvature (Omega_tot), dark energy…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-10-07 Max Tegmark

Quantifying the improvement in human living standard, as well as the city growth in developing countries, is a challenging problem due to the lack of reliable economic data. Therefore, there is a fundamental need for alternate, largely…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2018-12-04 Jiqian Dong , Gopaljee Atulya , Kartikeya Bhardwaj , Radu Marculescu

Non-survey methods have been developed and applied for estimating regional input-output tables. However, there is an ongoing debate about the assumptions necessary for these methods and their accuracy. To address these issues, this study…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-03-17 Shogo Fukui

Data generated on location-based social networks provide rich information on the whereabouts of urban dwellers. Specifically, such data reveal who spends time where, when, and on what type of activity (e.g., shopping at a mall, or dining at…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2016-04-19 Emre Çelikten , Géraud Le Falher , Michael Mathioudakis
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