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This paper develops a novel approach to random effects estimation and individual-level forecasting in micropanels, targeting individual accuracy rather than aggregate performance. The conventional shrinkage methods used in the literature,…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-07-02 Raffaella Giacomini , Sokbae Lee , Silvia Sarpietro

Linear model prediction with a large number of potential predictors is both statistically and computationally challenging. The traditional approaches are largely based on shrinkage selection/estimation methods, which are applicable even…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-17 Hanmei Sun , Jiangshan Zhang , Jiming Jiang

We develop and analyze a class of unbiased Monte Carlo estimators for multivariate jump-diffusion processes with state-dependent drift, volatility, jump intensity and jump size. A change of measure argument is used to extend existing…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-11-05 Guanting Chen , Alex Shkolnik , Kay Giesecke

We propose a Bayesian shrinkage rule to estimate the wavelet coefficients in a nonparametric regression model with Gaussian errors, based on a mixture of a point mass function at zero and a symmetric, zero-centered raised cosine…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-16 Juliana Marchesi Reina , Alex Rodrigo dos Santos Sousa

Inference of instrumental variable regression models with many weak instruments attracts many attentions recently. To extend the classical Anderson-Rubin test to high-dimensional setting, many procedures adopt ridge-regularization. However,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-30 Jiarong Ding , Xu Guo , Yanmei Shi , Yuxin Wang

Recovering a low-rank signal matrix from its noisy observation, commonly known as matrix denoising, is a fundamental inverse problem in statistical signal processing. Matrix denoising methods are generally based on shrinkage or thresholding…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-01-23 Santosh Kumar Yadav , Rohit Sinha , Prabin Kumar Bora

In wavelet shrinkage and thresholding, most of the standard techniques do not consider information that wavelet coefficients might be bounded, although information about bounded energy in signals can be readily available. To address this,…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-12 Alex Rodrigo dos Santos Sousa , Nancy Lopes Garcia , Branislav Vidakovic

We study stochastic gradient descent for solving conditional stochastic optimization problems, in which an objective to be minimized is given by a parametric nested expectation with an outer expectation taken with respect to one random…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-04-28 Takashi Goda , Wataru Kitade

Motivated by questions about dense (non-sparse) signals in high-dimensional data analysis, we study the unconditional out-of-sample prediction error (predictive risk) associated with three popular linear estimators for high-dimensional…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-03-21 Lee Dicker

This work introduces meta estimators that combine multiple multifidelity techniques based on control variates, importance sampling, and information reuse to yield a quasi-multiplicative amount of variance reduction. The proposed meta…

Computational Physics · Physics 2023-01-19 Frederick Law , Antoine Cerfon , Benjamin Peherstorfer , Florian Wechsung

This paper deals with the problem of estimating a slope parameter in a simple linear regression model, where independent variables have functional measurement errors. Measurement errors in independent variables, as is well known, cause…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-04-10 Hisayuki Tsukuma

Recently, many machine learning and statistical models such as non-linear regressions, the Single Index, Multi-index, Varying Coefficient Index Models and Two-layer Neural Networks can be reduced to or be seen as a special case of a new…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-20 Di Wang , Xiangyu Guo , Chaowen Guan , Shi Li , Jinhui Xu

Given a smooth function $f$, we develop a general approach to turn Monte Carlo samples with expectation $m$ into an unbiased estimate of $f(m)$. Specifically, we develop estimators that are based on randomly truncating the Taylor series…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-01 Nicolas Chopin , Francesca R. Crucinio , Sumeetpal S. Singh

We present a formula for the shrinkage factors of the Partial Least Squares regression estimator and deduce some of their properties, in particular the known fact that some of the factors are >1. We investigate the effect of shrinkage…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Nicole Kraemer

Count data are common in medical research. When these data have more zeros than expected by the most used count distributions, it is common to employ a zero-inflated regression model. However, the interpretability of these models is much…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-30 Gustavo H. A. Pereira , Jeremias Leão , Manoel Santos-Neto , Jianwen Cai

Shrinkage estimation is a fundamental tool of modern statistics, pioneered by Charles Stein upon his discovery of the famous paradox involving the multivariate Gaussian. A large portion of the subsequent literature only considers the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-03-30 Max Fathi , Larry Goldstein , Gesine Reinert , Adrien Saumard

The functional linear model is an important extension of the classical regression model allowing for scalar responses to be modeled as functions of stochastic processes. Yet, despite the usefulness and popularity of the functional linear…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-27 Ioannis Kalogridis , Stanislav Nagy

$\ell_p$-norm penalization, notably the Lasso, has become a standard technique, extending shrinkage regression to subset selection. Despite aiming for oracle properties and consistent estimation, existing Lasso-derived methods still rely on…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-23 Sihyung Park , Leonard A. Stefanski

Many estimators of dynamic discrete choice models with persistent unobserved heterogeneity have desirable statistical properties but are computationally intensive. In this paper we propose a method to quicken estimation for a broad class of…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-04-09 Jackson Bunting , Takuya Ura

Logistic regression model is widely used in many studies to investigate the relationship between a binary response variable Y and a set of potential predictors $X_1,\ldots, X_p$ (for example: $Y = 1$ if the outcome occurred and $Y = 0$…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-25 Mouhamed Ndoye , Aba Diop