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This paper proposes an early detection method for cluster structural changes. Cluster structure refers to discrete structural characteristics, such as the number of clusters, when data are represented using finite mixture models, such as…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-03-28 Kento Urano , Ryo Yuki , Kenji Yamanishi

This paper presents a general and efficient framework for probabilistic inference and learning from arbitrary uncertain information. It exploits the calculation properties of finite mixture models, conjugate families and factorization. Both…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2011-05-19 M. C. Garrido , P. E. Lopez-de-Teruel , A. Ruiz

Model-based clustering is a technique widely used to group a collection of units into mutually exclusive groups. There are, however, situations in which an observation could in principle belong to more than one cluster. In the context of…

Applications · Statistics 2016-05-13 Saverio Ranciati , Cinzia Viroli , Ernst Wit

Expanding a lower-dimensional problem to a higher-dimensional space and then projecting back is often beneficial. This article rigorously investigates this perspective in the context of finite mixture models, namely how to improve inference…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-11-10 Andrea Mercatanti , Fan Li , Fabrizia Mealli

With the recent growth in data availability and complexity, and the associated outburst of elaborate modelling approaches, model selection tools have become a lifeline, providing objective criteria to deal with this increasingly challenging…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-08 Alessandro Casa , Luca Scrucca , Giovanna Menardi

It has been hypothesized that some form of "modular" structure in artificial neural networks should be useful for learning, compositionality, and generalization. However, defining and quantifying modularity remains an open problem. We cast…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-23 Richard D. Lange , David S. Rolnick , Konrad P. Kording

As data sets continue to grow in size and complexity, effective and efficient techniques are needed to target important features in the variable space. Many of the variable selection techniques that are commonly used alongside clustering…

Computation · Statistics 2013-03-22 Jeffrey L. Andrews , Paul D. McNicholas

In model-based clustering using finite mixture models, it is a significant challenge to determine the number of clusters (cluster size). It used to be equal to the number of mixture components (mixture size); however, this may not be valid…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-16 Shunki Kyoya , Kenji Yamanishi

Identifying causal treatment (or exposure) effects in observational studies requires the data to satisfy the unconfoundedness assumption which is not testable using the observed data. With sensitivity analysis, one can determine how the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-31 Yang Ou , Lu Tang , Chung-Chou H. Chang

The majority of model-based clustering techniques is based on multivariate Normal models and their variants. In this paper copulas are used for the construction of flexible families of models for clustering applications. The use of copulas…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-16 Ioannis Kosmidis , Dimitris Karlis

The mixture models have become widely used in clustering, given its probabilistic framework in which its based, however, for modern databases that are characterized by their large size, these models behave disappointingly in setting out the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-02-01 Abdelghafour Talibi , Boujemâa Achchab , Rafik Lasri

Mixture models have been widely used in modeling of continuous observations. For the possibility to estimate the parameters of a mixture model consistently on the basis of observations from the mixture, identifiability is a necessary…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-02 ZiQiang Shi , TieRan Zheng , JiQing Han

Traditional models grounded in first principles often struggle with accuracy as the system's complexity increases. Conversely, machine learning approaches, while powerful, face challenges in interpretability and in handling physical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-31 Jessica Leoni , Valentina Breschi , Simone Formentin , Mara Tanelli

The use of a hypothetical generative model was been suggested for causal analysis of observational data. The very assumption of a particular model is a commitment to a certain set of variables and therefore to a certain set of possible…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-06-09 Nimrod Megiddo

Conventional survival analysis methods are typically ineffective to characterize heterogeneity in the population while such information can be used to assist predictive modeling. In this study, we propose a hybrid survival analysis method,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-09 Bojian Hou , Hongming Li , Zhicheng Jiao , Zhen Zhou , Hao Zheng , Yong Fan

Local decision rules are commonly understood to be more explainable, due to the local nature of the patterns involved. With numerical optimization methods such as gradient boosting, ensembles of local decision rules can gain good predictive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-27 Xin Du , Subramanian Ramamoorthy , Wouter Duivesteijn , Jin Tian , Mykola Pechenizkiy

Selective classification allows models to abstain from making predictions (e.g., say "I don't know") when in doubt in order to obtain better effective accuracy. While typical selective models can be effective at producing more accurate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-24 Adam Fisch , Tommi Jaakkola , Regina Barzilay

Probabilistic clustering models (or equivalently, mixture models) are basic building blocks in countless statistical models and involve latent random variables over discrete spaces. For these models, posterior inference methods can be…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-24 Ari Pakman , Yueqi Wang , Catalin Mitelut , JinHyung Lee , Liam Paninski

Mixture models provide a flexible representation of heterogeneity in a finite number of latent classes. From the Bayesian point of view, Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods provide a way to draw inferences from these models. In particular,…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-05-06 Carolina Valani Cavalcante , Kelly Cristina Mota Gonçalves

Conformal prediction is widely used to equip black-box machine learning models with uncertainty quantification, offering formal coverage guarantees under exchangeable data. However, these guarantees fail when faced with subpopulation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-10 Nien-Shao Wang , Duygu Nur Yaldiz , Yavuz Faruk Bakman , Sai Praneeth Karimireddy