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There are many issues that can cause problems when attempting to infer model parameters from data. Data and models are both imperfect, and as such there are multiple scenarios in which standard methods of inference will lead to misleading…

Computation · Statistics 2024-05-01 Simon L. Cotter

Predictive models for identifying at-risk students early can help teaching staff direct resources to better support them, but there is a growing concern about the fairness of algorithmic systems in education. Predictive models may…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2020-07-02 Hansol Lee , René F. Kizilcec

We present a method for identification of models with good predictive performances in the family of Bayesian log-linear mixed models with Dirichlet process random effects. Such a problem arises in many different applications; here we…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-01-17 Cinzia Carota , Maurizio Filippone , Silvia Polettini

The use of algorithmic (learning-based) decision making in scenarios that affect human lives has motivated a number of recent studies to investigate such decision making systems for potential unfairness, such as discrimination against…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-11 Junaid Ali , Muhammad Bilal Zafar , Adish Singla , Krishna P. Gummadi

The label bias and selection bias are acknowledged as two reasons in data that will hinder the fairness of machine-learning outcomes. The label bias occurs when the labeling decision is disturbed by sensitive features, while the selection…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-08 Yixuan Zhang , Feng Zhou , Zhidong Li , Yang Wang , Fang Chen

Noise in data appears to be inevitable in most real-world machine learning applications and would cause severe overfitting problems. Not only can data features contain noise, but labels are also prone to be noisy due to human input. In this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-09 Weipeng Huang , Qin Li , Yang Xiao , Cheng Qiao , Tie Cai , Junwei Liang , Neil J. Hurley , Guangyuan Piao

We classify two types of Hierarchical Bayesian Model found in the literature as Hierarchical Prior Model (HPM) and Hierarchical Stochastic Model (HSM). Then, we focus on studying the theoretical implications of the HSM. Using examples of…

Applications · Statistics 2016-11-10 Stephen Wu , Panagiotis Angelikopoulos , James L. Beck , Petros Koumoutsakos

Crowdsourcing has emerged as an effective means for performing a number of machine learning tasks such as annotation and labelling of images and other data sets. In most early settings of crowdsourcing, the task involved classification,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-03 Desmond Cai , Duc Thien Nguyen , Shiau Hong Lim , Laura Wynter

A machine learning model may exhibit discrimination when used to make decisions involving people. One potential cause for such outcomes is that the model uses a statistical proxy for a protected demographic attribute. In this paper we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-11-29 Samuel Yeom , Anupam Datta , Matt Fredrikson

Preferential Bayesian optimization allows optimization of objectives that are either expensive or difficult to measure directly, by relying on a minimal number of comparative evaluations done by a human expert. Generating candidate…

The vast majority of techniques to train fair models require access to the protected attribute (e.g., race, gender), either at train time or in production. However, in many important applications this protected attribute is largely…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-04 Hadi Elzayn , Emily Black , Patrick Vossler , Nathanael Jo , Jacob Goldin , Daniel E. Ho

Objective prior distributions represent an important tool that allows one to have the advantages of using the Bayesian framework even when information about the parameters of a model is not available. The usual objective approaches work off…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-09-25 Fabrizio Leisen , Cristiano Villa , Stephen G. Walker

Sensitivity forecasts inform the design of experiments and the direction of theoretical efforts. To arrive at representative results, Bayesian forecasts should marginalize their conclusions over uncertain parameters and noise realizations…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2024-05-24 T. Gessey-Jones , W. J. Handley

Meta-analysis is widely used to integrate results from multiple experiments to obtain generalized insights. Since meta-analysis datasets are often heteroscedastic due to varying subgroups and temporal heterogeneity arising from experiments…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-19 Kohsuke Kubota , Shonosuke Sugasawa , Keiichi Ochiai , Takahiro Hoshino

We consider the problem of choosing between parametric models for a discrete observable, taking a Bayesian approach in which the within-model prior distributions are allowed to be improper. In order to avoid the ambiguity in the marginal…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-04-28 A. Philip Dawid , Monica Musio , Silvia Columbu

Advances in AI, and especially machine learning, are increasingly drawing research interest and efforts towards predictive process monitoring, the subfield of process mining (PM) that concerns predicting next events, process outcomes and…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-07-06 Hans Weytjens , Jochen De Weerdt

We propose an empirical Bayes estimator based on Dirichlet process mixture model for estimating the sparse normalized mean difference, which could be directly applied to the high dimensional linear classification. In theory, we build a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-02-17 Yunbo Ouyang , Feng Liang

We consider the problem of aggregating predictions or measurements from a set of human forecasters, models, sensors or other instruments which may be subject to bias or miscalibration and random heteroscedastic noise. We propose a Bayesian…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-01-12 Chirag Nagpal , Robert E. Tillman , Prashant Reddy , Manuela Veloso

We focus on improving the accuracy of an approximate model of a multiscale dynamical system that uses a set of parameter-dependent terms to account for the effects of unresolved or neglected dynamics on resolved scales. We start by…

Computational Physics · Physics 2019-06-26 Balasubramanya T. Nadiga , Chiyu Jiang , Daniel Livescu

Given a supervised machine learning problem where the training set has been subject to a known sampling bias, how can a model be trained to fit the original dataset? We achieve this through the Bayesian inference framework by altering the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-03-16 Max Sklar
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