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Usually one compares the accuracy of two competing classifiers via null hypothesis significance tests (nhst). Yet the nhst tests suffer from important shortcomings, which can be overcome by switching to Bayesian hypothesis testing. We…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-11-23 Giorgio Corani , Alessio Benavoli , Janez Demšar , Francesca Mangili , Marco Zaffalon

We develop a fully Bayesian, logistic tracking algorithm with the purpose of providing classification results that are unbiased when applied uniformly to individuals with differing sensitive variable values. Here, we consider bias in the…

Applications · Statistics 2020-12-02 Martin B. Short , George O. Mohler

Being able to reliably assess not only the \emph{accuracy} but also the \emph{uncertainty} of models' predictions is an important endeavour in modern machine learning. Even if the model generating the data and labels is known, computing the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-12 Lucas Clarté , Bruno Loureiro , Florent Krzakala , Lenka Zdeborová

An increased awareness concerning risks of algorithmic bias has driven a surge of efforts around bias mitigation strategies. A vast majority of the proposed approaches fall under one of two categories: (1) imposing algorithmic fairness…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-11 Yunyi Li , Maria De-Arteaga , Maytal Saar-Tsechansky

Hierarchical Bayesian methods enable information sharing across multiple related regression problems. While standard practice is to model regression parameters (effects) as (1) exchangeable across datasets and (2) correlated to differing…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-15 Brian L. Trippe , Hilary K. Finucane , Tamara Broderick

Biased human decisions have consequential impacts across various domains, yielding unfair treatment of individuals and resulting in suboptimal outcomes for organizations and society. In recognition of this fact, organizations regularly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-11 Wanxue Dong , Maria De-Arteaga , Maytal Saar-Tsechansky

The study of model bias and variance with respect to decision boundaries is critically important in supervised classification. There is generally a tradeoff between the two, as fine-tuning of the decision boundary of a classification model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-02-25 Matthew Almeida , Wei Ding , Scott Crouter , Ping Chen

Large language models (LLMs) have shown remarkable adaptability to diverse tasks, by leveraging context prompts containing instructions, or minimal input-output examples. However, recent work revealed they also exhibit label bias -- an…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-05-07 Yuval Reif , Roy Schwartz

Undesirable biases encoded in the data are key drivers of algorithmic discrimination. Their importance is widely recognized in the algorithmic fairness literature, as well as legislation and standards on anti-discrimination in AI. Despite…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-15 Marina Ceccon , Giandomenico Cornacchia , Davide Dalle Pezze , Alessandro Fabris , Gian Antonio Susto

Modeling uncertainty in deep neural networks, despite recent important advances, is still an open problem. Bayesian neural networks are a powerful solution, where the prior over network weights is a design choice, often a normal…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-10-29 Raanan Y. Rohekar , Yaniv Gurwicz , Shami Nisimov , Gal Novik

This work examines how to train fair classifiers in settings where training labels are corrupted with random noise, and where the error rates of corruption depend both on the label class and on the membership function for a protected…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-18 Jialu Wang , Yang Liu , Caleb Levy

There are several algorithms for measuring fairness of ML models. A fundamental assumption in these approaches is that the ground truth is fair or unbiased. In real-world datasets, however, the ground truth often contains data that is a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-02 Srinivasan H Sengamedu , Hien Pham

Within a supervised classification framework, labeled data are used to learn classifier parameters. Prior to that, it is generally required to perform dimensionality reduction via feature extraction. These preprocessing steps have motivated…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2017-12-04 Adrien Lagrange , Mathieu Fauvel , Stéphane May , Nicolas Dobigeon

The evaluation of a multifaceted program against extreme poverty in different developing countries gave encouraging results, but with important heterogeneity between countries. This master thesis proposes to study this heterogeneity with a…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-09-15 Louis Charlot

A growing literature on human-AI decision-making investigates strategies for combining human judgment with statistical models to improve decision-making. Research in this area often evaluates proposed improvements to models, interfaces, or…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2023-05-29 Luke Guerdan , Amanda Coston , Zhiwei Steven Wu , Kenneth Holstein

Stacking is a widely used model averaging technique that asymptotically yields optimal predictions among linear averages. We show that stacking is most effective when model predictive performance is heterogeneous in inputs, and we can…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-29 Yuling Yao , Gregor Pirš , Aki Vehtari , Andrew Gelman

The Bayesian evidence, crucial ingredient for model selection, is arguably the most important quantity in Bayesian data analysis: at the same time, however, it is also one of the most difficult to compute. In this paper we present a…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-14 Stefano Rinaldi , Gabriele Demasi , Walter Del Pozzo , Otto A. Hannuksela

Model inadequacy and measurement uncertainty are two of the most confounding aspects of inference and prediction in quantitative sciences. The process of scientific inference (the inverse problem) and prediction (the forward problem)…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2017-11-30 Amir Shahmoradi

A common concern with Bayesian methodology in scientific contexts is that inferences can be heavily influenced by subjective biases. As presented here, there are two types of bias for some quantity of interest: bias against and bias in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-03-06 Michael Evans , Yang Guo

Across domains such as medicine, employment, and criminal justice, predictive models often target labels that imperfectly reflect the outcomes of interest to experts and policymakers. For example, clinical risk assessments deployed to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-19 Luke Guerdan , Amanda Coston , Kenneth Holstein , Zhiwei Steven Wu