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We present an adaptive approach for valuing the European call option on assets with stochastic volatility. The essential feature of the method is a reduction of uncertainty in latent volatility due to a Bayesian learning procedure. Starting…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2008-12-02 Sergei Fedotov , Stephanos Panayides

This paper introduces a methodology for constructing a market index composed of a liquid risky asset and a liquid risk-free asset that achieves a fixed target volatility. Existing volatility-targeting strategies typically scale portfolio…

We apply the formalism of the continuous time random walk (CTRW) theory to financial tick data of the bond futures transacted in Korean Futures Exchange (KOFEX) market. For our case, the tick dynamical behaviors of the returns and…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-10 Kyungsik Kim , Seong-Min Yoon , Jum Soo Choi

This research examines the correlations between the return volatility of cryptocurrencies, global stock market indices, and the spillover effects of the COVID-19 pandemic. For this purpose, we employed a two-stage multivariate volatility…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-07-26 Apostolos Ampountolas

Working on different aspects of algorithmic trading we empirically discovered a new market invariant. It links together the volatility of the instrument with its traded volume, the average spread and the volume in the order book. The…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2019-08-14 Oleh Danyliv , Bruce Bland

This paper introduces one new multivariate volatility model that can accommodate an appropriately defined network structure based on low-frequency and high-frequency data. The model reduces the number of unknown parameters and the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-04-28 Huiling Yuan , Guodong Li , Junhui Wang

Accurately characterizing the implied volatility curves is a central challenge in option pricing and risk management. The classical SABR model by Hagan et al. has been widely adopted in practice due to its well-defined stochastic volatility…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-31 Wenxuan Zhang , Zhouchi Lin , Benzhuo Lu

This study empirically re-examines fat tails in stock return distributions by applying statistical methods to an extensive dataset taken from the Korean stock market. The tails of the return distributions are shown to be much fatter in…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-06-26 Cheoljun Eom , Taisei Kaizoji , Enrico Scalas

We examine the relationship between trading volumes, number of transactions, and volatility using daily stock data of the Tokyo Stock Exchange. Following the mixture of distributions hypothesis, we use trading volumes and the number of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-01-19 Tetsuya Takaishi , Ting Ting Chen

This paper presents a sophisticated multi-day turnover quantitative trading algorithm that integrates advanced deep learning techniques with comprehensive cross-sectional stock prediction for the Chinese A-share market. Our framework…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-06-10 Yimin Du

We examine strategically incorporating broad stock market leveraged exchange-traded funds (LETFs) into investment portfolios. We demonstrate that easily understandable and implementable strategies can enhance the risk-return profile of a…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-06-25 Peter Forsyth , Pieter van Staden , Yuying Li

Our article considers a regression model with observed factors. The observed factors have a flexible stochastic volatility structure that has separate dynamics for the volatilities and the correlation matrix. The correlation matrix of the…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2011-07-14 Yu-Cheng Ku , Peter Bloomfield , Robert Kohn

Recent years have seen an emerging class of structured financial products based on options linked to dynamic asset allocation strategies. One of the most chosen approach is the so-called target volatility mechanism. It shifts between risky…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2019-02-26 Luca Di Persio , Luca Prezioso , Kai Wallbaum

This paper introduces an extension of the Markov switching GARCH model where the volatility in each state is a convex combination of two different GARCH components with time varying weights. This model has the dynamic behavior to capture…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-02-20 N. Alemohammad , S. Rezakhah , S. H. Alizadeh

Low-frequency historical data, high-frequency historical data and option data are three major sources, which can be used to forecast the underlying security's volatility. In this paper, we propose two econometric models, which integrate…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-07-08 Huiling Yuan , Yong Zhou , Zhiyuan Zhang , Xiangyu Cui

One of the most important features of financial time series data is volatility. There are often structural changes in volatility over time, and an accurate estimation of the volatility of financial time series requires careful…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-24 Huaiyu Hu , Ashis Gangopadhyay

This study presents an agent-based computational cross-market model for Chinese equity market structure, which includes both stocks and CSI 300 index futures. In this model, we design several stocks and one index futures to simulate this…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2014-04-17 Hai-Chuan Xu , Wei Zhang , Xiong Xiong , Wei-Xing Zhou

Bid-ask spread is taken as an important measure of the financial market liquidity. In this article, we study the dynamics of the spread return and the spread volatility of four liquid stocks in the Chinese stock market, including the memory…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-05-30 Tian Qiu , Guang Chen , Li-Xin Zhong , Xiao-Run Wu

We propose an adaptive algorithm for tracking of historical volatility. The algorithm is built under the assumption that the historical volatility function belongs to the Stone-Ibragimov-Khasminskii class of $k$ times differentiable…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-06-13 L. Goldentayer , F. Klebaner , R. Liptser

This paper examines how shocks to currency volatilities predict exchange rates. Using option-implied volatilities, we construct a dynamic, directed network of volatility connections. Currencies that transmit more volatility shocks, which…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-12 Mykola Babiak , Jozef Barunik
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