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Accurate time series forecasts are crucial for various applications, such as traffic management, electricity consumption, and healthcare. However, limitations in models and data quality can significantly impact forecasts accuracy. One…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-12 Noufel Saad , Maaroufi Nadir , Najib Mehdi , Bakhouya Mohamed

Applying standard statistical methods after model selection may yield inefficient estimators and hypothesis tests that fail to achieve nominal type-I error rates. The main issue is the fact that the post-selection distribution of the data…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-05-23 Amit Meir , Mathias Drton

Forecasting accuracy is reliant on the quality of available past data. Data disruptions can adversely affect the quality of the generated model (e.g. unexpected events such as out-of-stock products when forecasting demand). We address this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-29 André Baptista , Yassine Baghoussi , Carlos Soares , João Mendes-Moreira , Miguel Arantes

Their vulnerability to small, imperceptible attacks limits the adoption of deep learning models to real-world systems. Adversarial training has proven to be one of the most promising strategies against these attacks, at the expense of a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-12 Björn Nieth , Thomas Altstidl , Leo Schwinn , Björn Eskofier

Growing amount of hydraulic fracturing (HF) jobs in the recent two decades resulted in a significant amount of measured data available for development of predictive models via machine learning (ML). In multistage fractured completions,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-07-21 A. D. Morozov , D. O. Popkov , V. M. Duplyakov , R. F. Mutalova , A. A. Osiptsov , A. L. Vainshtein , E. V. Burnaev , E. V. Shel , G. V. Paderin

Preference optimization methods have been successfully applied to improve not only the alignment of large language models (LLMs) with human values, but also specific natural language tasks such as summarization and stylistic continuations.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-06 Salem Lahlou , Abdalgader Abubaker , Hakim Hacid

Fixed-parameter algorithms, approximation algorithms and moderately exponential algorithms are three major approaches to algorithms design. While each of them being very active in its own, there is an increasing attention to the connection…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2012-11-29 Bruno Escoffier , EunJung Kim , Vangelis Th. Paschos

Tabular data synthesis is crucial in machine learning, yet existing general methods-primarily based on statistical or deep learning models-are highly data-dependent and often fall short in recommender systems. This limitation arises from…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2025-02-12 Jingtong Gao , Zhaocheng Du , Xiaopeng Li , Yichao Wang , Xiangyang Li , Huifeng Guo , Ruiming Tang , Xiangyu Zhao

Generating forecasts for time series with multiple seasonal cycles is an important use-case for many industries nowadays. Accounting for the multi-seasonal patterns becomes necessary to generate more accurate and meaningful forecasts in…

Applications · Statistics 2020-04-28 Kasun Bandara , Christoph Bergmeir , Hansika Hewamalage

Parametric model order reduction by matrix interpolation allows for efficient prediction of the behavior of dynamic systems without requiring knowledge about the underlying parametric dependency. Within this approach, reduced models are…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-06-03 Sebastian Resch-Schopper , Romain Rumpler , Gerhard Müller

In an era where financial markets are heavily influenced by many static and dynamic factors, it has become increasingly critical to carefully integrate diverse data sources with machine learning for accurate stock price prediction. This…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-03-10 Furkan Karadaş , Bahaeddin Eravcı , Ahmet Murat Özbayoğlu

The modeling of dynamical systems is essential in many fields, but applying machine learning techniques is often challenging due to incomplete or noisy data. This study introduces a variant of stochastic interpolation (SI) for probabilistic…

Computational Physics · Physics 2025-03-18 Siddharth Rout , Eldad Haber , Stéphane Gaudreault

We compare traditional approach of computing logarithmic returns with the fractional differencing method and its tempered extension as methods of data preparation before their usage in advanced machine learning models. Differencing…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-05-27 Dominik Stempień , Janusz Gajda

We propose a two-stage estimation method of variance components in time series models known as FDSLRMs, whose observations can be described by a linear mixed model (LMM). We based estimating variances, fundamental quantities in a time…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-03-10 Martina Hančová , Gabriela Vozáriková , Andrej Gajdoš , Jozef Hanč

This paper seeks an efficient algorithm for stochastic precoding to maximize the long-term average weighted sum rates throughout a multiple-input multiple-output (MIMO) network. Unlike many existing works that assume a particular…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2026-03-10 Wenyu Wang , Kaiming Shen

The growing demand for efficient deep learning has positioned dataset distillation as a pivotal technique for compressing training dataset while preserving model performance. However, existing inner-loop optimization methods for dataset…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-02-04 Muquan Li , Hang Gou , Dongyang Zhang , Shuang Liang , Xiurui Xie , Deqiang Ouyang , Ke Qin

This work addresses the distributed estimation problem in a set membership framework. The agents of a network collect measurements which are affected by bounded errors, thus implying that the unknown parameters to be estimated belong to a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-12-11 Francesco Farina , Andrea Garulli , Antonio Giannitrapani

Among all data augmentation techniques proposed so far, linear interpolation of training samples, also called Mixup, has found to be effective for a large panel of applications. Along with improved predictive performance, Mixup is also a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-20 Quentin Bouniot , Pavlo Mozharovskyi , Florence d'Alché-Buc

Self-supervised contrastive learning has become a key technique in deep learning, particularly in time series analysis, due to its ability to learn meaningful representations without explicit supervision. Augmentation is a critical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-15 Ziyu Liu , Azadeh Alavi , Minyi Li , Xiang Zhang

Multivariate time series forecasting with hierarchical structure is widely used in real-world applications, e.g., sales predictions for the geographical hierarchy formed by cities, states, and countries. The hierarchical time series (HTS)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-10 Fan Zhou , Chen Pan , Lintao Ma , Yu Liu , Shiyu Wang , James Zhang , Xinxin Zhu , Xuanwei Hu , Yunhua Hu , Yangfei Zheng , Lei Lei , Yun Hu