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This paper examines the performance of Random Forest models in forecasting short-term monthly inflation in Argentina, based on a database of monthly indicators since 1962. It is found that these models achieve forecast accuracy that is…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-01-03 Federico Daniel Forte

The real estate market is exposed to many fluctuations in prices because of existing correlations with many variables, some of which cannot be controlled or might even be unknown. Housing prices can increase rapidly (or in some cases, also…

Detecting Type 2 Diabetes (T2D) and Prediabetes (PD) is a real challenge for medicine due to the absence of pathogenic symptoms and the lack of known associated risk factors. Even though some proposals for machine learning models enable the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-02 Enzo Rucci , Gonzalo Tittarelli , Franco Ronchetti , Jorge F. Elgart , Laura Lanzarini , Juan José Gagliardino

Urban housing markets, along with markets of other assets, universally exhibit periods of strong price increases followed by sharp corrections. The mechanisms generating such non-linearities are not yet well understood. We develop an…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-04-17 Kirill S. Glavatskiy , Mikhail Prokopenko , Adrian Carro , Paul Ormerod , Michael Harre

Both buyers and sellers face uncertainty in real estate transactions in about when to time a transaction and at what cost. Both buyers and sellers make decisions without knowing the present and future state of the large and dynamic real…

Applications · Statistics 2022-01-12 Yuanyuan Zha , Susan T. Parker , James J. Foster , Vadim Sokolov

In many countries, real estate appraisal is based on conventional methods that rely on appraisers' abilities to collect data, interpret it and model the price of a real estate property. With the increasing use of real estate online…

General Economics · Economics 2022-01-19 Vladimir Vargas-Calderón , Jorge E. Camargo

The economic crisis in Argentina around year 2002 provides a unique opportunity for Econophysics studies. The available data on individual income are analyzed to show that they correspond to non stationary states. However, the rather…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2010-06-14 Juan C. Ferrero

Real estate appraisal, which is the process of estimating the price for real estate properties, is crucial for both buys and sellers as the basis for negotiation and transaction. Traditionally, the repeat sales model has been widely adopted…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2017-07-31 Quanzeng You , Ran Pang , Liangliang Cao , Jiebo Luo

Reliable real estate price indicators are typically published at city level and low frequency, limiting their use for neighborhood-scale monitoring and long-horizon planning. We study whether sub-city price indices can be forecasted at…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-24 Baris Arat , Hasan Fehmi Ates , Emre Sefer

Real estate prices have a significant impact on individuals, families, businesses, and governments. The general objective of real estate price prediction is to identify and exploit socioeconomic patterns arising from real estate…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2022-10-13 Yaping Zhao , Ramgopal Ravi , Shuhui Shi , Zhongrui Wang , Edmund Y. Lam , Jichang Zhao

Timely and accurate conflict event data are essential for real-time monitoring, forecasting, and policy response. Yet near-real-time conflict datasets such as the Armed Conflict Location \& Event Data Project (ACLED) are subject to…

Applications · Statistics 2026-03-30 Faniry A. Razakason , Daniel Racek , Paul W. Thurner , Göran Kauermann

In this research paper, I have performed time series analysis and forecasted the monthly value of housing starts for the year 2019 using several econometric methods - ARIMA(X), VARX, (G)ARCH and machine learning algorithms - artificial…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-05-21 Sudiksha Joshi

The study focuses on improving the ex ante prediction accuracy assessment in the case of forecasting various house price dispersion measures in the USA. It addresses a critical gap in real estate market forecasting by proposing a novel…

The Japanese real estate market, valued over 35 trillion USD, offers significant investment opportunities. Accurate rent and price forecasting could provide a substantial competitive edge. This paper explores using alternative data…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-06-03 Diabul Haque

Aggregated Relational Data (ARD) contain summary information about individual social networks and are widely used to estimate social network characteristics and the size of populations of interest. Although a variety of ARD estimators…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-27 Ian Laga , Benjamin Vogel , Jieyun Wang , Anna Smith , Owen Ward

Homeowners, first-time buyers, banks, governments and construction companies are highly interested in following the state of the property market. Currently, property price indexes are published several months out of date and hence do not…

Applications · Statistics 2020-09-23 Robert Miller , Phil Maguire

In recent years several complaints about racial discrimination in appraising home values have been accumulating. For several decades, to estimate the sale price of the residential properties, appraisers have been walking through the…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-10-15 Mahdieh Yazdani

This project aims at creating an investment device to help investors determine which real estate units have a higher return to investment in Madrid. To do so, we gather data from Idealista.com, a real estate web-page with millions of real…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-08-07 Monica Azqueta-Gavaldon , Gonzalo Azqueta-Gavaldon , Inigo Azqueta-Gavaldon , Andres Azqueta-Gavaldon

In this paper, we show how using publicly available data streams and machine learning algorithms one can develop practical data driven services with no input from domain experts as a form of prior knowledge. We report the initial steps…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2017-04-18 Vahid Moosavi

Financial markets are notoriously complex environments, presenting vast amounts of noisy, yet potentially informative data. We consider the problem of forecasting financial time series from a wide range of information sources using online…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-07-12 Sid Ghoshal , Stephen Roberts
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