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We study nonparametric density estimation in non-stationary drift settings. Given a sequence of independent samples taken from a distribution that gradually changes in time, the goal is to compute the best estimate for the current…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-31 Alessio Mazzetto , Eli Upfal

In this paper, we develop an efficient nonparametric Bayesian estimation of the kernel function of Hawkes processes. The non-parametric Bayesian approach is important because it provides flexible Hawkes kernels and quantifies their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-14 Rui Zhang , Christian Walder , Marian-Andrei Rizoiu , Lexing Xie

In this paper, we proceed to study the nonlocal diffusion problem proposed by Li and Wang [8], where the left boundary is fixed, while the right boundary is a nonlocal free boundary. We first give some accurate estimates on the longtime…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2021-08-23 Lei Li , Mingxin Wang

We show that the cumulative distribution function corresponding to a kernel density estimator with optimal bandwidth lies outside any confidence interval, around the empirical distribution function, with probability tending to 1 as the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-17 Nils Lid Hjort , Stephen G. Walker

We consider a nonparametric regression setup, where the covariate is a random element in a complete separable metric space, and the parameter of interest associated with the conditional distribution of the response lies in a separable…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-11-16 Joydeep Chowdhury , Probal Chaudhuri

We study Bayes procedures for the problem of nonparametric drift estimation for one-dimensional, ergodic diffusion models from discrete-time, low-frequency data. We give conditions for posterior consistency and verify these conditions for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-02-01 Frank van der Meulen , Harry van Zanten

We estimate on a compact interval densities with isolated irregularities, such as discontinuities or discontinuities in some derivatives. From independent and identically distributed observations we construct a kernel estimator with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-07-16 Céline Duval , Émeline Schmisser

This paper is the third part of our study started with Cattiaux, Le\'{o}n and Prieur [Stochastic Process. Appl. 124 (2014) 1236-1260; ALEA Lat. Am. J. Probab. Math. Stat. 11 (2014) 359-384]. For some ergodic Hamiltonian systems, we obtained…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-23 Patrick Cattiaux , José R. León , Clémentine Prieur

Blind deconvolution problems are severely ill-posed because neither the underlying signal nor the forward operator are not known exactly. Conventionally, these problems are solved by alternating between estimation of the image and kernel…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-12-06 Yash Sanghvi , Yiheng Chi , Stanley H. Chan

Consider a diffusion process X=(X_t), with t in [0,1], observed at discrete times and high frequency, solution of a stochastic differential equation whose drift and diffusion coefficients are assumed to be unknown. In this article, we focus…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-27 Eddy Ella-Mintsa

In nonparametric regression analysis, errors are possibly correlated in practice, and neglecting error correlation can undermine most bandwidth selection methods. When no prior knowledge or parametric form of the correlation structure is…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-29 Sisheng Liu , Xiaoli Kong

In this paper, we consider the problem of estimating the covariance kernel and its eigenvalues and eigenfunctions from sparse, irregularly observed, noise corrupted and (possibly) correlated functional data. We present a method based on…

Methodology · Statistics 2008-07-09 Debashis Paul , Jie Peng

In biomedical studies, we are often interested in the association between different types of covariates and the times to disease events. Because the relationship between the covariates and event times is often complex, standard survival…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-19 Hoi Min Ng , Kin Yau Wong

Continuous treatments (e.g., doses) arise often in practice, but many available causal effect estimators are limited by either requiring parametric models for the effect curve, or by not allowing doubly robust covariate adjustment. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-04-21 Edward H. Kennedy , Zongming Ma , Matthew D. McHugh , Dylan S. Small

We investigate nonparametric drift estimation for multidimensional jump diffusions based on continuous observations. The results are derived under anisotropic smoothness assumptions and the estimators' performance is measured in terms of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-10-02 Niklas Dexheimer

We study the kernel estimator of the transition density of bifurcating Markov chains. Under some ergodic and regularity properties, we prove that this estimator is consistent and asymptotically normal. Next, in the numerical studies, we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-03-28 S. Valère Bitseki Penda

We study the boundary trace processes of reflected diffusions on uniform domains. We obtain stable-like heat kernel estimates for such a boundary trace process when the diffusion on the underlying ambient space satisfies sub-Gaussian heat…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-02-24 Naotaka Kajino , Mathav Murugan

Using time dependent Lyapunov functions, we prove pointwise upper bounds for the heat kernels of some nonautonomous Kolmogorov operators with possibly unbounded drift and diffusion coefficients.

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2013-08-09 M. Kunze , L. Lorenzi , A. Rhandi

We first revisit the problem of estimating the spot volatility of an It\^o semimartingale using a kernel estimator. We prove a Central Limit Theorem with optimal convergence rate for a general two-sided kernel. Next, we introduce a new…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-02-08 José E. Figueroa-López , Bei Wu

For $d\geq 2$, we establish the existence and uniqueness of heat kernels for a large class of time-dependent second order diffusion operator with jumps, which is the sum of time-dependent of a second order elliptic differential operators…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2016-11-18 Zhen-Qing Chen , Eryan Hu , Longjie Xie , Xicheng Zhang
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