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Venture capital outcomes are dominated by a small number of extreme successes, making it difficult to distinguish investor skill from favorable realizations in a highly skewed return distribution. We study this question by comparing…

General Economics · Economics 2026-05-06 Max Sina Knicker , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud , Michael Benzaquen

For the pedestrian observer, financial markets look completely random with erratic and uncontrollable behavior. To a large extend, this is correct. At first approximation the difference between real price changes and the random walk model…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2011-08-22 Laurent Schoeffel

A novel version of the Continuous-Time Random Walk (CTRW) model with memory is developed. This memory means the dependence between arbitrary number of successive jumps of the process, while waiting times between jumps are considered as…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2016-12-16 Tomasz Gubiec , Ryszard Kutner

We develop a methodology for index tracking and risk exposure control using financial derivatives. Under a continuous-time diffusion framework for price evolution, we present a pathwise approach to construct dynamic portfolios of…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-05-31 Tim Leung , Brian Ward

The random walk with choice is a well known variation to the random walk that first selects a subset of $d$ neighbours nodes and then decides to move to the node which maximizes the value of a certain metric; this metric captures the number…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2010-07-20 John Alexandris , Gregory Karagiorgos 'and' Ioannis Stavrakakis

This paper proposes a new method for financial portfolio optimization based on reducing simultaneous asset shocks across a collection of assets. This may be understood as an alternative approach to risk reduction in a portfolio based on a…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-03-10 Nick James , Max Menzies , Jennifer Chan

This paper presents a numerical method to calculate the value function for a general discounted impulse control problem for piecewise deterministic Markov processes. Our approach is based on a quantization technique for the underlying…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-08-31 Benoîte de Saporta , François Dufour

The main focus of this article is to provide a mathematical study of the algorithm proposed in \cite{boyaval2010variance} where the authors proposed a variance reduction technique for the computation of parameter-dependent expectations…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-09-24 Mohamed-Raed Blel , Virginie Ehrlacher , Tony Lelièvre

Robust estimation for modern portfolio selection on a large set of assets becomes more important due to large deviation of empirical inference on big data. We propose a distributionally robust methodology for high-dimensional mean-variance…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-12 Ruike Wu , Yanrong Yang , Han Lin Shang , Huanjun Zhu

In this paper we develop a concrete and fully implementable approach to the optimization of functionally generated portfolios in stochastic portfolio theory. The main idea is to optimize over a family of rank-based portfolios parameterized…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-10-12 Steven Campbell , Ting-Kam Leonard Wong

Computing risk measures of a financial portfolio comprising thousands of derivatives is a challenging problem because (a) it involves a nested expectation requiring multiple evaluations of the loss of the financial portfolio for different…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-01-10 Michael B. Giles , Abdul-Lateef Haji-Ali

We introduce a variational algorithm to estimate the likelihood of a rare event within a nonequilibrium molecular dynamics simulation through the evaluation of an optimal control force. Optimization of a control force within a chosen basis…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-01-14 Avishek Das , David T. Limmer

In many insurance contexts, dependence between risks of a portfolio may arise from their frequencies. We investigate a dependent risk model in which we assume the vector of count variables to be a tree-structured Markov random field with…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-03 Hélène Cossette , Benjamin Côté , Alexandre Dubeau , Etienne Marceau

This paper is concerned with the maximum principle and dynamic programming principle for mean-variance portfolio selection of jump diffusions and their relationship. First, the optimal portfolio and efficient frontier of the problem are…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-08-05 Qiyue Zhang , Jingtao Shi

We discuss the relative merits of optimistic and randomized approaches to exploration in reinforcement learning. Optimistic approaches presented in the literature apply an optimistic boost to the value estimate at each state-action pair and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-06-15 Ian Osband , Benjamin Van Roy

We present an approach to interface branching random walks with Markov chain Monte Carlo sampling, and to switch seamlessly between the two. The approach is discussed in the context of auxiliary-field quantum Monte Carlo (AFQMC) but is…

Strongly Correlated Electrons · Physics 2023-11-01 Zhi-Yu Xiao , Hao Shi , Shiwei Zhang

Entropy based ideas find wide-ranging applications in finance for calibrating models of portfolio risk as well as options pricing. The abstracted problem, extensively studied in the literature, corresponds to finding a probability measure…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-11-04 Santanu Dey , Sandeep Juneja , Karthyek R. A. Murthy

This paper presents an implementation of the Imperialist Competitive Algorithm (ICA) for solving the fuzzy random portfolio selection problem where the asset returns are represented by fuzzy random variables. Portfolio Optimization is an…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-02-21 Mir Ehsan Hesam Sadati , Jamshid Bagherzadeh Mohasefi

Recent developments in deep learning techniques have motivated intensive research in machine learning-aided stock trading strategies. However, since the financial market has a highly non-stationary nature hindering the application of…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-12-15 Kentaro Imajo , Kentaro Minami , Katsuya Ito , Kei Nakagawa

Real-world autonomous systems operate under uncertainty about both their pose and dynamics. Autonomous control systems must simultaneously perform estimation and control tasks to maintain robustness to changing dynamics or modeling errors.…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-08-03 Patrick Slade , Zachary N. Sunberg , Mykel J. Kochenderfer
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