Related papers: Extremal Quantiles under Two-Way Clustering
For a class of Gaussian stationary processes, we prove a limit theorem on the convergence of the distributions of the scaled last exit time over a slowly growing linear boundary. The limit is a double exponential (Gumbel) distribution.
Anomalous coarsening in far-from equilibrium one-dimensional systems is investigated by simulation and analytic techniques. The minimal hard core particle (exclusion) models contain mechanisms of aggregated particle diffusion, with rates…
This paper studies the joint tail asymptotics of extrema of the multi-dimensional Gaussian process over random intervals defined as $$ P(u):=\mathbb{P}\left\{\cap_{i=1}^n \left(\sup_{t\in[0,\mathcal{T}_i]} ( X_{i}(t) +c_i t )>a_i u…
On the basis of Nelson-Aalen nonparametric estimator of the cumulative distribution function, we provide a weak approximation to tail product-limit process for randomly right-censored heavy-tailed data. In this context, a new consistent…
Thousands of papers have reported two-way cluster-robust (TWCR) standard errors. However, the recent econometrics literature points out the potential non-gaussianity of two-way cluster sample means, and thus invalidity of the inference…
In this paper we revisited the classical problem of max-sum equivalence of randomly weighted sums in two dimensions. In opposite to the most papers in literature, we consider that there exists some interdependence between the primary random…
Consider a probability distribution subordinate to a subexponential distribution with finite mean. In this paper, we discuss the second order tail behavior of the subordinated distribution within a rather general framework in which we do…
We consider a model of aggregation, both diffusion-limited and ballistic, based on the Cayley tree. Growth is from the leaves of the tree towards the root, leading to non-trivial screening and branch competition effects. The model exhibits…
We introduce a rigorous mathematical framework for Granger causality in extremes, designed to identify causal links from extreme events in time series. Granger causality plays a pivotal role in uncovering directional relationships among…
We propose a novel probabilistic model to facilitate the learning of multivariate tail dependence of multiple financial assets. Our method allows one to construct from known random vectors, e.g., standard normal, sophisticated joint…
Predicting extreme events is important in many applications in risk analysis. The extreme-value theory suggests modelling extremes by max-stable distributions. The Bayesian approach provides a natural framework for statistical prediction.…
In this paper, joint asymptotics of powered maxima for a triangular array of bivariate powered Gaussian random vectors are considered. Under the H\"usler-Reiss condition, limiting distributions of powered maxima are derived. Furthermore,…
Estimation of extreme conditional quantiles is often required for risk assessment of natural hazards in climate and geo-environmental sciences and for quantitative risk management in statistical finance, econometrics, and actuarial…
Motivated by modern applications in which one constructs graphical models based on a very large number of features, this paper introduces a new class of cluster-based graphical models, in which variable clustering is applied as an initial…
The extreme values theory presents specific tools for modeling and predicting extreme phenomena. In particular, risk assessment is often analyzed through measures for tail dependence and high values clustering. Despite technological…
We study the local structure of the extremal process associated with the Discrete Gaussian Free Field (DGFF) in scaled-up (square-)lattice versions of bounded open planar domains subject to mild regularity conditions on the boundary. We…
A random flight on a plane with non-isotropic displacements at the moments of direction changes is considered. In the case of exponentially distributed flight lengths a Gaussian limit theorem is proved for the position of a particle in the…
Let $\mathbf{X}(n) \in \mathbb{R}^d$ be a sequence of random vectors, where $n\in\mathbb{N}$ and $d = d(n)$. Under certain weakly dependence conditions, we prove that the distribution of the maximal component of $\mathbf{X}$ and the…
Describing the complex dependence structure of extreme phenomena is particularly challenging. To tackle this issue we develop a novel statistical algorithm that describes extremal dependence taking advantage of the inherent hierarchical…
We consider two independent random variables with the given tail asymptotic (e.g. power or exponential). We find tail asymptotic for their sum and product. This is done by some cumbersome but purely technical computations and requires the…