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Different agents need to make a prediction. They observe identical data, but have different models: they predict using different explanatory variables. We study which agent believes they have the best predictive ability -- as measured by…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2023-02-01 Jose Luis Montiel Olea , Pietro Ortoleva , Mallesh M Pai , Andrea Prat

We consider forecasting the latent rate profiles of a time series of inhomogeneous Poisson processes. The work is motivated by operations management of queueing systems, in particular, telephone call centers, where accurate forecasting of…

Applications · Statistics 2008-07-28 Haipeng Shen , Jianhua Z. Huang

Modeling and analysis of interactions among services is a crucial issue in Service-Oriented Computing. Composing Web services is a complicated task which requires techniques and tools to verify that the new system will behave correctly. In…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2010-09-21 Gwen Salaün

Exploring the collective behavior of interacting entities is of great interest and importance. Rather than focusing on static and uniform connections, we examine the co-evolution of diverse mobile agents experiencing varying interactions…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-10-16 Guram Mikaberidze , Sayantan Nag Chowdhury , Alan Hastings , Raissa M. DSouza

Efficiently exploiting servers in data centers requires performance analysis methods that account not only for the stochastic nature of demand but also for server heterogeneity. Although several recent works proved optimality results for…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2021-09-03 Mark van der Boor , Céline Comte

We introduce a statistical agent based model to describe the phenomenon of drug abuse and its dynamical evolution at the individual and global level. The agents are heterogeneous with respect to their intrinsic inclination to drugs, to…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-08-03 Riccardo Di Clemente , Luciano Pietronero

Using a dynamical model to make predictions about a system has many sources of error. These can include errors in how the model was initialised but also errors in the dynamics of the model itself. For many applications in data assimilation,…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-07-07 P. A. Browne

Software development processes are subject to variations in time and space, variations that can originate from learning effects, differences in application domains, or a number of other causes. Identifying and analyzing such differences is…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2014-01-21 Martín Soto , Jürgen Münch

The use of models, even if efficient, must be accompanied by an understanding at all levels of the process that transforms data (upstream and downstream). Thus, needs increase to define the relationships between individual data and the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-09-02 Dimitri Delcaillau , Antoine Ly , Alize Papp , Franck Vermet

Continuous Integration (CI) requires efficient regression testing to ensure software quality without significantly delaying its CI builds. This warrants the need for techniques to reduce regression testing time, such as Test Case…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2024-10-17 Ahmadreza Saboor Yaraghi , Mojtaba Bagherzadeh , Nafiseh Kahani , Lionel Briand

Queuing models provide insight into the temporal inhomogeneity of human dynamics, characterized by the broad distribution of waiting times of individuals performing tasks. We study the queuing model of an agent trying to execute a task of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-06-05 Hang-Hyun Jo , Raj Kumar Pan , Kimmo Kaski

Mobile networks possess information about the users as well as the network. Such information is useful for making the network end-to-end visible and intelligent. Big data analytics can efficiently analyze user and network information,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-08-01 Kashif Sultan , Hazrat Ali , Zhongshan Zhang

We present our approach to the problem of how an agent, within an economic Multi-Agent System, can determine when it should behave strategically (i.e. learn and use models of other agents), and when it should act as a simple price-taker. We…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Jose M. Vidal , Edmund H. Durfee

Risk management resulting from the actions and states of the different elements making up a operating room is a major concern during a surgical procedure. Agent-based simulation shows an interest through its interaction concepts,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-07-23 Bruno Perez , Julien Henriet , Christophe Lang , Laurent Philippe

We aim to predict and explain service failures in supply-chain networks, more precisely among last-mile pickup and delivery services to customers. We analyze a dataset of 500,000 services using (1) supervised classification with Random…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-10-24 Monika Sharma , Tristan Glatard , Eric Gelinas , Mariam Tagmouti , Brigitte Jaumard

Multi-agent deliberation systems using large language models (LLMs) are increasingly proposed for policy simulation, yet they suffer from artificial consensus: evaluator agents converge on the same option regardless of their assigned value…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2026-04-30 Ariel Sela

We study consumption behaviour in systems with heterogeneous interacting agents. Two different models are introduced, respectively with long and short range interactions among agents. At any time step an agent decides whether or not to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 Giulia Iori , Vassilis Koulovassilopoulos

An agent-based model for firms' dynamics is developed. The model consists of firm agents with identical characteristic parameters and a bank agent. Dynamics of those agents is described by their balance sheets. Each firm tries to maximize…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-01-14 Hiroshi Iyetomi , Hideaki Aoyama , Yoshi Fujiwara , Yuichi Ikeda , Wataru Souma

Data heterogeneity plays a pivotal role in determining the performance of machine learning (ML) systems. Traditional algorithms, which are typically designed to optimize average performance, often overlook the intrinsic diversity within…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-03 Jiashuo Liu , Peng Cui

The information diffusion prediction on social networks aims to predict future recipients of a message, with practical applications in marketing and social media. While different prediction models all claim to perform well, general…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-01-16 Wenjin Xie , Xiaomeng Wang , Radosław Michalski , Tao Jia