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Prediction of network traffic behavior is significant for the effective management of modern telecommunication networks. However, the intuitive approach of predicting network traffic using administrative experience and market analysis data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-04 Sajal Saha , Anwar Haque , Greg Sidebottom

This paper introduces a novel and scalable framework for uncertainty estimation and separation with applications in data driven modeling in science and engineering tasks where reliable uncertainty quantification is critical. Leveraging an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-19 Navid Ansari , Hans-Peter Seidel , Vahid Babaei

We analyze an ensemble-based approach for uncertainty quantification (UQ) in atomistic neural networks. This method generates an epistemic uncertainty signal without requiring changes to the underlying multi-headed regression neural network…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2025-11-21 Idan Fonea , Amir Peles , Sivan Niv , Goren Gordon , Amir Natan

We present a novel mathematical optimization framework for outlier detection in multimodal datasets, extending Support Vector Data Description approaches. We provide a primal formulation, in the shape of a Mixed Integer Second Order Cone…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-07-16 Víctor Blanco , Inmaculada Espejo , Raúl Páez , Antonio M. Rodríguez-Chía

Uncertainty estimations for machine learning interatomic potentials (MLIPs) are crucial for quantifying model error and identifying informative training samples in active learning strategies. In this study, we evaluate uncertainty…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-10 Matthias Holzenkamp , Dongyu Lyu , Ulrich Kleinekathöfer , Peter Zaspel

Outliers are ubiquitous in modern data sets. Distance-based techniques are a popular non-parametric approach to outlier detection as they require no prior assumptions on the data generating distribution and are simple to implement. Scaling…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-05-04 Mario Lucic , Olivier Bachem , Andreas Krause

Scientific Machine Learning is a new class of approaches that integrate physical knowledge and mechanistic models with data-driven techniques for uncovering governing equations of complex processes. Among the available approaches, Universal…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-14 Nina Schmid , David Fernandes del Pozo , Willem Waegeman , Jan Hasenauer

Outlier detection (OD) aims to identify abnormal instances, known as outliers or anomalies, by learning typical patterns of normal data, or inliers. Performing OD under an unsupervised regime-without any information about anomalous…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-21 Minseo Kang , Seunghwan Park , Dongha Kim

Machine learning interatomic potentials (MLIPs) enable accurate atomistic modelling, but reliable uncertainty quantification (UQ) remains elusive. In this study, we investigate two UQ strategies, ensemble learning and D-optimality, within…

Materials Science · Physics 2025-08-06 Fei Shuang , Zixiong Wei , Kai Liu , Wei Gao , Poulumi Dey

Many machine learning classification systems lack competency awareness. Specifically, many systems lack the ability to identify when outliers (e.g., samples that are distinct from and not represented in the training data distribution) are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-03 Matthew Cook , Alina Zare , Paul Gader

In this paper, we address the problem of how to robustly train a ConvNet for regression, or deep robust regression. Traditionally, deep regression employs the L2 loss function, known to be sensitive to outliers, i.e. samples that either lie…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2018-08-29 Stéphane Lathuilière , Pablo Mesejo , Xavier Alameda-Pineda , Radu Horaud

The combination of the Internet of Things and the Edge Computing gives many opportunities to support innovative applications close to end users. Numerous devices present in both infrastructures can collect data upon which various processing…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2021-03-02 Kostas Kolomvatsos , Christos Anagnostopoulos

Deep networks often make confident, yet, incorrect, predictions when tested with outlier data that is far removed from their training distributions. Likelihoods computed by deep generative models (DGMs) are a candidate metric for outlier…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-20 Kushal Chauhan , Barath Mohan U , Pradeep Shenoy , Manish Gupta , Devarajan Sridharan

Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) is essential for creating trustworthy machine learning models. Recent years have seen a steep rise in UQ methods that can flag suspicious examples, however, it is often unclear what exactly these methods…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-31 Hao Sun , Boris van Breugel , Jonathan Crabbe , Nabeel Seedat , Mihaela van der Schaar

An outlier is an observation or a data point that is far from rest of the data points in a given dataset or we can be said that an outlier is away from the center of mass of observations. Presence of outliers can skew statistical measures…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-17 Amulya Agarwal , Nitin Gupta

In this work, we revisit outlier hypothesis testing and propose exponentially consistent, low-complexity fixed-length tests that achieve a better tradeoff between detection performance and computational complexity than existing…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-01-28 Lina Zhu , Lin Zhou

Faithful uncertainty quantification (UQ) is paramount in high stakes climate prediction. Deep ensembles, or ensembles of probabilistic neural networks, are state of the art for UQ in machine learning (ML) and are growing increasingly…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-03-24 Devin M. McAfee , Elizabeth A. Barnes

Assessing the quality of aleatoric uncertainty estimates from uncertainty quantification (UQ) deep learning methods is important in scientific contexts, where uncertainty is physically meaningful and important to characterize and interpret…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-14 Rebecca Nevin , Aleksandra Ćiprijanović , Brian D. Nord

Effective Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) represents a key aspect for reliable deployment of Large Language Models (LLMs) in automated decision-making and beyond. Yet, for LLM generation with multiple choice structure, the state-of-the-art…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-18 Ramzi Dakhmouche , Adrien Letellier , Hossein Gorji

Outlier or anomaly detection is an important task in data analysis. We discuss the problem from a geometrical perspective and provide a framework that exploits the metric structure of a data set. Our approach rests on the manifold…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-08-01 Moritz Herrmann , Florian Pfisterer , Fabian Scheipl
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