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Epidemiological forecasting from surveillance data is a hard problem and hybridizing mechanistic compartmental models with neural models is a natural direction. The mechanistic structure helps keep trajectories epidemiologically plausible,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-09 Yiqi Su , Ray Lee , Jiaming Cui , Naren Ramakrishnan

End-to-end learning of dynamical systems with black-box models, such as neural ordinary differential equations (ODEs), provides a flexible framework for learning dynamics from data without prescribing a mathematical model for the dynamics.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-06-20 Paidamoyo Chapfuwa , Sherri Rose , Lawrence Carin , Edward Meeds , Ricardo Henao

Hybrid neural ordinary differential equations (neural ODEs) integrate mechanistic models with neural ODEs, offering strong inductive bias and flexibility, and are particularly advantageous in data-scarce healthcare settings. However,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-04 Bob Junyi Zou , Lu Tian

Causal discovery is a data-driven paradigm for analyzing complex systems, while physics-based models, such as ordinary differential equations (ODEs), provide mechanistic structure for real-world dynamical processes. Integrating these…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-21 Jianhong Chen , Naichen Shi , Xubo Yue

Hybrid modeling, the combination of first principle and machine learning models, is an emerging research field that gathers more and more attention. Even if hybrid models produce formidable results for academic examples, there are still…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-15 Tobias Thummerer , Johannes Tintenherr , Lars Mikelsons

Causal inference in continuous-time sequential decision problems is challenged by hidden confounders. We show that, in latent state-space models with time-varying interventions, observability of the latent dynamics from observed data is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-14 Jennifer Wendland , Nicolas Freitag , Maik Kschischo

The understanding and modeling of complex physical phenomena through dynamical systems has historically driven scientific progress, as it provides the tools for predicting the behavior of different systems under diverse conditions through…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-03 Karin L. Yu , Eleni Chatzi , Georgios Kissas

By interpreting the forward dynamics of the latent representation of neural networks as an ordinary differential equation, Neural Ordinary Differential Equation (Neural ODE) emerged as an effective framework for modeling a system dynamics…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-19 Daehoon Gwak , Gyuhyeon Sim , Michael Poli , Stefano Massaroli , Jaegul Choo , Edward Choi

Modeling the dynamics of probability distributions from time-dependent data samples is a fundamental problem in many fields, including digital health. The goal is to analyze how the distribution of a biomarker, such as glucose, changes over…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-18 Antonio Álvarez-López , Marcos Matabuena

To be fully useful for public health practice, models for epidemic response must be able to do more than predict -- it is also important to incorporate the mechanisms underlying transmission dynamics to enable policymakers and practitioners…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2025-05-26 Jiale Tan , Marisa C. Eisenberg

The aim of the present paper is to efficiently describe the membrane potential dynamics of neural populations formed by species having a high density difference in specific brain areas. We propose a hybrid model whose main ingredients are a…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2015-10-06 Anna Cattani , Sergio Solinas , Claudio Canuto

Data-driven modeling of dynamical systems is a crucial area of machine learning. In many scenarios, a thorough understanding of the model's behavior becomes essential for practical applications. For instance, understanding the behavior of a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-14 Krzysztof Kacprzyk , Mihaela van der Schaar

This work presents an omics-driven modeling pipeline that integrates machine-learning tools to facilitate the dynamic modeling of multiscale biological systems. Random forests and permutation feature importance are proposed to mine omics…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2025-01-17 Sebastián Espinel-Ríos , José Montaño López , José L. Avalos

Disease progression modeling aims to characterize and predict how a patient's disease complications worsen over time based on longitudinal electronic health records (EHRs). For diseases such as type 2 diabetes, accurate progression modeling…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-03-31 Tingsong Xiao , Yao An Lee , Zelin Xu , Yupu Zhang , Zibo Liu , Yu Huang , Jiang Bian , Jingchuan Guo , Zhe Jiang

Foundation models have transformed language, vision, and time series data analysis, yet progress on dynamic predictions for physical systems remains limited. Given the complexity of physical constraints, two challenges stand out. $(i)$…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-05 Haoran Li , Chenhan Xiao , Lihao Mai , Yang Weng , Erik Blasch

Reduced-order models that accurately abstract high fidelity models and enable faster simulation is vital for real-time, model-based diagnosis applications. In this paper, we outline a novel hybrid modeling approach that combines machine…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-03-06 Ion Matei , Johan de Kleer , Alexander Feldman , Rahul Rai , Souma Chowdhury

Neural ordinary differential equations (ODEs) are an emerging class of deep learning models for dynamical systems. They are particularly useful for learning an ODE vector field from observed trajectories (i.e., inverse problems). We here…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-23 Katharina Ott , Michael Tiemann , Philipp Hennig

Constructing a robust model that can effectively generalize to test samples under distribution shifts remains a significant challenge in the field of medical imaging. The foundational models for vision and language, pre-trained on extensive…

Signal processing, communications, and control have traditionally relied on classical statistical modeling techniques. Such model-based methods utilize mathematical formulations that represent the underlying physics, prior information and…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-09-13 Nir Shlezinger , Jay Whang , Yonina C. Eldar , Alexandros G. Dimakis

Complex systems are often decomposed into modular subsystems for engineering tractability. Although various equation based white-box modeling techniques make use of such structure, learning based methods have yet to incorporate these ideas…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-31 Jayesh K. Gupta , Sai Vemprala , Ashish Kapoor
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