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This study deals with the problem of outliers in ordinal response model, which is a regression on ordered categorical data as the response variable. ``Outlier" means that the combination of ordered categorical data and its covariates is…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-29 Tomotaka Momozaki , Tomoyuki Nakagawa

In recent decades, new methods and approaches have been developed for forecasting intermittent demand series. However, the majority of research has focused on point forecasting, with little exploration into probabilistic intermittent demand…

Applications · Statistics 2024-04-16 Shengjie Wang , Yanfei Kang , Fotios Petropoulos

The difficulty of multiple-choice questions (MCQs) is a crucial factor for educational assessments. Predicting MCQ difficulty is challenging since it requires understanding both the complexity of reaching the correct option and the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-03-12 Wanyong Feng , Peter Tran , Stephen Sireci , Andrew Lan

Prediction performance does not always reflect the estimation behaviour of a method. High error in estimation may necessarily not result in high prediction error, but can lead to an unreliable prediction if test data lie in a slightly…

Applications · Statistics 2020-09-22 Raju Rimal , Trygve Almøy , Solve Sæbø

We study high-dimensional sparse estimation tasks in a robust setting where a constant fraction of the dataset is adversarially corrupted. Specifically, we focus on the fundamental problems of robust sparse mean estimation and robust sparse…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2019-11-20 Ilias Diakonikolas , Sushrut Karmalkar , Daniel Kane , Eric Price , Alistair Stewart

Differentiable optimization has attracted significant research interest, particularly for quadratic programming (QP). Existing approaches for differentiating the solution of a QP with respect to its defining parameters often rely on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-31 Connor W. Magoon , Fengyu Yang , Noam Aigerman , Shahar Z. Kovalsky

Uncertainty quantification (UQ) in computational chemistry (CC) is still in its infancy. Very few CC methods are designed to provide a confidence level on their predictions, and most users still rely improperly on the mean absolute error as…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2022-03-21 Pascal Pernot

Link prediction (LP) is an important problem in network science and machine learning research. The state-of-the-art LP methods are usually evaluated in a uniform setup, ignoring several factors associated with the data and application…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-07-21 Bhargavi Kalyani , A Rama Prasad Mathi , Niladri Sett

Outlier detection is an integral part of robust evaluation for crowdsourceable Quality of Experience (QoE) and has attracted much attention in recent years. In QoE for multimedia, outliers happen because of different test conditions, human…

Multimedia · Computer Science 2014-10-23 Qianqian Xu , Ming Yan , Yuan Yao

Qualitative probabilistic networks have been designed for probabilistic reasoning in a qualitative way. Due to their coarse level of representation detail, qualitative probabilistic networks do not provide for resolving trade-offs and…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-01-18 Silja Renooij , Linda C. van der Gaag , Simon Parsons , Shaw Green

Queueing systems present many opportunities for applying machine-learning predictions, such as estimated service times, to improve system performance. This integration raises numerous open questions about how predictions can be effectively…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-03-11 Michael Mitzenmacher , Rana Shahout

This paper is concerned with the online estimation of a nonlinear dynamic system from a series of noisy measurements. The focus is on cases wherein outliers are present in-between normal noises. We assume that the outliers follow an unknown…

Computation · Statistics 2019-05-14 Bin Liu

Intermittent demand forecasting is a ubiquitous and challenging problem in production systems and supply chain management. In recent years, there has been a growing focus on developing forecasting approaches for intermittent demand from…

Applications · Statistics 2022-09-01 Li Li , Yanfei Kang , Fotios Petropoulos , Feng Li

Classifiers are often tested on relatively small data sets, which should lead to uncertain performance metrics. Nevertheless, these metrics are usually taken at face value. We present an approach to quantify the uncertainty of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-03-05 Niklas Tötsch , Daniel Hoffmann

Quality-Diversity optimisation (QD) has proven to yield promising results across a broad set of applications. However, QD approaches struggle in the presence of uncertainty in the environment, as it impacts their ability to quantify the…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2023-03-28 Manon Flageat , Antoine Cully

Observations in data which are significantly different from its neighbouring points but cannot be classified as noise are known as anomalies or outliers. These anomalies are a cause of concern and a timely warning about their presence could…

Applications · Statistics 2020-06-09 Krishnam Kapoor

A specialized algorithm for quadratic optimization (QO, or, formerly, QP) with disjoint linear constraints is presented. In the considered class of problems, a subset of variables are subject to linear equality constraints, while variables…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-09-12 Tijana Janjic , Yvonne Ruckstuhl , Philippe L. Toint

Conformal prediction is a framework for uncertainty quantification that constructs prediction sets for previously unseen data, guaranteeing coverage of the true label with a specified probability. However, the efficiency of these prediction…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-06 Erfan Hajihashemi , Yanning Shen

The task of outlier detection is to find small groups of data objects that are exceptional when compared with rest large amount of data. In [38], the problem of outlier detection in categorical data is defined as an optimization problem and…

Databases · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Zengyou He , Xiaofei Xu , Shengchun Deng

This work addresses the challenges of robust covariance estimation and interpretable outlier detection for multivariate functional data with separable covariance structure. We develop a method that simultaneously improves robustness and…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-21 Marcus Mayrhofer , Una Radojičić , Horst Lewitschnig , Peter Filzmoser