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Bayesian optimization (BO) is a model-based approach to sequentially optimize expensive black-box functions, such as the validation error of a deep neural network with respect to its hyperparameters. In many real-world scenarios, the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-10-17 Valerio Perrone , Iaroslav Shcherbatyi , Rodolphe Jenatton , Cedric Archambeau , Matthias Seeger

A current challenge for many Bayesian analyses is determining when to terminate high-dimensional Markov chain Monte Carlo simulations. To this end, we propose using an automated sequential stopping procedure that terminates the simulation…

Computation · Statistics 2014-03-24 Lei Gong , James M. Flegal

Bayesian optimization offers the possibility of optimizing black-box operations not accessible through traditional techniques. The success of Bayesian optimization methods such as Expected Improvement (EI) are significantly affected by the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-07-04 Dipti Jasrasaria , Edward O. Pyzer-Knapp

We propose a novel Bayesian Optimization approach for black-box functions with an environmental variable whose value determines the tradeoff between evaluation cost and the fidelity of the evaluations. Further, we use a novel approach to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-05-16 Mark McLeod , Michael A. Osborne , Stephen J. Roberts

Sequential decision problems are often approximately solvable by simulating possible future action sequences. Metalevel decision procedures have been developed for selecting which action sequences to simulate, based on estimating the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2014-08-12 Nicholas Hay , Stuart Russell , David Tolpin , Solomon Eyal Shimony

We develop methods to solve general optimal stopping problems with opportunities to stop that arrive randomly. Such problems occur naturally in applications with market frictions. Pivotal to our approach is that our methods operate on…

In this article, a general problem of sequential statistical inference for general discrete-time stochastic processes is considered. The problem is to minimize an average sample number given that Bayesian risk due to incorrect decision does…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-10-18 Andrey Novikov

A body of work has been done to automate machine learning algorithm to highlight the importance of model choice. Automating the process of choosing the best forecasting model and its corresponding parameters can result to improve a wide…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-02 Nadhir Hassen , Irina Rish

Bayesian optimization (BO) is a powerful technology for optimizing noisy expensive-to-evaluate black-box functions, with a broad range of real-world applications in science, engineering, economics, manufacturing, and beyond. In this paper,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-30 Joel A. Paulson , Calvin Tsay

We use the PAC-Bayesian theory for the setting of learning-to-optimize. To the best of our knowledge, we present the first framework to learn optimization algorithms with provable generalization guarantees (PAC-Bayesian bounds) and explicit…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-26 Michael Sucker , Jalal Fadili , Peter Ochs

Constrained optimization in high-dimensional black-box settings is difficult due to expensive evaluations, the lack of gradient information, and complex feasibility regions. In this work, we propose a Bayesian optimization method that…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-26 Raju Chowdhury , Tanmay Sen , Prajamitra Bhuyan , Biswabrata Pradhan

Bayesian Optimization (BO) is a widely-used method for optimizing expensive-to-evaluate black-box functions. Traditional BO assumes that the learner has full control over all query variables without additional constraints. However, in many…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-23 Vu Viet Hoang , Quoc Anh Hoang Nguyen , Hung Tran The

The goal of this paper is to characterize Gaussian-Process optimization in the setting where the function domain is large relative to the number of admissible function evaluations, i.e., where it is impossible to find the global optimum. We…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-26 Manuel Wüthrich , Bernhard Schölkopf , Andreas Krause

Black-box zero-th order optimization is a central primitive for applications in fields as diverse as finance, physics, and engineering. In a common formulation of this problem, a designer sequentially attempts candidate solutions, receiving…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-08 Yunchuan Zhang , Sangwoo Park , Osvaldo Simeone

We consider Bayesian optimization of an expensive-to-evaluate black-box objective function, where we also have access to cheaper approximations of the objective. In general, such approximations arise in applications such as reinforcement…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-11-16 Matthias Poloczek , Jialei Wang , Peter I. Frazier

We consider a sequential decision making task, where the goal is to optimize an unknown function without evaluating parameters that violate an a~priori unknown (safety) constraint. A common approach is to place a Gaussian process prior on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-13 Alessandro G. Bottero , Carlos E. Luis , Julia Vinogradska , Felix Berkenkamp , Jan Peters

Bayesian optimization is an effective method to efficiently optimize unknown objective functions with high evaluation costs. Traditional Bayesian optimization algorithms select one point per iteration for single objective function, whereas…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-05-08 Takashi Wada , Hideitsu Hino

Bayesian optimization has recently emerged as a popular and efficient tool for global optimization and hyperparameter tuning. Currently, the established Bayesian optimization practice requires a user-defined bounding box which is assumed to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-08-18 Bobak Shahriari , Alexandre Bouchard-Côté , Nando de Freitas

Global optimization finds applications in a wide range of real world problems. The multi-start methods are a popular class of global optimization techniques, which are based on the ideas of conducting local searches at multiple starting…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-07-01 Yuzhou Gao , Tengchao Yu , Jinglai Li

It is well understood that Bayesian decision theory and average case analysis are essentially identical. However, if one is interested in performing uncertainty quantification for a numerical task, it can be argued that standard approaches…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-16 Chris. J. Oates , Jon Cockayne , Dennis Prangle , T. J. Sullivan , Mark Girolami
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