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Due to the importance of uncertainty quantification (UQ), Bayesian approach to inverse problems has recently gained popularity in applied mathematics, physics, and engineering. However, traditional Bayesian inference methods based on Markov…

Computation · Statistics 2022-04-26 Shiwei Lan , Shuyi Li , Babak Shahbaba

Machine learning classification techniques have been used widely to recognize the feasible design domain and discover hidden patterns in engineering design. An accurate classification model needs a large dataset; however, generating a large…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2021-07-13 Xianping Du , Kai Zhang , Onur Bilgen , Laurent Burlion , Hongyi Xu

We introduce the concept of decision-focused surrogate modeling for solving computationally challenging nonlinear optimization problems in real-time settings. The proposed data-driven framework seeks to learn a simpler, e.g. convex,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-12-27 Rishabh Gupta , Qi Zhang

We develop a systematic approach for surrogate model construction in reduced input parameter spaces. A sparse set of model evaluations in the original input space is used to approximate derivative based global sensitivity measures (DGSMs)…

Applications · Statistics 2018-06-19 Manav Vohra , Alen Alexanderian , Cosmin Safta , Sankaran Mahadevan

The paper addresses Bayesian inferences in inverse problems with uncertainty quantification involving a computationally expensive forward map associated with solving a partial differential equations. To mitigate the computational cost, the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-18 A. Galaviz , J. A. Christen , A. Capella

Motivated by a computer model calibration problem from the oil and gas industry, involving the design of a honeycomb seal, we develop a new Bayesian methodology to cope with limitations in the canonical apparatus stemming from several…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-07-19 Jiangeng Huang , Robert B. Gramacy , Mickael Binois , Mirko Libraschi

Sequential experimental design to discover interventions that achieve a desired outcome is a key problem in various domains including science, engineering and public policy. When the space of possible interventions is large, making an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-17 Jiaqi Zhang , Louis Cammarata , Chandler Squires , Themistoklis P. Sapsis , Caroline Uhler

In most prediction and estimation situations, scientists consider various statistical models for the same problem, and naturally want to select amongst the best. Hansen et al. (2011) provide a powerful solution to this problem by the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-23 Sebastian Arnold , Georgios Gavrilopoulos , Benedikt Schulz , Johanna Ziegel

Financial statement auditing is conducted under a risk-based evidence approach to obtain reasonable assurance. In practice, auditors often perform additional sampling or related procedures when an initial sample does not provide a…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-08 Masahiro Kato , Kei Nakagawa

Inverse-designed nanophotonic media are a promising platform for compact optical neural networks, but training them end to end is expensive because each adjoint iteration couples the full-wave solver to the dataset minibatch, so the number…

Optics · Physics 2026-04-24 Azka Maula Iskandar Muda , Uğur Teğin

Posterior sampling by Monte Carlo methods provides a more comprehensive solution approach to inverse problems than computing point estimates such as the maximum posterior using optimization methods, at the expense of usually requiring many…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-11-28 Paolo Villani , Daniel Andrés-Arcones , Jörg F. Unger , Martin Weiser

Crash simulations play an essential role in improving vehicle safety, design optimization, and injury risk estimation. Unfortunately, numerical solutions of such problems using state-of-the-art high-fidelity models require significant…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-16 Jonas Kneifl , Jörg Fehr , Steven L. Brunton , J. Nathan Kutz

Simulation models of critical systems often have parameters that need to be calibrated using observed data. For expensive simulation models, calibration is done using an emulator of the simulation model built on simulation output at…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-24 Özge Sürer , Matthew Plumlee , Stefan M. Wild

We present a probabilistic deep learning methodology that enables the construction of predictive data-driven surrogates for stochastic systems. Leveraging recent advances in variational inference with implicit distributions, we put forth a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-01-16 Yibo Yang , Paris Perdikaris

In this dissertation, we focus on several important problems in structured prediction. In structured prediction, the label has a rich intrinsic substructure, and the loss varies with respect to the predicted label and the true label pair.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-09-18 Heejin Choi

This paper considers the surrogate modeling of a complex numerical code in a multifidelity framework when the code output is a time series. Using an experimental design of the low-and high-fidelity code levels, an original Gaussian process…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-02-24 Baptiste Kerleguer

Multiresponse data with complex group structures in both responses and predictors arises in many fields, yet, due to the difficulty in identifying complex group structures, only a few methods have been studied on this problem. We propose a…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-16 Weixiong Liang , Yuehan Yang

Clinical decision-making often involves selecting tests that are costly, invasive, or time-consuming, motivating individualized, sequential strategies for what to measure and when to stop ascertaining. We study the problem of learning…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-16 Doudou Zhou , Yiran Zhang , Dian Jin , Yingye Zheng , Lu Tian , Tianxi Cai

Optimization problems with nonlinear cost functions and combinatorial constraints appear in many real-world applications but remain challenging to solve efficiently compared to their linear counterparts. To bridge this gap, we propose…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-20 Aaron Ferber , Taoan Huang , Daochen Zha , Martin Schubert , Benoit Steiner , Bistra Dilkina , Yuandong Tian

The increasing penetration of renewable energy sources introduces significant uncertainty in power system operations, making traditional deterministic unit commitment approaches computationally expensive. This paper presents a machine…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-09-15 Amir Bahador Javadi , Amin Kargarian , Mort Naraghi-Pour
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