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Machine learning-based anomaly detection methods are able to search high-dimensional spaces for hints of new physics with much less theory bias than traditional searches. However, by searching in many directions all at once, the statistical…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2025-12-17 Marie Hein , Benjamin Nachman , David Shih

Conformal inference provides a rigorous statistical framework for uncertainty quantification in machine learning, enabling well-calibrated prediction sets with precise coverage guarantees for any classification model. However, its reliance…

It is widely recognized that deep neural networks are sensitive to bias in the data. This means that during training these models are likely to learn spurious correlations between data and labels, resulting in limited generalization…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-06 Vito Paolo Pastore , Massimiliano Ciranni , Davide Marinelli , Francesca Odone , Vittorio Murino

Anomaly detection methods are widely used but often rely on ad hoc rules or strong assumptions, and they often focus on tail events, missing ``inlier'' anomalies that occur in low-density gaps between modes. We propose a unified framework…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-11 Rob J Hyndman , David T. Frazier

Selective classification allows models to abstain from making predictions (e.g., say "I don't know") when in doubt in order to obtain better effective accuracy. While typical selective models can be effective at producing more accurate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-24 Adam Fisch , Tommi Jaakkola , Regina Barzilay

Jointly extracting entity pairs and their relations is challenging when working on distantly-supervised data with ambiguous or noisy labels. To mitigate such impact, we propose uncertainty-aware bootstrap learning, which is motivated by the…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-06-12 Yufei Li , Xiao Yu , Yanchi Liu , Haifeng Chen , Cong Liu

Inference for functional linear models in the presence of heteroscedastic errors has received insufficient attention given its practical importance; in fact, even a central limit theorem has not been studied in this case. At issue,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-27 Hyemin Yeon , Xiongtao Dai , Daniel John Nordman

Network models are applied in numerous domains where data can be represented as a system of interactions among pairs of actors. While both statistical and mechanistic network models are increasingly capable of capturing various dependencies…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-07-02 Sixing Chen , Jukka-Pekka Onnela

Anomaly detection - identifying deviations from Standard Model predictions - is a key challenge at the Large Hadron Collider due to the size and complexity of its datasets. This is typically addressed by transforming high-dimensional…

High Energy Physics - Experiment · Physics 2025-12-03 Kyle Metzger , Lana Xu , Mia Sodini , Thea K. Arrestad , Katya Govorkova , Gaia Grosso , Philip Harris

Hybrid methods have been shown to outperform pure statistical and pure deep learning methods at both forecasting tasks, and at quantifying the uncertainty associated with those forecasts (prediction intervals). One example is Multivariate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-28 Thabang Mathonsi , Terence L van Zyl

Causal discovery can be a powerful tool for investigating causality when a system can be observed but is inaccessible to experiments in practice. Despite this, it is rarely used in any scientific or medical fields. One of the major hurdles…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-10-07 Erich Kummerfeld , Alexander Rix

Mislabeled data is a pervasive issue that undermines the performance of machine learning systems in real-world applications. An effective approach to mitigate this problem is to detect mislabeled instances and subject them to special…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-05 Ilies Chibane , Thomas George , Pierre Nodet , Vincent Lemaire

Anomaly detection based on one-class classification algorithms is broadly used in many applied domains like image processing (e.g. detection of whether a patient is "cancerous" or "healthy" from mammography image), network intrusion…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-07-14 Evgeny Burnaev , Pavel Erofeev , Dmitry Smolyakov

In one-class-learning tasks, only the normal case (foreground) can be modeled with data, whereas the variation of all possible anomalies is too erratic to be described by samples. Thus, due to the lack of representative data, the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-06-03 Duc Tam Nguyen , Zhongyu Lou , Michael Klar , Thomas Brox

Unsupervised anomaly detection is a challenging task. Autoencoders (AEs) or generative models are often employed to model the data distribution of normal inputs and subsequently identify anomalous, out-of-distribution inputs by high…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-12 Yalin Liao , Austin J. Brockmeier

Deploying black-box LLMs requires managing uncertainty in the absence of token-level probability or true labels. We propose introducing an unsupervised conformal inference framework for generation, which integrates: generative models,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-30 Lingyou Pang , Lei Huang , Jianyu Lin , Tianyu Wang , Akira Horiguchi , Alexander Aue , Carey E. Priebe

Visual anomaly detection in real-world industrial settings faces two major limitations. First, most existing methods are trained on purely normal data or on unlabeled datasets assumed to be predominantly normal, presuming the absence of…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-02-05 Anindya Sundar Das , Monowar Bhuyan

Anomalies are samples that significantly deviate from the rest of the data and their detection plays a major role in building machine learning models that can be reliably used in applications such as data-driven design and novelty…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-06-19 Amin Yousefpour , Mehdi Shishehbor , Zahra Zanjani Foumani , Ramin Bostanabad

Neural network-based anomaly detection methods have shown to achieve high performance. However, they require a large amount of training data for each task. We propose a neural network-based meta-learning method for supervised anomaly…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-03-02 Tomoharu Iwata , Atsutoshi Kumagai

Safety-critical perception systems require both reliable uncertainty quantification and principled abstention mechanisms to maintain safety under diverse operational conditions. We present a novel dual-threshold conformalization framework…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-09-23 Divake Kumar , Nastaran Darabi , Sina Tayebati , Amit Ranjan Trivedi