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One of the most basic problems in reinforcement learning (RL) is policy evaluation: estimating the long-term return, i.e., value function, corresponding to a given fixed policy. The celebrated Temporal Difference (TD) learning algorithm…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-10 Sreejeet Maity , Aritra Mitra

The paper presents efficient approaches for evaluating convergence rate in total variation for finite and general linear Markov chains. The motivation for studying convergence rate in this metric is its usefulness in various limit theorems.…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-21 Alexander Veretennikov

This paper proposes a novel model of financial prices where: (i) prices are discrete; (ii) prices change in continuous time; (iii) a high proportion of price changes are reversed in a fraction of a second. Our model is analytically…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2024-06-21 Neil Shephard , Justin J. Yang

Robust stability and stochastic stability have separately seen intense study in control theory for many decades. In this work we establish relations between these properties for discrete-time systems and employ them for robust control…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-04-20 Benjamin Gravell , Peyman Mohajerin Esfahani , Tyler Summers

We propose a decentralized market model in which agents can negotiate bilateral contracts. This builds on a similar, but centralized, model of trading networks introduced by Hatfield et al. in 2013. Prior work has established that…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2025-01-29 Edwin Lock , Benjamin Patrick Evans , Eleonora Kreacic , Sujay Bhatt , Alec Koppel , Sumitra Ganesh , Paul W. Goldberg

We consider the robust pricing and hedging of American options in a continuous time setting. We assume asset prices are continuous semimartingales, but we allow for general model uncertainty specification via adapted closed convex…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-08 Ivan Guo , Jan Obłój

Using a suitable change of probability measure, we obtain a novel Poisson series representation for the arbitrage- free price process of vulnerable contingent claims in a regime-switching market driven by an underlying continuous- time…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-01-09 Agostino Capponi , Jose Figueroa-Lopez , Jeffrey Nisen

This paper describes a flexible and tractable bottom-up dynamic correlation modelling framework with a consistent stochastic recovery specification. The stochastic recovery specification only models the first two moments of the spot…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2010-04-22 Yadong Li

Deep sequence models are receiving significant interest in current machine learning research. By representing probability distributions that are fit to data using maximum likelihood estimation, such models can model data on general…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-09-09 Kristian Løvland , Bjarne Grimstad , Lars Struen Imsland

Model-based process simulation can be used to derive designs and operating conditions of chemical processes that optimally balance multiple objectives, such as quality, costs, or environmental impacts. This work focuses on identifying…

This review paper provides an introduction of Markov chains and their convergence rates which is an important and interesting mathematical topic which also has important applications for very widely used Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC)…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-09-03 Yu Hang Jiang , Tong Liu , Zhiya Lou , Jeffrey S. Rosenthal , Shanshan Shangguan , Fei Wang , Zixuan Wu

Discrete-time stochastic systems are an essential modelling tool for many engineering systems. We consider stochastic control systems that are evolving over continuous spaces. For this class of models, methods for the formal verification…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-11-29 Sofie Haesaert , Sadegh Soudjani

Stochastic processes find applications in modelling systems in a variety of disciplines. A large number of stochastic models considered are Markovian in nature. It is often observed that higher order Markov processes can model the data…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-04-13 Suryadeepto Nag

We obtain universal estimates on the convergence to equilibrium and the times of coupling for continuous time irreducible reversible finite-state Markov chains, both in the total variation and in the L^2 norms. The estimates in total…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-01-24 Mykhaylo Shkolnikov

We establish a collection of closed-loop guarantees and propose a scalable optimization algorithm for distributionally robust model predictive control (DRMPC) applied to linear systems, convex constraints, and quadratic costs. Via standard…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-11-13 Robert D. McAllister , Peyman Mohajerin Esfahani

This paper studies the exponential stability of random matrix products driven by a general (possibly unbounded) state space Markov chain. It is a cornerstone in the analysis of stochastic algorithms in machine learning (e.g. for parameter…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-02 Alain Durmus , Eric Moulines , Alexey Naumov , Sergey Samsonov , Hoi-To Wai

This article investigates discrete-time matrix-weighted consensus of multi-agent networks over undirected and connected graphs. We first present consensus protocols for the agents in common networks of symmetric matrix weights with possibly…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-03-25 Quoc Van Tran , Minh Hoang Trinh , Hyo-Sung Ahn

We apply the method of differential inequalities for the computation of upper bounds for the rate of convergence to the limiting regime for one specific class of (in)homogeneous continuous-time Markov chains. To obtain these estimates, we…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-05-13 Alexander Zeifman , Yacov Satin , Alexander Sipin

A new definition of continuous-time equilibrium controls is introduced. As opposed to the standard definition, which involves a derivative-type operation, the new definition parallels how a discrete-time equilibrium is defined, and allows…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-07-15 Yu-Jui Huang , Zhou Zhou

We study robust versions of pricing problems where customers choose products according to a generalized extreme value (GEV) choice model, and the choice parameters are not known exactly but lie in an uncertainty set. We show that, when the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-10-19 Tien Mai , Patrick Jaillet