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For two vast families of mixture distributions and a given prior, we provide unified representations of posterior and predictive distributions. Model applications presented include bivariate mixtures of Gamma distributions labelled as…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-09-09 Aziz LMoudden , Éric Marchand

Fast variational approximate algorithms are developed for Bayesian semiparametric regression when the response variable is a count, i.e. a non-negative integer. We treat both the Poisson and Negative Binomial families as models for the…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-09-18 Jan Luts , Matt P. Wand

Approximate Bayesian computation performs approximate inference for models where likelihood computations are expensive or impossible. Instead simulations from the model are performed for various parameter values and accepted if they are…

Computation · Statistics 2015-12-16 Dennis Prangle

Maximum likelihood estimation of a log-concave probability density is formulated as a convex optimization problem and shown to have an equivalent dual formulation as a constrained maximum Shannon entropy problem. Closely related maximum…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-11-16 Roger Koenker , Ivan Mizera

This paper obtains asymptotic results for parametric inference using prediction-based estimating functions when the data are high frequency observations of a diffusion process with an infinite time horizon. Specifically, the data are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-07-27 Emil S. Jørgensen , Michael Sørensen

This paper studies the quasi-maximum-likelihood estimator (QMLE) in a general conditionally heteroscedastic time series model of multiplicative form $X_t=\sigma_tZ_t$, where the unobservable volatility $\sigma_t$ is a parametric function of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Daniel Straumann , Thomas Mikosch

In this paper, we first use PDE techniques and probabilistic methods to identify a kind of quasi-continuous random variables. Then we give a characterization of the $G$-integrable processes and get a kind of quasi-continuous processes by…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-05-09 Mingshang Hu , Falei Wang , Guoqiang Zheng

We revisit the problem of estimating the parameters of a partially observed diffusion process, consisting of a hidden state process and an observed process, with a continuous time parameter. The estimation is to be done online, i.e. the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-10-16 Simone Carlo Surace , Jean-Pascal Pfister

The Bayesian uncertainty quantification technique has become well established in turbulence modeling over the past few years. However, it is computationally expensive to construct a globally accurate surrogate model for Bayesian inference…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2022-03-16 Fanzhi Zeng , Wei Zhang , Jinping Li , Tianxin Zhang , Chao Yan

An approach featuring $s$-parametrized quasiprobability distribution functions is developed for situations where a circular topology is observed. For such an approach, a suitable set of angle-angular momentum coherent states must be…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2009-11-13 M. Ruzzi , M. A. Marchiolli , E. C. Silva , D. Galetti

Composite likelihood usually ignores dependencies among response components, while variational approximation to likelihood ignores dependencies among parameter components. We derive a Gaussian variational approximation to the composite…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-10-23 Libai Xu , Nancy Reid , Dehan Kong

Latent variable models are widely used to account for unobserved determinants of economic behavior. This paper introduces a quasi-Bayes approach to nonparametrically estimate a large class of latent variable models. As an application, we…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-08-12 Sid Kankanala

We consider the problems of parameter estimation for several models of threshold ergodic diffusion processes in the asymptotics of large samples. These models are the direct continuous time analogues of the well-known in time series…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-03-19 Yury A. Kutoyants

We consider statistical inference for a class of mixed-effects models with system noise described by a non-Gaussian integrated Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process. Under the asymptotics where the number of individuals goes to infinity with possibly…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-18 Takumi Imamura , Hiroki Masuda

Free-energy-based adaptive biasing methods, such as Metadynamics, the Adaptive Biasing Force (ABF) and their variants, are enhanced sampling algorithms widely used in molecular simulations. Although their efficiency has been empirically…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-29 Tony Lelièvre , Xuyang Lin , Pierre Monmarché

The purpose of this article is to develop a general parametric estimation theory that allows the derivation of the limit distribution of estimators in non-regular models where the true parameter value may lie on the boundary of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-11-28 Junichiro Yoshida , Nakahiro Yoshida

We consider a simple mean reverting diffusion process, with piecewise constant drift and diffusion coefficients, discontinuous at a fixed threshold. We discuss estimation of drift and diffusion parameters from discrete observations of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-03-12 Sara Mazzonetto , Paolo Pigato

We discuss the concepts of quasi-renewal and quasi-regenerative processes. We also propose a method for obtaining the upper bounds for the convergence rate of the distribution of a regenerative and quasi-regenerative process to a stationary…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-05-24 Galina A. Zverkina

We study mixed models with a single grouping factor, where inference about unknown parameters requires optimizing a marginal likelihood defined by an intractable integral. Low-dimensional numerical integration techniques are regularly used…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-22 Alex Stringer , Blair Bilodeau , Yanbo Tang

We will focus on estimating the integrated covariance of two diffusion processes observed in a nonsynchronous manner. The observation data is contaminated by some noise, which is possibly correlated with the returns of the diffusion…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-05-07 Yuta Koike
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