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Plasma kinetic equations exhibit pronounced sensitivity to microscopic perturbations in model parameters and data, making reliable and efficient uncertainty quantification (UQ) essential for predictive simulations. However, the cost of…
We present a new approach for constructing a data-driven surrogate model and using it for Bayesian parameter estimation in partial differential equation (PDE) models. We first use parameter observations and Gaussian Process regression to…
For computational efficiency, surrogate models have been used to emulate mathematical simulators for physical or biological processes. High-speed simulation is crucial for conducting uncertainty quantification (UQ) when the simulation is…
Surrogate models (including deep neural networks and other machine learning algorithms in supervised learning) are capable of approximating arbitrarily complex, high-dimensional input-output problems in science and engineering, but require…
Quantifying uncertainty of machine learning model predictions is essential for reliable decision-making, especially in safety-critical applications. Recently, uncertainty quantification (UQ) theory has advanced significantly, building on a…
Machine learning methods are increasingly widely used in high-risk settings such as healthcare, transportation, and finance. In these settings, it is important that a model produces calibrated uncertainty to reflect its own confidence and…
Uncertainty quantification (UQ) of subsurface two-phase flow usually requires numerous executions of forward simulations under varying conditions. In this work, a novel coupled theory-guided neural network (TgNN) based surrogate model is…
On top of machine learning models, uncertainty quantification (UQ) functions as an essential layer of safety assurance that could lead to more principled decision making by enabling sound risk assessment and management. The safety and…
Uncertainty quantification (UQ) is important to machine learning (ML) force fields to assess the level of confidence during prediction, as ML models are not inherently physical and can therefore yield catastrophically incorrect predictions.…
Uncertainty quantification (UQ) provides a resource-efficient solution for on-device monitoring of tinyML models deployed without access to true labels. However, existing UQ methods impose significant memory and compute demands, making them…
This study presents a comprehensive framework for uncertainty quantification (UQ) and design optimization of plasma etching in semiconductor manufacturing. The framework is demonstrated using experimental measurements of etched depth…
Recently, the graph-accelerated non-intrusive polynomial chaos (NIPC) method has been proposed for solving uncertainty quantification (UQ) problems. This method leverages the full-grid integration-based NIPC method to address UQ problems…
Consistency-based methods have emerged as an effective approach to uncertainty quantification (UQ) in large language models. These methods typically rely on several generations obtained via multinomial sampling, measuring their agreement…
We propose a novel \textit{capsule} based deep encoder-decoder model for surrogate modeling and uncertainty quantification of systems in mechanics from sparse data. The proposed framework is developed by adapting Capsule Network (CapsNet)…
Physics-informed machine learning (PIML) integrates partial differential equations (PDEs) into machine learning models to solve inverse problems, such as estimating coefficient functions (e.g., the Hamiltonian function) that characterize…
Sparse polynomial chaos expansions (PCE) are a popular surrogate modelling method that takes advantage of the properties of PCE, the sparsity-of-effects principle, and powerful sparse regression solvers to approximate computer models with…
Polynomial chaos expansion (PCE) is a powerful surrogate model-based reliability analysis method. Generally, a PCE model with a higher expansion order is usually required to obtain an accurate surrogate model for some complex non-linear…
In this paper, we study uncertainty quantification (UQ) in forward problems. Our objective is to construct accurate and robust surrogate models by incorporating the seventh-order central weighted essentially non-oscillatory (CWENO7) scheme…
Uncertainty quantification (UQ) plays a pivotal role in scientific machine learning, especially when surrogate models are used to approximate complex systems. Although multilayer perceptions (MLPs) are commonly employed as surrogates, they…
Thanks to their versatility, ease of deployment and high-performance, surrogate models have become staple tools in the arsenal of uncertainty quantification (UQ). From local interpolants to global spectral decompositions, surrogates are…