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Multivariable Mendelian Randomization (MVMR) estimates the direct causal effects of multiple risk factors on an outcome using genetic variants as instruments. The growing availability of summary-level genetic data has created opportunities…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-18 Yinxiang Wu , Neil M. Davies , Ting Ye

Post-click conversion, as a strong signal indicating the user preference, is salutary for building recommender systems. However, accurately estimating the post-click conversion rate (CVR) is challenging due to the selection bias, i.e., the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-11 Siyuan Guo , Lixin Zou , Yiding Liu , Wenwen Ye , Suqi Cheng , Shuaiqiang Wang , Hechang Chen , Dawei Yin , Yi Chang

Instrumental variable methods are fundamental to causal inference when treatment assignment is confounded by unobserved variables. In this article, we develop a general nonparametric causal framework for identification and learning with…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-10 Shuyuan Chen , Peng Zhang , Yifan Cui

Managers, employers, policymakers, and others often seek to understand whether decisions are biased against certain groups. One popular analytic strategy is to estimate disparities after adjusting for observed covariates, typically with a…

Applications · Statistics 2024-01-29 Jongbin Jung , Sam Corbett-Davies , Johann D. Gaebler , Ravi Shroff , Sharad Goel

The recent availability of huge, many-dimensional data sets, like those arising from genome-wide association studies (GWAS), provides many opportunities for strengthening causal inference. One popular approach is to utilize these…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-12-21 Ioan Gabriel Bucur , Tom Claassen , Tom Heskes

In this paper, we introduce a novel, data-driven approach for solving high-dimensional Bayesian inverse problems based on partial differential equations (PDEs), called Weak Neural Variational Inference (WNVI). The method complements real…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-07-31 Vincent C. Scholz , Yaohua Zang , Phaedon-Stelios Koutsourelakis

This paper develops an updatable inverse probability weighting (UIPW) estimation for the generalized linear models with response missing at random in streaming data sets. A two-step online updating algorithm is provided for the proposed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-10-10 Xianhua Zhang , Lu lin , Qihua Wang

Instrumental variable (IV) methods allow us the opportunity to address unmeasured confounding in causal inference. However, most IV methods are only applicable to discrete or continuous outcomes with very few IV methods for censored…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-30 Youjin Lee , Edward H. Kennedy , Nandita Mitra

Debiased inference for high-dimensional regression models has received substantial recent attention to ensure regularized estimators have valid inference. All existing methods focus on achieving Neyman orthogonality through explicitly…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-16 Yi Wang , Yuhao Deng , Yu Gu , Yuanjia Wang , Donglin Zeng

Many weak instrumental variables (IVs) are routinely used in the health and social sciences to improve identification and inference of the treatment effect of interest, along with a broad collection of data on potential confounding factors…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-16 Di Zhang , Xuanyu Li , Baoluo Sun

In the social sciences, it is often necessary to debias studies and surveys before valid conclusions can be drawn. Debiasing algorithms enable the computational removal of bias using sample weights. However, an issue arises when only a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-03 Tony Hauptmann , Stefan Kramer

A crucial task for a randomized controlled trial (RCT) is to specify a statistical method that can yield an efficient estimator and powerful test for the treatment effect. A novel and effective strategy to obtain efficient and powerful…

We present a methodology for model evaluation and selection where the sampling mechanism violates the i.i.d. assumption. Our methodology involves a formulation of the bias between the standard Cross-Validation (CV) estimator and the mean…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-14 Oren Yuval , Saharon Rosset

Using offline observational data for policy evaluation and learning allows decision-makers to evaluate and learn a policy that connects characteristics and interventions. Most existing literature has focused on either discrete treatment…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-01-22 Cheuk Hang Leung , Yiyan Huang , Yijun Li , Qi Wu

In this paper, we discuss causal inference on the efficacy of a treatment or medication on a time-to-event outcome with competing risks. Although the treatment group can be randomized, there can be confoundings between the compliance and…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-12-06 Cheng Zheng , Ran Dai , Parameswaran Hari , Mei-Jie Zhang

To improve diagnostic accuracy of breast cancer detection, several researchers have used the wavelet-based tools, which provide additional insight and information for aiding diagnostic decisions. The accuracy of such diagnoses, however, can…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-25 Minkyoung Kang , William Auffermann , Brani Vidakovic

Mendelian randomization is a widely-used method to estimate the unconfounded effect of an exposure on an outcome by using genetic variants as instrumental variables. Mendelian randomization analyses which use variants from a single genetic…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-20 Ashish Patel , Dipender Gill , Paul J. Newcombe , Stephen Burgess

Instrumental variables (IV) are a useful tool for estimating causal effects in the presence of unmeasured confounding. IV methods are well developed for uncensored outcomes, particularly for structural linear equation models, where simple…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-02-01 Behzad Kianian , Jung In Kim , Jason P. Fine , Limin Peng

There is a growing interest in estimating heterogeneous treatment effects across individuals using their high-dimensional feature attributes. Achieving high performance in such high-dimensional heterogeneous treatment effect estimation is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-04 Yoichi Chikahara , Kansei Ushiyama

In this paper, we propose two variable selection methods for adjusting the censoring information for survival times, such as the restricted mean survival time. To adjust for the influence of censoring, we consider an inverse survival…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-06 Masahiro Kojima